Football · Sweden Allsvenskan · 22/08, 15:00

Prediction: Orgryte IS vs Halmstad

Team pages: Orgryte IS · Halmstad

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.23Total

Orgryte IS1.74

Halmstad1.5

1X2

42% 26% 32%

Orgryte IS Draw Halmstad

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Orgryte IS 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLDLWDLWLL

Halmstad 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

WLDDLLLDLL

Head-to-head

Orgryte IS 2–1–3 Halmstad (6 last)

Halmstad2-0Orgryte IS
Halmstad2-3Orgryte IS
Orgryte IS2-2Halmstad
Halmstad1-0Orgryte IS
Orgryte IS0-3Halmstad
Orgryte IS3-1Halmstad

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Orgryte IS 1453 · Halmstad 1416

	Orgryte IS	Draw	Halmstad
Our model	42%	25%	32%
Market	42%	26%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 3.23 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Halmstad: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Orgryte IS	Halmstad
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 2.2	1 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1	0.4 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/10/70%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 4.4	2.6 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.1	2.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.50

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.95

2 (+0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.90

Under 2.751.90

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.5%

Time*	1	X	2
22:02 +11’	2.20	3.50	2.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Orgryte IS 2–1–3 Halmstad

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 Sweden Allsvenskan	Halmstad	2-0 HT 1-0	Orgryte IS
11/10/22 Sweden Superettan	Halmstad	2-3 HT 0-0	Orgryte IS
05/04/22 Sweden Superettan	Orgryte IS	2-2 HT 1-0	Halmstad
28/11/20 Sweden Superettan	Halmstad	1-0 HT 0-0	Orgryte IS
23/06/20 Sweden Superettan	Orgryte IS	0-3 HT 0-2	Halmstad
06/08/19 Sweden Superettan	Orgryte IS	3-1 HT 3-1	Halmstad

Standings · Sweden Allsvenskan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sirius	17	13	3	1	47	23	42
2	Hammarby	16	9	3	4	36	15	30
3	Elfsborg	17	7	6	4	24	18	27
4	Djurgarden	15	8	2	5	33	16	26
5	BK Hacken	16	6	7	3	28	26	25
6	AIK	16	7	4	5	22	24	25
7	Vasteras SK	17	7	4	6	25	32	25
8	GAIS	16	6	5	5	21	15	23
9	Malmo FF	16	7	2	7	31	27	23
10	Mjällby AIF	16	5	5	6	24	23	20
11	IFK Goteborg	16	5	4	7	22	35	19
12	Kalmar FF	16	5	3	8	21	24	18
13	Brommapojkarna	16	4	6	6	22	26	18
14	Degerfors	16	3	4	9	14	27	13
15	Orgryte IS	16	3	4	9	20	37	13
16	Halmstad	16	1	4	11	11	33	7

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Orgryte IS	Halmstad
Vasteras SK	0-2 L	1-3 L
Djurgarden	0-0 D	0-3 L
BK Hacken	4-3 W	0-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 1 L	0 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Orgryte IS (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Orgryte IS

LLDLWDLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Brommapojkarna Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	1-3	7	3	L
08/08	AIK Sweden Allsvenskan	2-1	3-4	3	3	L
02/08	AIK Sweden Allsvenskan	2-0	3-0	2	3	W
24/07	Vasteras SK Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	0-2	5	1	L
20/07	Djurgarden Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
11/07	BK Hacken Sweden Allsvenskan	1-2	4-3	5	4	W
05/07	Kalmar FF Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	0-3	4	1	L
29/05	Elfsborg Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	2-2	4	3	D
23/05	Halmstad Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	0-2	5	5	L
19/05	IFK Goteborg Sweden Allsvenskan	1-2	2-3	6	5	L

Halmstad

WLDDLLLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	GAIS Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-2	7	1	L
03/08	Sirius Sweden Allsvenskan	0-2	0-2	2	1	L
26/07	GAIS Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-1	5	6	D
19/07	BK Hacken Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-2	7	2	L
13/07	Djurgarden Sweden Allsvenskan	0-2	0-3	7	1	L
04/07	Vasteras SK Sweden Allsvenskan	1-2	1-3	3	4	L
24/06	Mjällby AIF Club Friendly List	0-1	3-3	8	1	D
17/06	GAIS Club Friendly List	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
30/05	Malmo FF Sweden Allsvenskan	2-2	2-5	5	1	L
23/05	Orgryte IS Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	2-0	3	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Orgryte IS vs Halmstad?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Orgryte IS win (42%). Probabilities: Orgryte IS 42%, draw 26%, Halmstad 32%.

How many goals are expected in Orgryte IS vs Halmstad?

The model expects 3.23 goals (Orgryte IS 1.74 · Halmstad 1.5), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Orgryte IS vs Halmstad?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.