Football · Sweden Allsvenskan · 16/08, 16:30

Prediction: Kalmar FF vs Hammarby

Team pages: Kalmar FF · Hammarby

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.87Total

Kalmar FF1.47

Hammarby1.4

1X2

38% 27% 35%

Kalmar FF Draw Hammarby

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Kalmar FF 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WLWWWLDWDL

Hammarby 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

LWWWWDDLDW

Head-to-head

Kalmar FF 0–1–5 Hammarby (6 last)

Hammarby2-0Kalmar FF
Hammarby2-1Kalmar FF
Kalmar FF1-4Hammarby
Hammarby3-1Kalmar FF
Kalmar FF0-0Hammarby
Hammarby3-1Kalmar FF

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hammarby (rating 1510 vs 1554).
H2H favours Hammarby: 5-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kalmar FF	Hammarby
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.3	2 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.6	1 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 3.2	3.9 / 6.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0	2.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.79

Under 2.752.03

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:46

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	4.19 → 4.19	Pinn 4.19
X	3.88 → 3.88	Pinn 3.88
2	1.77 → 1.77	Pinn 1.77

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.2%

Time*	1	X	2
00:45	4.19	3.88	1.77

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Kalmar FF 0–1–5 Hammarby

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/07/26 Sweden Allsvenskan	Hammarby	2-0 HT 1-0	Kalmar FF
03/03/25 Sweden Cup	Hammarby	2-1 HT 2-1	Kalmar FF
04/08/24 Sweden Allsvenskan	Kalmar FF	1-4 HT 0-1	Hammarby
31/03/24 Sweden Allsvenskan	Hammarby	3-1 HT 2-1	Kalmar FF
20/08/23 Sweden Allsvenskan	Kalmar FF	0-0 HT 0-0	Hammarby
16/07/23 Sweden Allsvenskan	Hammarby	3-1 HT 2-0	Kalmar FF

Standings · Sweden Allsvenskan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sirius	15	13	2	0	42	17	41
2	Hammarby	16	9	3	4	36	15	30
3	Djurgarden	14	8	2	4	33	15	26
4	BK Hacken	16	6	7	3	28	26	25
5	AIK	16	7	4	5	22	24	25
6	Elfsborg	16	6	6	4	21	18	24
7	GAIS	16	6	5	5	21	15	23
8	Malmo FF	16	7	2	7	31	27	23
9	Vasteras SK	15	6	4	5	24	29	22
10	IFK Goteborg	16	5	4	7	22	35	19
11	Kalmar FF	16	5	3	8	21	24	18
12	Mjällby AIF	15	4	5	6	20	20	17
13	Brommapojkarna	15	4	5	6	20	24	17
14	Degerfors	16	3	4	9	14	27	13
15	Orgryte IS	16	3	4	9	20	37	13
16	Halmstad	16	1	4	11	11	33	7

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kalmar FF	Hammarby
BK Hacken	1-1 D	3-0 W
Brommapojkarna	2-0 W	1-1 D
Degerfors	2-1 W	4-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 0 L	2 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Hammarby (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Kalmar FF

WLWWWLDWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	IFK Goteborg Sweden Allsvenskan	1-1	2-3	1	3	L
01/08	BK Hacken Sweden Allsvenskan	1-1	1-1	6	3	D
25/07	Mjällby AIF Sweden Allsvenskan	1-1	2-1	3	5	W
20/07	Malmo FF Sweden Allsvenskan	2-1	2-2	2	3	D
12/07	Hammarby Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	0-2	1	2	L
05/07	Orgryte IS Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	3-0	4	1	W
27/06	Brommapojkarna Club Friendly List	2-0	2-0	–	–	W
22/06	AIK Club Friendly List	2-0	2-0	3	2	W
30/05	GAIS Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	0-3	3	3	L
23/05	Degerfors Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	2-1	6	3	W

Hammarby

LWWWWDDLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	BK Hacken Sweden Allsvenskan	2-0	3-0	12	2	W
06/08	Rakow Czestochowa UEFA Conference League Qualifying	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
30/07	Anderlecht UEFA Europa League Qualifying	1-0	1-3	0	5	L
26/07	Brommapojkarna Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-1	11	1	D
23/07	Anderlecht UEFA Europa League Qualifying	0-1	1-1	5	5	D
19/07	Degerfors Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	4-0	6	1	W
12/07	Kalmar FF Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	2-0	5	2	W
05/07	Elfsborg Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	2-1	8	1	W
24/06	BK Hacken Club Friendly List	3-1	4-1	5	0	W
31/05	BK Hacken Sweden Allsvenskan	2-0	2-3	8	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kalmar FF vs Hammarby?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kalmar FF win (38%). Probabilities: Kalmar FF 38%, draw 27%, Hammarby 35%.

How many goals are expected in Kalmar FF vs Hammarby?

The model expects 2.87 goals (Kalmar FF 1.47 · Hammarby 1.4), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Kalmar FF vs Hammarby?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.