Football · Sweden Allsvenskan · 29/08, 15:00
Prediction: Elfsborg vs Degerfors
Team pages: Elfsborg · Degerfors
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.53Total
Elfsborg1.59
Degerfors0.93
1X2
Elfsborg
Draw
Degerfors
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Elfsborg
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Degerfors
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Elfsborg
3–2–1
Degerfors
(6 last)
- Degerfors0-1Elfsborg
- Elfsborg1-2Degerfors
- Degerfors0-1Elfsborg
- Elfsborg4-1Degerfors
- Elfsborg2-2Degerfors
- Elfsborg2-2Degerfors
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Elfsborg (rating 1532 vs 1488).
- H2H favours Elfsborg: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Elfsborg | Degerfors | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.2 | 0.9 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.2 | 0.4 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 20/10/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.9 | 2.5 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.1 | 3.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Elfsborg 3–2–1 Degerfors
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/04/26 Sweden Allsvenskan | Degerfors | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Elfsborg |
| 27/09/25 Sweden Allsvenskan | Elfsborg | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Degerfors |
| 19/04/25 Sweden Allsvenskan | Degerfors | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Elfsborg |
| 15/03/25 Club Friendly List | Elfsborg | 4-1 HT 2-1 | Degerfors |
| 03/03/24 Sweden Cup | Elfsborg | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Degerfors |
| 05/11/23 Sweden Allsvenskan | Elfsborg | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Degerfors |
Standings · Sweden Allsvenskan
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sirius | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 47 | 26 | 42 |
| 2 | Hammarby | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 40 | 15 | 33 |
| 3 | BK Hacken | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 26 | 31 |
| 4 | AIK | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 25 | 28 |
| 5 | Elfsborg | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 18 | 27 |
| 6 | Djurgarden | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 34 | 19 | 26 |
| 7 | Malmo FF | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 32 | 27 | 26 |
| 8 | Vasteras SK | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 32 | 25 |
| 9 | GAIS | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 16 | 23 |
| 10 | Brommapojkarna | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 27 | 21 |
| 11 | Mjällby AIF | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 24 | 23 | 20 |
| 12 | IFK Goteborg | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 38 | 19 |
| 13 | Kalmar FF | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 21 | 28 | 18 |
| 14 | Degerfors | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 27 | 16 |
| 15 | Orgryte IS | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 22 | 41 | 14 |
| 16 | Halmstad | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 8 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Elfsborg | Degerfors |
|---|---|---|
| IFK Goteborg | 1-1 D | 3-0 W |
| Vasteras SK | 3-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Malmo FF | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| GAIS | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Hammarby | 1-2 L | 0-4 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Elfsborg
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | IFK Goteborg Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 14/08 | Vasteras SK Sweden Allsvenskan |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 08/08 | Mjällby AIF Sweden Allsvenskan |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 26/07 | Malmo FF Sweden Allsvenskan |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 19/07 | Sirius Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 12/07 | GAIS Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 05/07 | Hammarby Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 29/05 | Orgryte IS Sweden Allsvenskan |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 25/05 | BK Hacken Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 21/05 | Mjällby AIF Sweden Allsvenskan |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
Degerfors
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | IFK Goteborg Sweden Allsvenskan |
3-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 09/08 | Malmo FF Sweden Allsvenskan |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 02/08 | IFK Goteborg Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 25/07 | Djurgarden Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 19/07 | Hammarby Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-1 | 0-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 12/07 | Vasteras SK Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 9 | L |
| 04/07 | Malmo FF Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 31/05 | Brommapojkarna Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 23/05 | Kalmar FF Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | GAIS Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Elfsborg vs Degerfors?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Elfsborg win (52%). Probabilities: Elfsborg 52%, draw 27%, Degerfors 21%.
How many goals are expected in Elfsborg vs Degerfors?
The model expects 2.53 goals (Elfsborg 1.59 · Degerfors 0.93), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Elfsborg vs Degerfors?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.