Football · Sweden Allsvenskan · 10/10, 15:00

Prediction: AIK vs Brommapojkarna

Team pages: AIK · Brommapojkarna

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.22Total

AIK1.87

Brommapojkarna1.35

1X2

49% 25% 26%

AIK Draw Brommapojkarna

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

AIK 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WDLWWWDLDL

Brommapojkarna 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LDLDWWLWLL

Head-to-head

AIK 3–2–1 Brommapojkarna (6 last)

Brommapojkarna2-2AIK
AIK2-1Brommapojkarna
Brommapojkarna0-1AIK
Brommapojkarna3-0AIK
AIK2-1Brommapojkarna
Brommapojkarna2-2AIK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AIK 1515 · Brommapojkarna 1466

	AIK	Draw	Brommapojkarna
Our model	49%	25%	27%
Market	49%	25%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 3.22 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AIK (rating 1515 vs 1466).
H2H favours AIK: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	AIK	Brommapojkarna
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.6	1.3 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.7	0.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.2 / 3.6	2.4 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.1	2.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.90

X3.70

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.93

2 (+0.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.90 → 1.90	Bet365 1.90
X	3.70 → 3.70	Pinn 3.79
2	3.50 → 3.50	Pinn 3.76 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.2% Pinnacle margin 6.1%

Time*	1	X	2
02:16 +3’	1.90	3.70	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:02 +677’	1.88	3.79	3.76

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · AIK 3–2–1 Brommapojkarna

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/04/26 Sweden Allsvenskan	Brommapojkarna	2-2 HT 0-0	AIK
15/09/25 Sweden Allsvenskan	AIK	2-1 HT 1-0	Brommapojkarna
25/05/25 Sweden Allsvenskan	Brommapojkarna	0-1 HT 0-1	AIK
25/01/25 Club Friendly List	Brommapojkarna	3-0 HT 3-0	AIK
25/08/24 Sweden Allsvenskan	AIK	2-1 HT 2-1	Brommapojkarna
06/04/24 Sweden Allsvenskan	Brommapojkarna	2-2 HT 1-0	AIK

Standings · Sweden Allsvenskan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sirius	22	16	3	3	52	28	51
2	Hammarby	22	13	4	5	49	20	43
3	Djurgarden	22	13	2	7	47	21	41
4	Elfsborg	22	10	7	5	31	22	37
5	BK Hacken	22	9	9	4	39	30	36
6	Vasteras SK	22	10	5	7	34	35	35
7	Malmo FF	22	10	3	9	37	33	33
8	AIK	22	9	6	7	31	34	33
9	IFK Goteborg	22	9	5	8	31	41	32
10	GAIS	22	8	6	8	28	20	30
11	Brommapojkarna	22	7	6	9	30	36	27
12	Mjällby AIF	22	5	7	10	27	38	22
13	Kalmar FF	22	5	4	13	21	36	19
14	Degerfors	22	5	4	13	19	34	19
15	Orgryte IS	22	3	6	13	25	49	15
16	Halmstad	22	3	5	14	16	40	14

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	AIK	Brommapojkarna
Malmo FF	0-0 D	1-2 L
Hammarby	3-2 W	1-3 L
Orgryte IS	4-3 W	3-1 W
GAIS	2-0 W	0-4 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 0 L	1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: AIK (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AIK

WDLWWWDLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Halmstad Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-2	3	1	L
16/09	Mjällby AIF Sweden Allsvenskan	1-1	1-1	9	4	D
12/09	Vasteras SK Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	1-4	5	1	L
07/09	Malmo FF Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
30/08	Hammarby Sweden Allsvenskan	1-2	3-2	1	5	W
16/08	Djurgarden Sweden Allsvenskan	3-0	3-1	1	6	W
08/08	Orgryte IS Sweden Allsvenskan	1-2	4-3	4	3	W
02/08	Orgryte IS Sweden Allsvenskan	0-2	0-3	5	4	L
27/07	BK Hacken Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-0	1	3	D
18/07	GAIS Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	2-0	4	2	W

Brommapojkarna

LDLDWWLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	IFK Goteborg Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-1	7	1	L
13/09	Hammarby Sweden Allsvenskan	1-2	1-3	4	1	L
06/09	Elfsborg Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	2-1	4	3	W
31/08	GAIS Sweden Allsvenskan	0-2	0-4	4	4	L
23/08	Degerfors Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	2-0	5	2	W
16/08	Orgryte IS Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	3-1	8	3	W
10/08	Sirius Sweden Allsvenskan	2-2	2-2	4	4	D
02/08	Malmo FF Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-2	4	7	L
26/07	Hammarby Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-1	2	2	D
17/07	IFK Goteborg Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-2	5	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AIK vs Brommapojkarna?

According to our model, the most likely result is a AIK win (49%). Probabilities: AIK 49%, draw 25%, Brommapojkarna 26%.

How many goals are expected in AIK vs Brommapojkarna?

The model expects 3.22 goals (AIK 1.87 · Brommapojkarna 1.35), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in AIK vs Brommapojkarna?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.