Football · Sweden Allsvenskan · 18/10, 16:30

Prediction: Malmo FF vs BK Hacken

Team pages: Malmo FF · BK Hacken

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.63Total

Malmo FF1.35

BK Hacken1.27

1X2

38% 27% 35%

Malmo FF Draw BK Hacken

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Malmo FF 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LWLWLWDWLW

BK Hacken 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DDLWWLDDWW

Head-to-head

Malmo FF 2–3–1 BK Hacken (6 last)

BK Hacken3-2Malmo FF
BK Hacken1-1Malmo FF
Malmo FF3-0BK Hacken
Malmo FF0-0BK Hacken
Malmo FF4-0BK Hacken
BK Hacken2-2Malmo FF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Malmo FF 1520 · BK Hacken 1564

	Malmo FF	Draw	BK Hacken
Our model	38%	29%	34%
Market	39%	26%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 2.63 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours BK Hacken (rating 1520 vs 1564).
H2H favours Malmo FF: 2-3-1.
High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Malmo FF	BK Hacken
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.1	1.5 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.5	0.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5	2.7 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.1	2.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.35

X3.60

22.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.80

2 (0)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 2.25

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 04:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.35 → 2.55▲	Pinn 2.58
X	3.60 → 3.60	Pinn 3.61
2	2.60 → 2.50▼	Pinn 2.54 ★

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 7% Pinnacle margin 5.8%

Time*	1	X	2
16:23 +11’	2.35	3.60	2.60
14:42 +3’	2.50▲	3.60	2.45▼
04:12 +11’	2.55▲	3.60	2.50▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
19:11 +29’	2.43	3.52	2.69
20:35 +25’	2.52▲	3.57▲	2.62▼
14:18 +27’	2.58▲	3.61▲	2.54▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

Our recommendation on this match 1 odds move recorded

Go premium to see the odds journey

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Malmo FF 2–3–1 BK Hacken

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 Sweden Allsvenskan	BK Hacken	3-2 HT 3-2	Malmo FF
01/11/25 Sweden Allsvenskan	BK Hacken	1-1 HT 0-1	Malmo FF
01/06/25 Sweden Allsvenskan	Malmo FF	3-0 HT 2-0	BK Hacken
29/05/25 Sweden Cup	Malmo FF	0-0 HT 0-0	BK Hacken
22/09/24 Sweden Allsvenskan	Malmo FF	4-0 HT 1-0	BK Hacken
20/05/24 Sweden Allsvenskan	BK Hacken	2-2 HT 0-1	Malmo FF

Standings · Sweden Allsvenskan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sirius	23	17	3	3	53	28	54
2	Djurgarden	24	15	2	7	50	21	47
3	Hammarby	23	13	4	6	49	21	43
4	Elfsborg	23	11	7	5	35	22	40
5	BK Hacken	23	10	9	4	42	30	39
6	Malmo FF	23	11	3	9	38	33	36
7	Vasteras SK	23	10	5	8	34	36	35
8	IFK Goteborg	23	10	5	8	32	41	35
9	AIK	23	9	6	8	36	40	33
10	GAIS	23	8	6	9	28	21	30
11	Brommapojkarna	24	8	6	10	36	43	30
12	Mjällby AIF	23	5	8	10	28	39	23
13	Degerfors	23	5	5	13	20	35	20
14	Kalmar FF	23	5	4	14	21	37	19
15	Orgryte IS	23	3	6	14	25	52	15
16	Halmstad	23	3	5	15	16	44	14

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Malmo FF	BK Hacken
Kalmar FF	1-0 W	5-0 W
Vasteras SK	0-2 L	1-3 L
Orgryte IS	4-1 W	3-0 W
AIK	0-0 D	0-0 D
Sirius	1-0 W	3-0 W
GAIS	1-0 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 1 L	3 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: BK Hacken (2 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Malmo FF

LWLWLWDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/10	Kalmar FF Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-0	6	4	W
19/09	Vasteras SK Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	0-2	7	1	L
13/09	Orgryte IS Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	4-1	5	4	W
07/09	AIK Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-0	9	3	D
31/08	Sirius Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
24/08	Djurgarden Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	0-3	3	6	L
16/08	GAIS Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-0	3	5	W
09/08	Degerfors Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	1-2	5	4	L
02/08	Brommapojkarna Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	2-1	3	7	W
26/07	Elfsborg Sweden Allsvenskan	1-2	1-2	5	6	L

BK Hacken

DDLWWLDDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Orgryte IS Sweden Allsvenskan	2-0	3-0	9	4	W
20/09	Kalmar FF Sweden Allsvenskan	2-0	5-0	4	1	W
11/09	Mjällby AIF Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	1-1	6	1	D
05/09	GAIS Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
29/08	Vasteras SK Sweden Allsvenskan	0-2	1-3	5	4	L
21/08	Sirius Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	3-0	7	3	W
17/08	Halmstad Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	1-0	11	5	W
09/08	Hammarby Sweden Allsvenskan	0-2	0-3	2	2	L
01/08	Kalmar FF Sweden Allsvenskan	1-1	1-1	5	3	D
27/07	AIK Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-0	5	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Malmo FF vs BK Hacken?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Malmo FF win (38%). Probabilities: Malmo FF 38%, draw 27%, BK Hacken 35%.

How many goals are expected in Malmo FF vs BK Hacken?

The model expects 2.63 goals (Malmo FF 1.35 · BK Hacken 1.27), with a 58% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Malmo FF vs BK Hacken?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.