Football · Sweden Allsvenskan · 12/10, 19:00

Prediction: Elfsborg vs Halmstad

Team pages: Elfsborg · Halmstad

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.46Total

Elfsborg1.86

Halmstad0.6

1X2

68% 21% 11%

Elfsborg Draw Halmstad

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 55% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

1-0 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Elfsborg 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LLWWWDWLWW

Halmstad 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LDLLLDWLLW

Head-to-head

Elfsborg 4–1–1 Halmstad (6 last)

Halmstad1-1Elfsborg
Elfsborg1-2Halmstad
Halmstad1-4Elfsborg
Halmstad0-1Elfsborg
Elfsborg2-0Halmstad
Elfsborg4-0Halmstad

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Elfsborg 1546 · Halmstad 1481

	Elfsborg	Draw	Halmstad
Our model	67%	23%	10%
Market	69%	19%	12%

Estimated total (ours) 2.46 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Elfsborg (rating 1546 vs 1481).
H2H favours Elfsborg: 4-1-1.
High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Elfsborg	Halmstad
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 0.9	0.6 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.2	0.1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	0/70/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5.1	2.6 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.1	2.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.33

X4.75

27.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)2.00

2 (+1.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 2.15

Market movement

Match winner · 5 moves · last 07:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.33 → 1.33	Bet365 1.33
X	4.75 → 5.25▲	Pinn 5.35
2	7.50 → 8.00▲	Pinn 8.61 ★

See the full journey (5)

Bet365 margin 6.6% Pinnacle margin 6.4%

Time*	1	X	2
02:08 +6’	1.33	4.75	7.50
06:19 +11’	1.33	4.75	7.00▼
16:03 +36’	1.36▲	4.75	6.50▼
20:23 +18’	1.33▼	4.75	7.00▲
07:21 +3’	1.33	5.25▲	8.00▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
19:01 +433’	1.32	5.23	8.53
13:51 +168’	1.31▼	5.35▲	8.61▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Elfsborg 4–1–1 Halmstad

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Sweden Allsvenskan	Halmstad	1-1 HT 1-0	Elfsborg
24/08/25 Sweden Allsvenskan	Elfsborg	1-2 HT 0-1	Halmstad
25/05/25 Sweden Allsvenskan	Halmstad	1-4 HT 1-2	Elfsborg
15/09/24 Sweden Allsvenskan	Halmstad	0-1 HT 0-1	Elfsborg
24/05/24 Sweden Allsvenskan	Elfsborg	2-0 HT 0-0	Halmstad
22/03/24 Club Friendly List	Elfsborg	4-0 HT 2-0	Halmstad

Standings · Sweden Allsvenskan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sirius	23	17	3	3	53	28	54
2	Hammarby	22	13	4	5	49	20	43
3	Djurgarden	22	13	2	7	47	21	41
4	Elfsborg	22	10	7	5	31	22	37
5	BK Hacken	22	9	9	4	39	30	36
6	Vasteras SK	23	10	5	8	34	36	35
7	IFK Goteborg	23	10	5	8	32	41	35
8	Malmo FF	22	10	3	9	37	33	33
9	AIK	23	9	6	8	36	40	33
10	GAIS	23	8	6	9	28	21	30
11	Brommapojkarna	23	8	6	9	36	41	30
12	Mjällby AIF	23	5	8	10	28	39	23
13	Degerfors	23	5	5	13	20	35	20
14	Kalmar FF	22	5	4	13	21	36	19
15	Orgryte IS	22	3	6	13	25	49	15
16	Halmstad	22	3	5	14	16	40	14

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Elfsborg	Halmstad
Kalmar FF	1-0 W	1-0 W
Degerfors	2-0 W	0-2 L
IFK Goteborg	1-1 D	1-2 L
Sirius	1-3 L	0-2 L
GAIS	0-1 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Elfsborg (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Elfsborg

LLWWWDWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Djurgarden Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	2-1	7	1	W
13/09	Kalmar FF Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-0	3	1	W
06/09	Brommapojkarna Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	1-2	4	3	L
29/08	Degerfors Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	2-0	8	2	W
23/08	IFK Goteborg Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-1	5	5	D
14/08	Vasteras SK Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	3-0	4	4	W
08/08	Mjällby AIF Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	1-0	5	1	W
26/07	Malmo FF Sweden Allsvenskan	2-1	2-1	3	6	W
19/07	Sirius Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-3	6	5	L
12/07	GAIS Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-1	6	3	L

Halmstad

LDLLLDWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	AIK Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	2-1	4	1	W
12/09	IFK Goteborg Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	1-2	9	4	L
05/09	Degerfors Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-2	3	3	L
29/08	Kalmar FF Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-0	8	3	W
22/08	Orgryte IS Sweden Allsvenskan	1-1	1-1	10	2	D
17/08	BK Hacken Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	0-1	1	5	L
09/08	GAIS Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-2	7	1	L
03/08	Sirius Sweden Allsvenskan	0-2	0-2	2	1	L
26/07	GAIS Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-1	5	6	D
19/07	BK Hacken Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-2	7	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Elfsborg vs Halmstad?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Elfsborg win (68%). Probabilities: Elfsborg 68%, draw 21%, Halmstad 11%.

How many goals are expected in Elfsborg vs Halmstad?

The model expects 2.46 goals (Elfsborg 1.86 · Halmstad 0.6), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Elfsborg vs Halmstad?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.