Football · Sweden Allsvenskan · 17/10, 17:30

Prediction: AIK vs IFK Goteborg

Team pages: AIK · IFK Goteborg

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.38Total

AIK1.69

IFK Goteborg1.69

1X2

38% 25% 38%

AIK Draw IFK Goteborg

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

AIK 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

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IFK Goteborg 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

AIK 4–1–1 IFK Goteborg (6 last)

IFK Goteborg1-2AIK
IFK Goteborg2-1AIK
AIK3-0IFK Goteborg
IFK Goteborg1-2AIK
AIK5-2IFK Goteborg
IFK Goteborg1-1AIK

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours IFK Goteborg (rating 1499 vs 1553).
H2H favours AIK: 4-1-1.
High corners: 13 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	AIK	IFK Goteborg
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 2.2	1.6 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.7	0.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 4.3	4.6 / 8.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.1	3.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.99

Under 31.83

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 19:37

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.49 → 2.54▲	Pinn 2.54
X	3.71 → 3.71	Pinn 3.71
2	2.57 → 2.53▼	Pinn 2.53

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 5.8%

Time*	1	X	2
22:05 +199’	2.49	3.71	2.57
19:23 +13’	2.54▲	3.71	2.53▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · AIK 4–1–1 IFK Goteborg

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/07/26 Sweden Allsvenskan	IFK Goteborg	1-2 HT 1-1	AIK
17/08/25 Sweden Allsvenskan	IFK Goteborg	2-1 HT 1-0	AIK
29/06/25 Sweden Allsvenskan	AIK	3-0 HT 2-0	IFK Goteborg
21/10/24 Sweden Allsvenskan	IFK Goteborg	1-2 HT 0-1	AIK
27/05/24 Sweden Allsvenskan	AIK	5-2 HT 1-1	IFK Goteborg
06/11/23 Sweden Allsvenskan	IFK Goteborg	1-1 HT 1-0	AIK

Standings · Sweden Allsvenskan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sirius	23	17	3	3	53	28	54
2	Hammarby	22	13	4	5	49	20	43
3	Djurgarden	22	13	2	7	47	21	41
4	Elfsborg	22	10	7	5	31	22	37
5	BK Hacken	22	9	9	4	39	30	36
6	Vasteras SK	23	10	5	8	34	36	35
7	IFK Goteborg	23	10	5	8	32	41	35
8	Malmo FF	22	10	3	9	37	33	33
9	AIK	23	9	6	8	36	40	33
10	GAIS	23	8	6	9	28	21	30
11	Brommapojkarna	23	8	6	9	36	41	30
12	Mjällby AIF	23	5	8	10	28	39	23
13	Degerfors	23	5	5	13	20	35	20
14	Kalmar FF	22	5	4	13	21	36	19
15	Orgryte IS	22	3	6	13	25	49	15
16	Halmstad	22	3	5	14	16	40	14

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	AIK	IFK Goteborg
Brommapojkarna	5-6 L	1-0 W
Halmstad	1-2 L	2-1 W
Mjällby AIF	1-1 D	4-1 W
Vasteras SK	1-4 L	1-0 W
Orgryte IS	4-3 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 3 L	5 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: IFK Goteborg (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AIK

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Brommapojkarna Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	5-6	11	5	L
20/09	Halmstad Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-2	3	1	L
16/09	Mjällby AIF Sweden Allsvenskan	1-1	1-1	9	4	D
12/09	Vasteras SK Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	1-4	5	1	L
07/09	Malmo FF Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
30/08	Hammarby Sweden Allsvenskan	1-2	3-2	1	5	W
16/08	Djurgarden Sweden Allsvenskan	3-0	3-1	1	6	W
08/08	Orgryte IS Sweden Allsvenskan	1-2	4-3	4	3	W
02/08	Orgryte IS Sweden Allsvenskan	0-2	0-3	5	4	L
27/07	BK Hacken Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-0	1	3	D

IFK Goteborg

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	Vasteras SK Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	1-0	2	7	W
19/09	Brommapojkarna Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-0	8	1	W
12/09	Halmstad Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	2-1	8	4	W
07/09	Mjällby AIF Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	4-1	10	5	W
30/08	Orgryte IS Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-0	11	2	W
23/08	Elfsborg Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-1	9	5	D
16/08	Degerfors Sweden Allsvenskan	0-3	0-3	14	2	L
09/08	Kalmar FF Sweden Allsvenskan	1-1	3-2	13	3	W
02/08	Degerfors Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	2-0	8	4	W
26/07	Sirius Sweden Allsvenskan	1-2	1-4	4	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AIK vs IFK Goteborg?

According to our model, the most likely result is a AIK win (38%). Probabilities: AIK 38%, draw 25%, IFK Goteborg 38%.

How many goals are expected in AIK vs IFK Goteborg?

The model expects 3.38 goals (AIK 1.69 · IFK Goteborg 1.69), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in AIK vs IFK Goteborg?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.