Football · Sweden Allsvenskan · 24/10, 15:00

Prediction: BK Hacken vs Degerfors

Team pages: BK Hacken · Degerfors

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.63Total

BK Hacken1.88

Degerfors0.75

1X2

64% 22% 14%

BK Hacken Draw Degerfors

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

2-0 13%

Recent form · 10 last

BK Hacken 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DLWWLDDWWW

Degerfors 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLWWLLWLLD

Head-to-head

BK Hacken 1–3–2 Degerfors (6 last)

Degerfors1-1BK Hacken
Degerfors0-0BK Hacken
BK Hacken3-4Degerfors
Degerfors1-0BK Hacken
BK Hacken6-1Degerfors
BK Hacken2-2Degerfors

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · BK Hacken 1575 · Degerfors 1479

	BK Hacken	Draw	Degerfors
Our model	63%	24%	13%
Market	65%	20%	15%

Estimated total (ours) 2.63 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours BK Hacken (rating 1575 vs 1479).
H2H favours Degerfors: 2-3-1.
High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	BK Hacken	Degerfors
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 0.8	0.8 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.6	0.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.9	2.7 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.1	2.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.42

X4.50

26.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.90

2 (+1.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.82

Under 31.98

Diff.: 0.8 · xG: 2.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.42 → 1.42	Bet365 1.42
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	6.25 → 6.25	Bet365 6.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.6%

Time*	1	X	2
11:07 +1’	1.42	4.50	6.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · BK Hacken 1–3–2 Degerfors

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 Sweden Allsvenskan	Degerfors	1-1 HT 0-1	BK Hacken
10/08/25 Sweden Allsvenskan	Degerfors	0-0 HT 0-0	BK Hacken
23/04/25 Sweden Allsvenskan	BK Hacken	3-4 HT 0-1	Degerfors
03/09/23 Sweden Allsvenskan	Degerfors	1-0 HT 0-0	BK Hacken
13/05/23 Sweden Allsvenskan	BK Hacken	6-1 HT 4-1	Degerfors
04/09/22 Sweden Allsvenskan	BK Hacken	2-2 HT 1-0	Degerfors

Standings · Sweden Allsvenskan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sirius	24	17	4	3	55	30	55
2	Djurgarden	24	15	2	7	50	21	47
3	Hammarby	24	14	4	6	50	21	46
4	BK Hacken	24	11	9	4	43	30	42
5	Elfsborg	24	11	8	5	37	24	41
6	Vasteras SK	24	11	5	8	35	36	38
7	Malmo FF	24	11	3	10	38	34	36
8	IFK Goteborg	24	10	6	8	34	43	36
9	AIK	24	9	7	8	38	42	34
10	GAIS	24	8	6	10	30	25	30
11	Brommapojkarna	24	8	6	10	36	43	30
12	Mjällby AIF	24	5	8	11	28	40	23
13	Degerfors	23	5	5	13	20	35	20
14	Kalmar FF	23	5	4	14	21	37	19
15	Orgryte IS	24	4	6	14	29	54	18
16	Halmstad	24	3	5	16	16	45	14

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	BK Hacken	Degerfors
Malmo FF	1-0 W	2-1 W
Mjällby AIF	1-1 D	1-1 D
Sirius	3-0 W	0-2 L
Halmstad	1-0 W	2-0 W
Hammarby	0-3 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Degerfors (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

BK Hacken

DLWWLDDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Malmo FF Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-0	5	5	W
11/10	Orgryte IS Sweden Allsvenskan	2-0	3-0	9	4	W
20/09	Kalmar FF Sweden Allsvenskan	2-0	5-0	4	1	W
11/09	Mjällby AIF Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	1-1	6	1	D
05/09	GAIS Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
29/08	Vasteras SK Sweden Allsvenskan	0-2	1-3	5	4	L
21/08	Sirius Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	3-0	7	3	W
17/08	Halmstad Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	1-0	11	5	W
09/08	Hammarby Sweden Allsvenskan	0-2	0-3	2	2	L
01/08	Kalmar FF Sweden Allsvenskan	1-1	1-1	5	3	D

Degerfors

LLWWLLWLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Mjällby AIF Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-1	5	0	D
20/09	Hammarby Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-1	1	4	L
14/09	Sirius Sweden Allsvenskan	0-2	0-2	7	2	L
05/09	Halmstad Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	2-0	12	3	W
29/08	Elfsborg Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	0-2	6	2	L
23/08	Brommapojkarna Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-2	0	2	L
16/08	IFK Goteborg Sweden Allsvenskan	3-0	3-0	2	2	W
09/08	Malmo FF Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	2-1	4	4	W
02/08	IFK Goteborg Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	0-2	7	4	L
25/07	Djurgarden Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	0-1	6	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in BK Hacken vs Degerfors?

According to our model, the most likely result is a BK Hacken win (64%). Probabilities: BK Hacken 64%, draw 22%, Degerfors 14%.

How many goals are expected in BK Hacken vs Degerfors?

The model expects 2.63 goals (BK Hacken 1.88 · Degerfors 0.75), with a 56% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in BK Hacken vs Degerfors?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.