Football · Sweden Allsvenskan · 24/10, 15:00

Prediction: Sirius vs AIK

Team pages: Sirius · AIK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.68Total

Sirius2.33

AIK1.35

1X2

59% 21% 20%

Sirius Draw AIK

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Sirius 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WWDLLLWWWW

AIK 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LWWWDLDLLD

Head-to-head

Sirius 3–3 AIK (6 last)

AIK0-3Sirius
AIK2-1Sirius
AIK1-2Sirius
Sirius3-1AIK
AIK4-2Sirius
Sirius0-1AIK

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sirius (rating 1573 vs 1480).
High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sirius	AIK
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.2	2 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.5	0.8 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 6.2	1.7 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0	3.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.98

Under 3.251.83

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 17:01

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.57 → 1.59▲	Pinn 1.59
X	4.38 → 4.44▲	Pinn 4.44
2	4.72 → 4.81▲	Pinn 4.81

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 6.3%

Time*	1	X	2
14:12 +37’	1.57	4.38	4.72
15:13 +108’	1.59▲	4.44▲	4.81▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sirius 3–0–3 AIK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/05/26 Sweden Allsvenskan	AIK	0-3 HT 0-2	Sirius
31/08/25 Sweden Allsvenskan	AIK	2-1 HT 0-1	Sirius
19/06/25 Club Friendly List	AIK	1-2 HT 0-1	Sirius
01/06/25 Sweden Allsvenskan	Sirius	3-1 HT 2-0	AIK
08/03/25 Club Friendly List	AIK	4-2 HT 2-0	Sirius
25/09/24 Sweden Allsvenskan	Sirius	0-1 HT 0-0	AIK

Standings · Sweden Allsvenskan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sirius	24	17	4	3	55	30	55
2	Djurgarden	24	15	2	7	50	21	47
3	Hammarby	24	14	4	6	50	21	46
4	BK Hacken	24	11	9	4	43	30	42
5	Elfsborg	24	11	8	5	37	24	41
6	Vasteras SK	24	11	5	8	35	36	38
7	Malmo FF	24	11	3	10	38	34	36
8	IFK Goteborg	24	10	6	8	34	43	36
9	AIK	24	9	7	8	38	42	34
10	GAIS	24	8	6	10	30	25	30
11	Brommapojkarna	24	8	6	10	36	43	30
12	Mjällby AIF	24	5	8	11	28	40	23
13	Degerfors	23	5	5	13	20	35	20
14	Kalmar FF	23	5	4	14	21	37	19
15	Orgryte IS	24	4	6	14	29	54	18
16	Halmstad	24	3	5	16	16	45	14

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sirius	AIK
Orgryte IS	2-1 W	4-3 W
Vasteras SK	1-0 W	1-4 L
Malmo FF	0-1 L	0-0 D
Mjällby AIF	3-4 L	1-1 D
Brommapojkarna	2-2 D	5-6 L
Halmstad	2-0 W	1-2 L
IFK Goteborg	4-1 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 3 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Sirius (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sirius

WWDLLLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	GAIS Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-0	8	2	W
19/09	Orgryte IS Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	2-1	4	2	W
14/09	Degerfors Sweden Allsvenskan	2-0	2-0	7	2	W
05/09	Vasteras SK Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-0	2	2	W
31/08	Malmo FF Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	0-1	7	4	L
21/08	BK Hacken Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	0-3	4	3	L
15/08	Mjällby AIF Sweden Allsvenskan	3-0	3-4	8	5	L
10/08	Brommapojkarna Sweden Allsvenskan	2-2	2-2	8	4	D
03/08	Halmstad Sweden Allsvenskan	2-0	2-0	10	1	W
26/07	IFK Goteborg Sweden Allsvenskan	2-1	4-1	4	5	W

AIK

LWWWDLDLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	IFK Goteborg Sweden Allsvenskan	1-1	2-2	3	0	D
10/10	Brommapojkarna Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	5-6	11	5	L
20/09	Halmstad Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-2	3	1	L
16/09	Mjällby AIF Sweden Allsvenskan	1-1	1-1	9	4	D
12/09	Vasteras SK Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	1-4	5	1	L
07/09	Malmo FF Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
30/08	Hammarby Sweden Allsvenskan	1-2	3-2	1	5	W
16/08	Djurgarden Sweden Allsvenskan	3-0	3-1	1	6	W
08/08	Orgryte IS Sweden Allsvenskan	1-2	4-3	4	3	W
02/08	Orgryte IS Sweden Allsvenskan	0-2	0-3	5	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sirius vs AIK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sirius win (59%). Probabilities: Sirius 59%, draw 21%, AIK 20%.

How many goals are expected in Sirius vs AIK?

The model expects 3.68 goals (Sirius 2.33 · AIK 1.35), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Sirius vs AIK?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.