Football · Sweden Allsvenskan · 24/10, 17:30

Prediction: Kalmar FF vs Brommapojkarna

Team pages: Kalmar FF · Brommapojkarna

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.82Total

Kalmar FF1.62

Brommapojkarna1.2

1X2

46% 27% 27%

Kalmar FF Draw Brommapojkarna

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Kalmar FF 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

WDLLDLLLLL

Brommapojkarna 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LDWWLWLLWL

Head-to-head

Kalmar FF 3–3 Brommapojkarna (6 last)

Kalmar FF2-0Brommapojkarna
Brommapojkarna1-0Kalmar FF
Brommapojkarna1-2Kalmar FF
Kalmar FF0-1Brommapojkarna
Brommapojkarna2-3Kalmar FF
Kalmar FF1-3Brommapojkarna

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kalmar FF 1458 · Brommapojkarna 1481

	Kalmar FF	Draw	Brommapojkarna
Our model	46%	27%	27%
Market	46%	26%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 2.82 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kalmar FF	Brommapojkarna
Goals for / against (FT)	0.5 / 1.8	1.7 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.6	0.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/80/20%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.2	1.8 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0	3.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.50

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.00

2 (+0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.93

Under 2.751.88

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8%

Time*	1	X	2
10:59 +11’	2.00	3.50	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Kalmar FF 3–0–3 Brommapojkarna

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/06/26 Club Friendly List	Kalmar FF	2-0 HT 2-0	Brommapojkarna
17/05/26 Sweden Allsvenskan	Brommapojkarna	1-0 HT 1-0	Kalmar FF
26/10/24 Sweden Allsvenskan	Brommapojkarna	1-2 HT 0-0	Kalmar FF
14/07/24 Sweden Allsvenskan	Kalmar FF	0-1 HT 0-0	Brommapojkarna
27/08/23 Sweden Allsvenskan	Brommapojkarna	2-3 HT 0-3	Kalmar FF
14/05/23 Sweden Allsvenskan	Kalmar FF	1-3 HT 1-1	Brommapojkarna

Standings · Sweden Allsvenskan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sirius	24	17	4	3	55	30	55
2	Djurgarden	24	15	2	7	50	21	47
3	Hammarby	24	14	4	6	50	21	46
4	BK Hacken	24	11	9	4	43	30	42
5	Elfsborg	24	11	8	5	37	24	41
6	Vasteras SK	24	11	5	8	35	36	38
7	Malmo FF	24	11	3	10	38	34	36
8	IFK Goteborg	24	10	6	8	34	43	36
9	AIK	24	9	7	8	38	42	34
10	GAIS	24	8	6	10	30	25	30
11	Brommapojkarna	24	8	6	10	36	43	30
12	Mjällby AIF	24	5	8	11	28	40	23
13	Degerfors	23	5	5	13	20	35	20
14	Kalmar FF	23	5	4	14	21	37	19
15	Orgryte IS	24	4	6	14	29	54	18
16	Halmstad	24	3	5	16	16	45	14

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kalmar FF	Brommapojkarna
Malmo FF	0-1 L	1-2 L
Elfsborg	0-1 L	2-1 W
Djurgarden	0-1 L	0-2 L
Hammarby	0-4 L	1-3 L
IFK Goteborg	2-3 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 5 L	1 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Brommapojkarna (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kalmar FF

WDLLDLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/10	Malmo FF Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-1	4	4	L
20/09	BK Hacken Sweden Allsvenskan	0-2	0-5	5	1	L
13/09	Elfsborg Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-1	6	1	L
07/09	Djurgarden Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
29/08	Halmstad Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-1	8	3	L
23/08	Vasteras SK Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
16/08	Hammarby Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	0-4	4	1	L
09/08	IFK Goteborg Sweden Allsvenskan	1-1	2-3	1	3	L
01/08	BK Hacken Sweden Allsvenskan	1-1	1-1	6	3	D
25/07	Mjällby AIF Sweden Allsvenskan	1-1	2-1	3	5	W

Brommapojkarna

LDWWLWLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/10	Djurgarden Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	0-2	5	3	L
10/10	AIK Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	6-5	0	5	W
19/09	IFK Goteborg Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-1	7	1	L
13/09	Hammarby Sweden Allsvenskan	1-2	1-3	4	1	L
06/09	Elfsborg Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	2-1	4	3	W
31/08	GAIS Sweden Allsvenskan	0-2	0-4	4	4	L
23/08	Degerfors Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	2-0	5	2	W
16/08	Orgryte IS Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	3-1	8	3	W
10/08	Sirius Sweden Allsvenskan	2-2	2-2	4	4	D
02/08	Malmo FF Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-2	4	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kalmar FF vs Brommapojkarna?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kalmar FF win (46%). Probabilities: Kalmar FF 46%, draw 27%, Brommapojkarna 27%.

How many goals are expected in Kalmar FF vs Brommapojkarna?

The model expects 2.82 goals (Kalmar FF 1.62 · Brommapojkarna 1.2), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Kalmar FF vs Brommapojkarna?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.