Football · Sweden Allsvenskan · 24/10, 17:30

Prediction: Djurgarden vs Orgryte IS

Team pages: Djurgarden · Orgryte IS

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.23Total

Djurgarden2.33

Orgryte IS0.91

1X2

68% 19% 12%

Djurgarden Draw Orgryte IS

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

2-0 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Djurgarden 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

LLWWWWWLWW

Orgryte IS 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

WLLDLDLLLW

Head-to-head

Djurgarden 0–1–0 Orgryte IS (1 last)

Orgryte IS0-0Djurgarden

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Djurgarden (rating 1616 vs 1458).
Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Djurgarden	Orgryte IS
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 0.6	1.5 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.5	0.7 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.2	2 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.2	2.8 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.84

Under 3.51.96

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 19:31

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.13 → 1.13▲	Pinn 1.13
X	8.74 → 9.14▲	Pinn 9.14
2	13.95 → 15.01▲	Pinn 15.01

See the full journey (3)

Pinnacle margin 5.9%

Time*	1	X	2
16:43 +28’	1.13	8.74	13.95
17:43 +46’	1.14▲	9.03▲	14.65▲
18:41 +50’	1.13▼	9.14▲	15.01▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Djurgarden 0–1–0 Orgryte IS

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/07/26 Sweden Allsvenskan	Orgryte IS	0-0 HT 0-0	Djurgarden

Standings · Sweden Allsvenskan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sirius	24	17	4	3	55	30	55
2	Djurgarden	24	15	2	7	50	21	47
3	Hammarby	24	14	4	6	50	21	46
4	BK Hacken	24	11	9	4	43	30	42
5	Elfsborg	24	11	8	5	37	24	41
6	Vasteras SK	24	11	5	8	35	36	38
7	Malmo FF	24	11	3	10	38	34	36
8	IFK Goteborg	24	10	6	8	34	43	36
9	AIK	24	9	7	8	38	42	34
10	GAIS	24	8	6	10	30	25	30
11	Brommapojkarna	24	8	6	10	36	43	30
12	Mjällby AIF	24	5	8	11	28	40	23
13	Degerfors	23	5	5	13	20	35	20
14	Kalmar FF	23	5	4	14	21	37	19
15	Orgryte IS	24	4	6	14	29	54	18
16	Halmstad	24	3	5	16	16	45	14

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Djurgarden	Orgryte IS
Brommapojkarna	2-0 W	1-3 L
Hammarby	1-0 W	1-1 D
GAIS	2-0 W	4-2 W
Malmo FF	3-0 W	1-4 L
AIK	1-3 L	3-4 L
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Djurgarden (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Djurgarden

LLWWWWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/10	Brommapojkarna Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	2-0	2	3	W
11/10	Hammarby Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	1-0	2	6	W
20/09	Elfsborg Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	1-2	4	1	L
14/09	GAIS Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	2-0	2	7	W
07/09	Kalmar FF Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-0	6	4	W
03/09	Mjällby AIF Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	2-0	3	4	W
31/08	Mjällby AIF Sweden Allsvenskan	3-0	4-0	4	1	W
24/08	Malmo FF Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	3-0	7	6	W
16/08	AIK Sweden Allsvenskan	0-3	1-3	5	6	L
10/08	Vasteras SK Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	0-1	7	3	L

Orgryte IS

WLLDLDLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	GAIS Sweden Allsvenskan	1-1	4-2	3	3	W
11/10	BK Hacken Sweden Allsvenskan	0-2	0-3	2	4	L
19/09	Sirius Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	1-2	5	2	L
13/09	Malmo FF Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-4	3	4	L
06/09	Hammarby Sweden Allsvenskan	1-1	1-1	2	2	D
30/08	IFK Goteborg Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-1	5	2	L
22/08	Halmstad Sweden Allsvenskan	1-1	1-1	3	2	D
16/08	Brommapojkarna Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	1-3	7	3	L
08/08	AIK Sweden Allsvenskan	2-1	3-4	3	3	L
02/08	AIK Sweden Allsvenskan	2-0	3-0	2	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Djurgarden vs Orgryte IS?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Djurgarden win (68%). Probabilities: Djurgarden 68%, draw 19%, Orgryte IS 12%.

How many goals are expected in Djurgarden vs Orgryte IS?

The model expects 3.23 goals (Djurgarden 2.33 · Orgryte IS 0.91), with a 53% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Djurgarden vs Orgryte IS?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.