Football · Sweden Allsvenskan · 16/10, 19:00

Prediction: Brommapojkarna vs Djurgarden

Team pages: Brommapojkarna · Djurgarden

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.09Total

Brommapojkarna1.41

Djurgarden1.68

1X2

31% 26% 43%

Brommapojkarna Draw Djurgarden

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Brommapojkarna 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DLDWWLWLLW

Djurgarden 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WLLWWWWWLW

Head-to-head

Brommapojkarna 2–1–3 Djurgarden (6 last)

Djurgarden1-2Brommapojkarna
Djurgarden2-0Brommapojkarna
Brommapojkarna1-1Djurgarden
Djurgarden1-0Brommapojkarna
Brommapojkarna0-1Djurgarden
Brommapojkarna2-1Djurgarden

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Djurgarden (rating 1493 vs 1589).
H2H favours Djurgarden: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Brommapojkarna	Djurgarden
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 2	2.1 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.6	0.9 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.2	2.5 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0	3.9 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.81

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:31

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	5.73 → 5.73	Pinn 5.73
X	4.66 → 4.66	Pinn 4.66
2	1.48 → 1.48	Pinn 1.48

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.3%

Time*	1	X	2
15:13 +18’	5.73	4.66	1.48

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Brommapojkarna 2–1–3 Djurgarden

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
22/05/26 Sweden Allsvenskan	Djurgarden	1-2 HT 1-1	Brommapojkarna
08/03/26 Sweden Cup	Djurgarden	2-0 HT 2-0	Brommapojkarna
16/01/26 Club Friendly List	Brommapojkarna	1-1 HT 0-1	Djurgarden
24/08/25 Sweden Allsvenskan	Djurgarden	1-0 HT 1-0	Brommapojkarna
29/05/25 Sweden Allsvenskan	Brommapojkarna	0-1 HT 0-1	Djurgarden
08/03/25 Club Friendly List	Brommapojkarna	2-1 HT 1-1	Djurgarden

Standings · Sweden Allsvenskan

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sirius	23	17	3	3	53	28	54
2	Hammarby	22	13	4	5	49	20	43
3	Djurgarden	22	13	2	7	47	21	41
4	Elfsborg	22	10	7	5	31	22	37
5	BK Hacken	22	9	9	4	39	30	36
6	Vasteras SK	23	10	5	8	34	36	35
7	IFK Goteborg	23	10	5	8	32	41	35
8	Malmo FF	22	10	3	9	37	33	33
9	AIK	23	9	6	8	36	40	33
10	GAIS	23	8	6	9	28	21	30
11	Brommapojkarna	23	8	6	9	36	41	30
12	Mjällby AIF	23	5	8	10	28	39	23
13	Degerfors	23	5	5	13	20	35	20
14	Kalmar FF	22	5	4	13	21	36	19
15	Orgryte IS	22	3	6	13	25	49	15
16	Halmstad	22	3	5	14	16	40	14

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Brommapojkarna	Djurgarden
AIK	6-5 W	1-3 L
Hammarby	1-3 L	1-0 W
Elfsborg	2-1 W	1-2 L
GAIS	0-4 L	2-0 W
Malmo FF	1-2 L	3-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	3 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Djurgarden (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Brommapojkarna

DLDWWLWLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	AIK Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	6-5	0	5	W
19/09	IFK Goteborg Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-1	7	1	L
13/09	Hammarby Sweden Allsvenskan	1-2	1-3	4	1	L
06/09	Elfsborg Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	2-1	4	3	W
31/08	GAIS Sweden Allsvenskan	0-2	0-4	4	4	L
23/08	Degerfors Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	2-0	5	2	W
16/08	Orgryte IS Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	3-1	8	3	W
10/08	Sirius Sweden Allsvenskan	2-2	2-2	4	4	D
02/08	Malmo FF Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-2	4	7	L
26/07	Hammarby Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-1	2	2	D

Djurgarden

WLLWWWWWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Hammarby Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	1-0	2	6	W
20/09	Elfsborg Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	1-2	4	1	L
14/09	GAIS Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	2-0	2	7	W
07/09	Kalmar FF Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-0	6	4	W
03/09	Mjällby AIF Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	2-0	3	4	W
31/08	Mjällby AIF Sweden Allsvenskan	3-0	4-0	4	1	W
24/08	Malmo FF Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	3-0	7	6	W
16/08	AIK Sweden Allsvenskan	0-3	1-3	5	6	L
10/08	Vasteras SK Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	0-1	7	3	L
03/08	Vasteras SK Sweden Allsvenskan	3-0	6-0	5	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Brommapojkarna vs Djurgarden?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Djurgarden win (43%). Probabilities: Brommapojkarna 31%, draw 26%, Djurgarden 43%.

How many goals are expected in Brommapojkarna vs Djurgarden?

The model expects 3.09 goals (Brommapojkarna 1.41 · Djurgarden 1.68), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Brommapojkarna vs Djurgarden?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.