Football · Sweden Allsvenskan · 01/11, 14:00

Prediction: Djurgarden vs Degerfors

Team pages: Djurgarden · Degerfors

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.86Total

Djurgarden2.19

Degerfors0.68

1X2

71% 20% 9%

Djurgarden Draw Degerfors

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

2-0 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Djurgarden 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

LWWWWWLWWD

Degerfors 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

WLLWLLDLLL

Head-to-head

Djurgarden 4–1–1 Degerfors (6 last)

Degerfors0-1Djurgarden
Degerfors1-1Djurgarden
Djurgarden5-1Degerfors
Djurgarden3-0Degerfors
Djurgarden4-1Degerfors
Degerfors2-1Djurgarden

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Djurgarden (rating 1608 vs 1437).
H2H favours Djurgarden: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Djurgarden	Degerfors
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 0.7	0.7 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.4	0.4 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/20/20%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 3.8	2.8 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.2	2.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.94

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 22:49

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.27 → 1.28▲	Pinn 1.28
X	5.75 → 5.86▲	Pinn 5.86
2	8.84 → 9.13▲	Pinn 9.13

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 6.1%

Time*	1	X	2
20:04 +1’	1.27	5.75	8.84
22:46 +3’	1.28▲	5.86▲	9.13▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Djurgarden 4–1–1 Degerfors

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/07/26 Sweden Allsvenskan	Degerfors	0-1 HT 0-1	Djurgarden
04/10/25 Sweden Allsvenskan	Degerfors	1-1 HT 0-0	Djurgarden
06/07/25 Sweden Allsvenskan	Djurgarden	5-1 HT 3-0	Degerfors
10/03/24 Sweden Cup	Djurgarden	3-0 HT 0-0	Degerfors
27/08/23 Sweden Allsvenskan	Djurgarden	4-1 HT 3-1	Degerfors
30/04/23 Sweden Allsvenskan	Degerfors	2-1 HT 1-1	Djurgarden

Standings · Sweden Allsvenskan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sirius	25	17	4	4	56	32	55
2	Hammarby	25	15	4	6	52	21	49
3	Djurgarden	26	15	4	7	53	24	49
4	BK Hacken	26	12	10	4	47	30	46
5	Elfsborg	26	11	10	5	39	26	43
6	Vasteras SK	26	12	5	9	39	38	41
7	Malmo FF	26	12	4	10	41	34	40
8	AIK	26	10	8	8	42	45	38
9	IFK Goteborg	26	10	8	8	36	45	38
10	Brommapojkarna	26	9	7	10	39	43	34
11	GAIS	25	8	7	10	31	26	31
12	Mjällby AIF	25	5	8	12	28	42	23
13	Kalmar FF	25	6	4	15	23	41	22
14	Degerfors	26	5	5	16	21	44	20
15	Orgryte IS	25	4	7	14	31	56	19
16	Halmstad	26	4	5	17	18	49	17

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Djurgarden	Degerfors
Brommapojkarna	2-0 W	0-2 L
Hammarby	1-0 W	0-1 L
Elfsborg	1-2 L	0-2 L
Kalmar FF	1-0 W	1-2 L
Mjällby AIF	2-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 1 L	0 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Djurgarden (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Djurgarden

LWWWWWLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Orgryte IS Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	2-2	3	1	D
16/10	Brommapojkarna Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	2-0	2	3	W
11/10	Hammarby Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	1-0	2	6	W
20/09	Elfsborg Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	1-2	4	1	L
14/09	GAIS Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	2-0	2	7	W
07/09	Kalmar FF Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-0	6	4	W
03/09	Mjällby AIF Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	2-0	3	4	W
31/08	Mjällby AIF Sweden Allsvenskan	3-0	4-0	4	1	W
24/08	Malmo FF Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	3-0	7	6	W
16/08	AIK Sweden Allsvenskan	0-3	1-3	5	6	L

Degerfors

WLLWLLDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/10	Vasteras SK Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	0-3	3	3	L
24/10	BK Hacken Sweden Allsvenskan	0-4	0-4	6	2	L
19/10	Kalmar FF Sweden Allsvenskan	1-2	1-2	10	3	L
10/10	Mjällby AIF Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-1	5	0	D
20/09	Hammarby Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-1	1	4	L
14/09	Sirius Sweden Allsvenskan	0-2	0-2	7	2	L
05/09	Halmstad Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	2-0	12	3	W
29/08	Elfsborg Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	0-2	6	2	L
23/08	Brommapojkarna Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-2	0	2	L
16/08	IFK Goteborg Sweden Allsvenskan	3-0	3-0	2	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Djurgarden vs Degerfors?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Djurgarden win (71%). Probabilities: Djurgarden 71%, draw 20%, Degerfors 9%.

How many goals are expected in Djurgarden vs Degerfors?

The model expects 2.86 goals (Djurgarden 2.19 · Degerfors 0.68), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Djurgarden vs Degerfors?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.