Football · Sweden Allsvenskan · 16/08, 14:00

Prediction: Brommapojkarna vs Orgryte IS

Team pages: Brommapojkarna · Orgryte IS

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.12Total

Brommapojkarna1.97

Orgryte IS1.15

1X2

56% 23% 21%

Brommapojkarna Draw Orgryte IS

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Brommapojkarna 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LWWDLDLLDL

Orgryte IS 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLLDLWDLWL

Head-to-head

Brommapojkarna 4–1–1 Orgryte IS (6 last)

Orgryte IS1-2Brommapojkarna
Brommapojkarna3-0Orgryte IS
Brommapojkarna3-1Orgryte IS
Orgryte IS1-1Brommapojkarna
Brommapojkarna3-1Orgryte IS
Orgryte IS3-2Brommapojkarna

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Brommapojkarna 1463 · Orgryte IS 1450

	Brommapojkarna	Draw	Orgryte IS
Our model	55%	24%	21%
Market	56%	23%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 3.12 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Brommapojkarna: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Brommapojkarna	Orgryte IS
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.5	1.4 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.6	0.6 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	20/10/70%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 4.9	2.2 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.4 / 0.1	2.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.65

X4.00

24.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.82

2 (+0.75)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 31.93

Under 31.88

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:21

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.65 → 1.65	Bet365 1.65
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.7%

Time*	1	X	2
11:20 +1’	1.65	4.00	4.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Brommapojkarna 4–1–1 Orgryte IS

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/04/26 Sweden Allsvenskan	Orgryte IS	1-2 HT 0-1	Brommapojkarna
23/02/25 Sweden Cup	Brommapojkarna	3-0 HT 0-0	Orgryte IS
05/11/22 Sweden Superettan	Brommapojkarna	3-1 HT 1-1	Orgryte IS
19/07/22 Sweden Superettan	Orgryte IS	1-1 HT 0-0	Brommapojkarna
25/03/22 Club Friendly List	Brommapojkarna	3-1 HT 1-1	Orgryte IS
28/09/19 Sweden Superettan	Orgryte IS	3-2 HT 1-1	Brommapojkarna

Standings · Sweden Allsvenskan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sirius	15	13	2	0	42	17	41
2	Hammarby	16	9	3	4	36	15	30
3	Djurgarden	14	8	2	4	33	15	26
4	BK Hacken	16	6	7	3	28	26	25
5	AIK	16	7	4	5	22	24	25
6	Elfsborg	16	6	6	4	21	18	24
7	GAIS	16	6	5	5	21	15	23
8	Malmo FF	16	7	2	7	31	27	23
9	Vasteras SK	15	6	4	5	24	29	22
10	IFK Goteborg	16	5	4	7	22	35	19
11	Kalmar FF	16	5	3	8	21	24	18
12	Mjällby AIF	15	4	5	6	20	20	17
13	Brommapojkarna	15	4	5	6	20	24	17
14	Degerfors	16	3	4	9	14	27	13
15	Orgryte IS	16	3	4	9	20	37	13
16	Halmstad	16	1	4	11	11	33	7

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Brommapojkarna	Orgryte IS
IFK Goteborg	1-2 L	2-3 L
Sirius	1-2 L	0-2 L
Kalmar FF	0-2 L	0-3 L
Djurgarden	2-1 W	0-0 D
Elfsborg	0-2 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 4 L	0 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Brommapojkarna (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Brommapojkarna

LWWDLDLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	Malmo FF Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-2	4	7	L
26/07	Hammarby Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-1	2	1	D
17/07	IFK Goteborg Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-2	5	3	L
12/07	Sirius Sweden Allsvenskan	0-2	1-2	5	1	L
06/07	GAIS Sweden Allsvenskan	1-1	1-1	3	2	D
27/06	Kalmar FF Club Friendly List	0-2	0-2	–	–	L
31/05	Degerfors Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	2-2	5	1	D
22/05	Djurgarden Sweden Allsvenskan	1-1	2-1	8	2	W
17/05	Kalmar FF Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
08/05	Elfsborg Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-2	8	2	L

Orgryte IS

LLLDLWDLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	AIK Sweden Allsvenskan	2-1	3-4	3	3	L
02/08	AIK Sweden Allsvenskan	2-0	3-0	2	3	W
24/07	Vasteras SK Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	0-2	5	1	L
20/07	Djurgarden Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
11/07	BK Hacken Sweden Allsvenskan	1-2	4-3	5	4	W
05/07	Kalmar FF Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	0-3	4	1	L
29/05	Elfsborg Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	2-2	4	3	D
23/05	Halmstad Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	0-2	5	5	L
19/05	IFK Goteborg Sweden Allsvenskan	1-2	2-3	6	5	L
11/05	Sirius Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	0-2	4	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Brommapojkarna vs Orgryte IS?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Brommapojkarna win (56%). Probabilities: Brommapojkarna 56%, draw 23%, Orgryte IS 21%.

How many goals are expected in Brommapojkarna vs Orgryte IS?

The model expects 3.12 goals (Brommapojkarna 1.97 · Orgryte IS 1.15), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Brommapojkarna vs Orgryte IS?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.