Football · Sweden Allsvenskan · 29/10, 19:00

Prediction: Orgryte IS vs Mjällby AIF

Team pages: Orgryte IS · Mjällby AIF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.86Total

Orgryte IS1.64

Mjällby AIF1.22

1X2

46% 27% 27%

Orgryte IS Draw Mjällby AIF

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Orgryte IS 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LLDLDLLLWD

Mjällby AIF 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LWLLLDDLDL

Head-to-head

Orgryte IS 2–1–3 Mjällby AIF (6 last)

Mjällby AIF0-2Orgryte IS
Orgryte IS0-3Mjällby AIF
Orgryte IS1-1Mjällby AIF
Mjällby AIF2-1Orgryte IS
Orgryte IS2-1Mjällby AIF
Mjällby AIF2-1Orgryte IS

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Mjällby AIF: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Orgryte IS	Mjällby AIF
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 2.3	0.8 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.9	0.2 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 3.7	1.5 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.5 / 0.1	3 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.91

Under 2.751.89

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:21

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.77 → 3.77	Pinn 3.77
X	3.76 → 3.76	Pinn 3.76
2	1.88 → 1.88	Pinn 1.88

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.2%

Time*	1	X	2
17:42 +39’	3.77	3.76	1.88

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Orgryte IS 2–1–3 Mjällby AIF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Sweden Allsvenskan	Mjällby AIF	0-2 HT 0-2	Orgryte IS
27/02/26 Sweden Cup	Orgryte IS	0-3 HT 0-1	Mjällby AIF
17/08/19 Sweden Superettan	Orgryte IS	1-1 HT 0-1	Mjällby AIF
04/05/19 Sweden Superettan	Mjällby AIF	2-1 HT 1-0	Orgryte IS
11/11/17 Sweden Superettan Qualification	Orgryte IS	2-1 HT 0-1	Mjällby AIF
08/11/17 Sweden Superettan Qualification	Mjällby AIF	2-1 HT 2-0	Orgryte IS

Standings · Sweden Allsvenskan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sirius	25	17	4	4	56	32	55
2	Djurgarden	25	15	3	7	52	23	48
3	Hammarby	24	14	4	6	50	21	46
4	BK Hacken	25	12	9	4	47	30	45
5	Elfsborg	25	11	9	5	37	24	42
6	Vasteras SK	25	11	5	9	36	38	38
7	Malmo FF	25	11	4	10	38	34	37
8	AIK	25	10	7	8	40	43	37
9	IFK Goteborg	24	10	6	8	34	43	36
10	Brommapojkarna	25	9	6	10	39	43	33
11	GAIS	24	8	6	10	30	25	30
12	Mjällby AIF	24	5	8	11	28	40	23
13	Kalmar FF	25	6	4	15	23	41	22
14	Degerfors	25	5	5	15	21	41	20
15	Orgryte IS	25	4	7	14	31	56	19
16	Halmstad	25	4	5	16	18	46	17

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Orgryte IS	Mjällby AIF
Djurgarden	2-2 D	0-2 L
GAIS	4-2 W	0-3 L
BK Hacken	0-3 L	1-1 D
Sirius	1-2 L	4-3 W
IFK Goteborg	0-1 L	1-4 L
AIK	3-4 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 4 L	1 W 2 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Orgryte IS

LLDLDLLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Djurgarden Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	2-2	4	1	D
18/10	GAIS Sweden Allsvenskan	1-1	4-2	3	3	W
11/10	BK Hacken Sweden Allsvenskan	0-2	0-3	2	4	L
19/09	Sirius Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	1-2	5	2	L
13/09	Malmo FF Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-4	3	4	L
06/09	Hammarby Sweden Allsvenskan	1-1	1-1	2	2	D
30/08	IFK Goteborg Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-1	5	2	L
22/08	Halmstad Sweden Allsvenskan	1-1	1-1	3	2	D
16/08	Brommapojkarna Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	1-3	7	3	L
08/08	AIK Sweden Allsvenskan	2-1	3-4	3	3	L

Mjällby AIF

LWLLLDDLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Vasteras SK Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	0-1	5	4	L
10/10	Degerfors Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-1	7	0	D
20/09	GAIS Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	0-3	5	5	L
16/09	AIK Sweden Allsvenskan	1-1	1-1	5	4	D
11/09	BK Hacken Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	1-1	8	1	D
07/09	IFK Goteborg Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-4	4	5	L
03/09	Djurgarden Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-2	0	4	L
31/08	Djurgarden Sweden Allsvenskan	0-3	0-4	1	1	L
15/08	Sirius Sweden Allsvenskan	0-3	4-3	7	5	W
08/08	Elfsborg Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	0-1	2	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Orgryte IS vs Mjällby AIF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Orgryte IS win (46%). Probabilities: Orgryte IS 46%, draw 27%, Mjällby AIF 27%.

How many goals are expected in Orgryte IS vs Mjällby AIF?

The model expects 2.86 goals (Orgryte IS 1.64 · Mjällby AIF 1.22), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Orgryte IS vs Mjällby AIF?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.