Football · Sweden Allsvenskan · 20/07, 19:00

Prediction: Kalmar FF vs Malmo FF

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3Total
Kalmar FF1.41
Malmo FF1.59
1X2
33% 27% 41%
Kalmar FF Draw Malmo FF
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Kalmar FF 6-0-4 (W-D-L)
WLWLWLWWWL
Malmo FF 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
LWLLLLWDWW
Head-to-head
Kalmar FF 2–2–2 Malmo FF (6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kalmar FF 1526 · Malmo FF 1504
Kalmar FFDrawMalmo FF
Our model33%26%41%
Market32%27%40%
Estimated total (ours) 3 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Kalmar FFMalmo FF
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 1.12.2 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 0.41.2 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/20/30%30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)3 / 4.32.2 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.2 / 02.6 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Kalmar FF 222 Malmo FF

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DateHomeScoreAway
20/03/26
Club Friendly List
Malmo FF1-1
HT 1-0
Kalmar FF
24/08/24
Sweden Allsvenskan
Kalmar FF2-2
HT 0-1
Malmo FF
24/05/24
Sweden Allsvenskan
Malmo FF5-0
HT 4-0
Kalmar FF
08/10/23
Sweden Allsvenskan
Kalmar FF1-0
HT 0-0
Malmo FF
01/04/23
Sweden Allsvenskan
Malmo FF1-0
HT 0-0
Kalmar FF
28/08/22
Sweden Allsvenskan
Malmo FF0-1
HT 0-0
Kalmar FF

Standings · Sweden Allsvenskan

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Sirius 121020 331532
2 Hammarby 13724 281423
3 BK Hacken 12552 252220
4 Djurgarden 11614 261519
5 GAIS 13544 181219
6 Malmo FF 12615 252019
7 Elfsborg 13463 171418
8 Vasteras SK 12534 222318
9 AIK 12534 161818
10 Mjällby AIF 12444 191716
11 Brommapojkarna 12444 171916
12 Kalmar FF 12417 141713
13 Degerfors 12246 121910
14 IFK Goteborg 12246 142810
15 Orgryte IS 12237 14319
16 Halmstad 12138 10266

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentKalmar FFMalmo FF
Hammarby 0-2 L 1-4 L
AIK 2-0 W 1-0 W
Degerfors 2-1 W 1-0 W
Halmstad 2-0 W 5-2 W
Sirius 2-3 L 2-3 L
Record vs common 3 W 0 D 2 L 3 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Kalmar FF (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kalmar FF

WLWLWLWWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/07 Hammarby
Sweden Allsvenskan
0-1 0-2 12 L
05/07 Orgryte IS
Sweden Allsvenskan
1-0 3-0 41 W
27/06 Brommapojkarna
Club Friendly List
2-0 2-0 W
22/06 AIK
Club Friendly List
2-0 2-0 32 W
30/05 GAIS
Sweden Allsvenskan
0-1 0-3 33 L
23/05 Degerfors
Sweden Allsvenskan
1-0 2-1 63 W
17/05 Brommapojkarna
Sweden Allsvenskan
0-1 0-1 34 L
10/05 Halmstad
Sweden Allsvenskan
0-0 2-0 123 W
02/05 Sirius
Sweden Allsvenskan
2-0 2-3 64 L
27/04 Elfsborg
Sweden Allsvenskan
1-1 2-1 17 W

Malmo FF

LWLLLLWDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/07 IFK Goteborg
Sweden Allsvenskan
3-0 4-0 73 W
04/07 Degerfors
Sweden Allsvenskan
0-0 1-0 43 W
26/06 Midtjylland
Club Friendly List
2-0 2-2 40 D
30/05 Halmstad
Sweden Allsvenskan
2-2 5-2 41 W
24/05 Vasteras SK
Sweden Allsvenskan
1-2 2-3 24 L
17/05 Hammarby
Sweden Allsvenskan
1-3 1-4 32 L
10/05 BK Hacken
Sweden Allsvenskan
2-3 2-3 54 L
03/05 Mjällby AIF
Sweden Allsvenskan
0-1 2-3 51 L
27/04 AIK
Sweden Allsvenskan
1-0 1-0 64 W
23/04 Sirius
Sweden Allsvenskan
0-1 2-3 44 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kalmar FF vs Malmo FF?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Malmo FF win (41%). Probabilities: Kalmar FF 33%, draw 27%, Malmo FF 41%.

How many goals are expected in Kalmar FF vs Malmo FF?

The model expects 3 goals (Kalmar FF 1.41 · Malmo FF 1.59), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Kalmar FF vs Malmo FF?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.