Football · Sweden Allsvenskan · 17/08, 19:00

Prediction: BK Hacken vs Halmstad

Team pages: BK Hacken · Halmstad

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.37Total

BK Hacken2.41

Halmstad0.95

1X2

69% 18% 13%

BK Hacken Draw Halmstad

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

2-0

Recent form · 10 last

BK Hacken 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WDWLLLWDDL

Halmstad 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

WLDDLLLDLL

Head-to-head

BK Hacken 4–1–1 Halmstad (6 last)

Halmstad0-2BK Hacken
BK Hacken4-0Halmstad
Halmstad0-0BK Hacken
BK Hacken4-1Halmstad
BK Hacken0-1Halmstad
BK Hacken4-2Halmstad

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · BK Hacken 1489 · Halmstad 1415

	BK Hacken	Draw	Halmstad
Our model	69%	19%	12%
Market	70%	17%	13%

Estimated total (ours) 3.37 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours BK Hacken (rating 1489 vs 1415).
H2H favours BK Hacken: 4-1-1.
High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	BK Hacken	Halmstad
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.9	1 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1.1	0.4 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 5.6	2.6 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.2	2.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.33

X5.50

27.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.88

2 (+1.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.88

Under 3.251.93

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 05:37

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.25 → 1.33▲	Bet365 1.33
X	6.00 → 5.50▼	Pinn 5.85
2	8.50 → 7.00▼	Pinn 8.04 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 7.5% Pinnacle margin 6.4%

Time*	1	X	2
00:43 +3’	1.25	6.00	8.50
05:33 +4’	1.33▲	5.50▼	7.00▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
00:45	1.30	5.85	8.02
22:12 +2’	1.30	5.85	8.04▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · BK Hacken 4–1–1 Halmstad

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/07/26 Sweden Allsvenskan	Halmstad	0-2 HT 0-0	BK Hacken
21/03/26 Club Friendly List	BK Hacken	4-0 HT 2-0	Halmstad
20/07/25 Sweden Allsvenskan	Halmstad	0-0 HT 0-0	BK Hacken
13/07/25 Sweden Allsvenskan	BK Hacken	4-1 HT 3-0	Halmstad
27/10/24 Sweden Allsvenskan	BK Hacken	0-1 HT 0-0	Halmstad
30/06/24 Club Friendly List	BK Hacken	4-2 HT 2-1	Halmstad

Standings · Sweden Allsvenskan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sirius	16	13	3	0	44	19	42
2	Hammarby	16	9	3	4	36	15	30
3	Djurgarden	15	8	2	5	33	16	26
4	BK Hacken	16	6	7	3	28	26	25
5	AIK	16	7	4	5	22	24	25
6	Vasteras SK	16	7	4	5	25	29	25
7	Elfsborg	16	6	6	4	21	18	24
8	GAIS	16	6	5	5	21	15	23
9	Malmo FF	16	7	2	7	31	27	23
10	IFK Goteborg	16	5	4	7	22	35	19
11	Kalmar FF	16	5	3	8	21	24	18
12	Brommapojkarna	16	4	6	6	22	26	18
13	Mjällby AIF	15	4	5	6	20	20	17
14	Degerfors	16	3	4	9	14	27	13
15	Orgryte IS	16	3	4	9	20	37	13
16	Halmstad	16	1	4	11	11	33	7

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	BK Hacken	Halmstad
Orgryte IS	3-4 L	2-0 W
Djurgarden	2-4 L	0-3 L
Mjällby AIF	1-0 W	3-3 D
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: BK Hacken (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

BK Hacken

WDWLLLWDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Hammarby Sweden Allsvenskan	0-2	0-3	2	2	L
01/08	Kalmar FF Sweden Allsvenskan	1-1	1-1	5	3	D
27/07	AIK Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
19/07	Halmstad Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	2-0	3	2	W
11/07	Orgryte IS Sweden Allsvenskan	2-1	3-4	8	4	L
06/07	Djurgarden Sweden Allsvenskan	1-2	2-4	7	4	L
24/06	Hammarby Club Friendly List	1-3	1-4	6	0	L
31/05	Hammarby Sweden Allsvenskan	0-2	3-2	7	5	W
25/05	Elfsborg Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	1-1	6	4	D
17/05	Mjällby AIF Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-0	7	5	W

Halmstad

WLDDLLLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	GAIS Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-2	7	1	L
03/08	Sirius Sweden Allsvenskan	0-2	0-2	2	1	L
26/07	GAIS Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-1	5	6	D
19/07	BK Hacken Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-2	7	2	L
13/07	Djurgarden Sweden Allsvenskan	0-2	0-3	7	1	L
04/07	Vasteras SK Sweden Allsvenskan	1-2	1-3	3	4	L
24/06	Mjällby AIF Club Friendly List	0-1	3-3	8	1	D
17/06	GAIS Club Friendly List	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
30/05	Malmo FF Sweden Allsvenskan	2-2	2-5	5	1	L
23/05	Orgryte IS Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	2-0	3	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in BK Hacken vs Halmstad?

According to our model, the most likely result is a BK Hacken win (69%). Probabilities: BK Hacken 69%, draw 18%, Halmstad 13%.

How many goals are expected in BK Hacken vs Halmstad?

The model expects 3.37 goals (BK Hacken 2.41 · Halmstad 0.95), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in BK Hacken vs Halmstad?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.