Football · Sweden Allsvenskan · 27/10, 19:00

Prediction: AIK vs Elfsborg

Team pages: AIK · Elfsborg

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.11Total

AIK1.63

Elfsborg1.48

1X2

40% 26% 34%

AIK Draw Elfsborg

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

AIK 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

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Elfsborg 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

AIK 3–1–2 Elfsborg (6 last)

Elfsborg1-1AIK
Elfsborg3-2AIK
Elfsborg0-3AIK
AIK2-0Elfsborg
AIK2-1Elfsborg
Elfsborg6-1AIK

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours AIK: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	AIK	Elfsborg
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 2.2	1.7 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.7	0.7 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 4.1	2.4 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.1	2.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.90

Under 2.751.90

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 01:28

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.11 → 3.04▼	Pinn 3.04
X	3.55 → 3.57▲	Pinn 3.57
2	2.19 → 2.22▲	Pinn 2.22

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 6%

Time*	1	X	2
16:14 +213’	3.11	3.55	2.19
00:35 +53’	3.04▼	3.57▲	2.22▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · AIK 3–1–2 Elfsborg

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/05/26 Sweden Allsvenskan	Elfsborg	1-1 HT 1-1	AIK
21/03/26 Club Friendly List	Elfsborg	3-2 HT 1-1	AIK
02/11/25 Sweden Allsvenskan	Elfsborg	0-3 HT 0-1	AIK
27/04/25 Sweden Allsvenskan	AIK	2-0 HT 2-0	Elfsborg
27/10/24 Sweden Allsvenskan	AIK	2-1 HT 1-0	Elfsborg
15/05/24 Sweden Allsvenskan	Elfsborg	6-1 HT 3-0	AIK

Standings · Sweden Allsvenskan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sirius	25	17	4	4	56	32	55
2	Djurgarden	25	15	3	7	52	23	48
3	Hammarby	24	14	4	6	50	21	46
4	BK Hacken	25	12	9	4	47	30	45
5	Elfsborg	25	11	9	5	37	24	42
6	Vasteras SK	25	11	5	9	36	38	38
7	Malmo FF	25	11	4	10	38	34	37
8	AIK	25	10	7	8	40	43	37
9	IFK Goteborg	24	10	6	8	34	43	36
10	Brommapojkarna	25	9	6	10	39	43	33
11	GAIS	24	8	6	10	30	25	30
12	Mjällby AIF	24	5	8	11	28	40	23
13	Kalmar FF	25	6	4	15	23	41	22
14	Degerfors	25	5	5	15	21	41	20
15	Orgryte IS	25	4	7	14	31	56	19
16	Halmstad	25	4	5	16	18	46	17

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	AIK	Elfsborg
Sirius	2-1 W	2-2 D
IFK Goteborg	2-2 D	1-1 D
Brommapojkarna	5-6 L	1-2 L
Halmstad	1-2 L	4-0 W
Mjällby AIF	1-1 D	1-0 W
Vasteras SK	1-4 L	3-0 W
Malmo FF	0-0 D	0-0 D
Djurgarden	3-1 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 3 L	4 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Elfsborg (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AIK

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Sirius Sweden Allsvenskan	2-1	2-1	1	3	W
17/10	IFK Goteborg Sweden Allsvenskan	1-1	2-2	3	0	D
10/10	Brommapojkarna Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	5-6	11	5	L
20/09	Halmstad Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-2	3	1	L
16/09	Mjällby AIF Sweden Allsvenskan	1-1	1-1	9	4	D
12/09	Vasteras SK Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	1-4	5	1	L
07/09	Malmo FF Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
30/08	Hammarby Sweden Allsvenskan	1-2	3-2	1	5	W
16/08	Djurgarden Sweden Allsvenskan	3-0	3-1	1	6	W
08/08	Orgryte IS Sweden Allsvenskan	1-2	4-3	4	3	W

Elfsborg

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	Malmo FF Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-0	8	5	D
18/10	Sirius Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	2-2	8	4	D
12/10	Halmstad Sweden Allsvenskan	2-0	4-0	8	1	W
20/09	Djurgarden Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	2-1	7	1	W
13/09	Kalmar FF Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-0	3	1	W
06/09	Brommapojkarna Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	1-2	4	3	L
29/08	Degerfors Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	2-0	8	2	W
23/08	IFK Goteborg Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-1	5	5	D
14/08	Vasteras SK Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	3-0	4	4	W
08/08	Mjällby AIF Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	1-0	5	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AIK vs Elfsborg?

According to our model, the most likely result is a AIK win (40%). Probabilities: AIK 40%, draw 26%, Elfsborg 34%.

How many goals are expected in AIK vs Elfsborg?

The model expects 3.11 goals (AIK 1.63 · Elfsborg 1.48), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in AIK vs Elfsborg?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.