Prediction: FC Lahti vs HJK Helsinki
Expected goals: 3.21 (FC Lahti 1.59 · HJK Helsinki 1.62). The model gives 37% home, 25% draw, 38% away. Over 3 goals (51%) and both teams to score (58%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Over its last 10 matches, FC Lahti sits at 3-3-4 (W-D-L), while HJK Helsinki arrives on a 6-2-2 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, FC Lahti won 4 and HJK Helsinki 2.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours HJK Helsinki (rating 1512 vs 1572).
- H2H favours FC Lahti: 4-0-2.
- High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Lahti | HJK Helsinki | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.3 | 3.6 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.8 | 1.6 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.5 | 3.1 / 7.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.2 | 2.8 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Lahti 4–0–2 HJK Helsinki
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/05/26 Finland Veikkausliiga | HJK Helsinki | 1-0 HT 1-0 | FC Lahti |
| 24/01/26 Finland Liigacup | FC Lahti | 2-0 HT 1-0 | HJK Helsinki |
| 03/08/24 Finland Veikkausliiga | FC Lahti | 2-1 HT 1-1 | HJK Helsinki |
| 11/04/24 Finland Veikkausliiga | HJK Helsinki | 4-0 HT 2-0 | FC Lahti |
| 27/02/24 Finland Liigacup | FC Lahti | 3-0 HT 2-0 | HJK Helsinki |
| 08/07/23 Finland Veikkausliiga | HJK Helsinki | 0-1 HT 0-1 | FC Lahti |
Standings · Finland Veikkausliiga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KuPS Kuopio | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 27 | 15 | 30 |
| 2 | FC Inter | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 23 | 12 | 30 |
| 3 | AC Oulu | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 26 |
| 4 | VPS Vaasa | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 24 |
| 5 | HJK Helsinki | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 17 | 22 |
| 6 | IF Gnistan | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 18 | 19 |
| 7 | TPS | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 19 |
| 8 | FC Lahti | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 16 |
| 9 | FC Ilves | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 29 | 16 |
| 10 | SJK | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 22 | 14 |
| 11 | FF Jaro | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 11 |
| 12 | IFK Mariehamn | 14 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 6 | 29 | 4 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Lahti | HJK Helsinki |
|---|---|---|
| FC Ilves | 2-5 L | 2-1 W |
| IFK Mariehamn | 1-0 W | 4-0 W |
| KuPS Kuopio | 1-2 L | 0-4 L |
| VPS Vaasa | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Lahti
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | IF Gnistan Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 27/06 | AC Oulu Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 23/06 | TPS Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 17/06 | IF Gnistan Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 13/06 | SJK Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 10/06 | FC Ilves Finland Cup |
2-4 | 2-5 | 3 | 9 | L |
| 30/05 | FC Ilves Finland Veikkausliiga |
3-0 | 5-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 26/05 | IFK Mariehamn Finland Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 23/05 | KuPS Kuopio Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 18/05 | VPS Vaasa Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
HJK Helsinki
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | FC Ilves Finland Cup |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 27/06 | KuPS Kuopio Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-1 | 0-4 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 23/06 | IFK Mariehamn Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 17/06 | FC Inter Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-2 | 3-3 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 13/06 | FF Jaro Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-2 | 5-2 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 09/06 | FC Honka Finland Cup |
4-1 | 7-1 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 30/05 | IFK Mariehamn Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 26/05 | MyPa Finland Cup |
6-0 | 11-1 | 13 | 1 | W |
| 22/05 | VPS Vaasa Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 16/05 | FC Ilves Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Lahti vs HJK Helsinki?
According to our model, the most likely result is an HJK Helsinki win (38%). Probabilities: FC Lahti 37%, draw 25%, HJK Helsinki 38%.
How many goals are expected in FC Lahti vs HJK Helsinki?
The model expects 3.21 goals (FC Lahti 1.59 · HJK Helsinki 1.62), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Lahti vs HJK Helsinki?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.