Football · Finland Veikkausliiga · 18/07, 14:00

Prediction: HJK Helsinki vs VPS Vaasa

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.3Total

HJK Helsinki1.81

VPS Vaasa1.5

1X2

44% 25% 31%

HJK Helsinki Draw VPS Vaasa

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

HJK Helsinki 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

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VPS Vaasa 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

HJK Helsinki 3–1–2 VPS Vaasa (6 last)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours HJK Helsinki: 3-1-2.
High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	HJK Helsinki	VPS Vaasa
Goals for / against (FT)	3.4 / 1.6	2 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1.5 / 0.7	0.9 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/10/40%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 7.3	1.7 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.4	3.3 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · HJK Helsinki 3–1–2 VPS Vaasa

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/05/26 Finland Veikkausliiga	VPS Vaasa	2-1 HT 0-1	HJK Helsinki
05/07/25 Finland Veikkausliiga	VPS Vaasa	0-2 HT 0-0	HJK Helsinki
26/04/25 Finland Veikkausliiga	HJK Helsinki	3-1 HT 2-0	VPS Vaasa
20/09/24 Finland Veikkausliiga	VPS Vaasa	1-1 HT 0-1	HJK Helsinki
01/09/24 Finland Veikkausliiga	VPS Vaasa	1-3 HT 1-1	HJK Helsinki
17/05/24 Finland Veikkausliiga	HJK Helsinki	1-2 HT 0-1	VPS Vaasa

Standings · Finland Veikkausliiga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	KuPS Kuopio	15	8	6	1	27	15	30
2	FC Inter	15	8	6	1	23	12	30
3	VPS Vaasa	15	7	6	2	22	11	27
4	AC Oulu	14	8	2	4	20	15	26
5	HJK Helsinki	14	6	4	4	25	17	22
6	IF Gnistan	14	5	4	5	19	18	19
7	TPS	14	5	4	5	16	16	19
8	FC Lahti	14	4	4	6	16	15	16
9	FC Ilves	15	4	4	7	25	29	16
10	SJK	15	3	5	7	18	23	14
11	FF Jaro	15	2	5	8	15	32	11
12	IFK Mariehamn	14	0	4	10	6	29	4

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	HJK Helsinki	VPS Vaasa
KuPS Kuopio	0-4 L	1-1 D
IFK Mariehamn	4-0 W	4-0 W
FC Inter	3-3 D	2-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

HJK Helsinki

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/07	FC Lahti Finland Veikkausliiga	0-1	0-2	3	3	L
01/07	FC Ilves Finland Cup	1-0	2-1	6	3	W
27/06	KuPS Kuopio Finland Veikkausliiga	0-1	0-4	8	1	L
23/06	IFK Mariehamn Finland Veikkausliiga	1-0	4-0	7	3	W
17/06	FC Inter Finland Veikkausliiga	1-2	3-3	10	2	D
13/06	FF Jaro Finland Veikkausliiga	1-2	5-2	3	5	W
09/06	FC Honka Finland Cup	4-1	7-1	12	3	W
30/05	IFK Mariehamn Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	1-0	7	6	W
26/05	MyPa Finland Cup	6-0	11-1	13	1	W
22/05	VPS Vaasa Finland Veikkausliiga	1-0	1-2	4	6	L

VPS Vaasa

WLDDWWDLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/07	SJK Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	1-0	2	7	W
04/07	IFK Mariehamn Finland Veikkausliiga	2-0	4-0	4	0	W
30/06	FC Inter Finland Cup	1-0	2-3	3	2	L
27/06	IF Gnistan Finland Veikkausliiga	1-1	1-1	4	2	D
23/06	AC Oulu Finland Veikkausliiga	3-1	5-1	2	2	W
17/06	SJK Finland Veikkausliiga	0-1	2-1	2	3	W
13/06	KuPS Kuopio Finland Veikkausliiga	1-0	1-1	2	8	D
10/06	KuPS Kuopio Finland Cup	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
30/05	TPS Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	0-1	9	4	L
26/05	FC Haka Finland Cup	1-0	4-0	3	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in HJK Helsinki vs VPS Vaasa?

According to our model, the most likely result is a HJK Helsinki win (44%). Probabilities: HJK Helsinki 44%, draw 25%, VPS Vaasa 31%.

How many goals are expected in HJK Helsinki vs VPS Vaasa?

The model expects 3.3 goals (HJK Helsinki 1.81 · VPS Vaasa 1.5), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in HJK Helsinki vs VPS Vaasa?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.