Football · Finland Veikkausliiga · 18/07, 16:00

Prediction: AC Oulu vs IF Gnistan

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.02Total

AC Oulu1.66

IF Gnistan1.36

1X2

44% 26% 30%

AC Oulu Draw IF Gnistan

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

AC Oulu 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WLWWWDWLDL

IF Gnistan 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DWLWWWDDLW

Head-to-head

AC Oulu 1–1–4 IF Gnistan (6 last)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours IF Gnistan: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	AC Oulu	IF Gnistan
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.2	1.9 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.7	0.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.7	2.1 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.3	3.8 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · AC Oulu 1–1–4 IF Gnistan

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/04/26 Finland Veikkausliiga	IF Gnistan	1-5 HT 1-2	AC Oulu
25/08/25 Finland Veikkausliiga	IF Gnistan	3-2 HT 1-1	AC Oulu
10/05/25 Finland Veikkausliiga	AC Oulu	2-3 HT 0-0	IF Gnistan
27/09/24 Finland Veikkausliiga	IF Gnistan	1-0 HT 0-0	AC Oulu
18/08/24 Finland Veikkausliiga	IF Gnistan	2-0 HT 2-0	AC Oulu
11/05/24 Finland Veikkausliiga	AC Oulu	1-1 HT 1-1	IF Gnistan

Standings · Finland Veikkausliiga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	KuPS Kuopio	15	8	6	1	27	15	30
2	FC Inter	15	8	6	1	23	12	30
3	VPS Vaasa	15	7	6	2	22	11	27
4	AC Oulu	14	8	2	4	20	15	26
5	HJK Helsinki	14	6	4	4	25	17	22
6	IF Gnistan	14	5	4	5	19	18	19
7	TPS	14	5	4	5	16	16	19
8	FC Lahti	14	4	4	6	16	15	16
9	FC Ilves	15	4	4	7	25	29	16
10	SJK	15	3	5	7	18	23	14
11	FF Jaro	15	2	5	8	15	32	11
12	IFK Mariehamn	14	0	4	10	6	29	4

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	AC Oulu	IF Gnistan
FC Lahti	1-1 D	0-1 L
VPS Vaasa	1-5 L	1-1 D
IFK Mariehamn	2-1 W	4-2 W
FF Jaro	2-1 W	1-1 D
SJK	1-0 W	3-2 W
FC Ilves	0-1 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: AC Oulu (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AC Oulu

WLWWWDWLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/07	TPS Finland Veikkausliiga	0-3	0-3	9	2	L
27/06	FC Lahti Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	1-1	8	5	D
23/06	VPS Vaasa Finland Veikkausliiga	1-3	1-5	3	2	L
18/06	IFK Mariehamn Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	2-1	7	5	W
13/06	FC Inter Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
31/05	FF Jaro Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	2-1	6	3	W
23/05	SJK Finland Veikkausliiga	1-0	1-0	1	2	W
16/05	TPS Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	1-0	6	7	W
08/05	FC Ilves Finland Veikkausliiga	0-1	0-1	5	3	L
02/05	KuPS Kuopio Finland Veikkausliiga	1-0	2-0	7	5	W

IF Gnistan

DWLWWWDDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/07	IFK Mariehamn Finland Veikkausliiga	1-0	4-2	8	1	W
04/07	FC Lahti Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
27/06	VPS Vaasa Finland Veikkausliiga	1-1	1-1	3	2	D
23/06	FF Jaro Finland Veikkausliiga	1-0	1-1	6	5	D
17/06	FC Lahti Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	1-0	2	6	W
13/06	IFK Mariehamn Finland Veikkausliiga	2-0	3-0	3	4	W
30/05	SJK Finland Veikkausliiga	1-1	3-2	2	5	W
23/05	FC Ilves Finland Veikkausliiga	0-1	0-2	4	7	L
16/05	FF Jaro Finland Veikkausliiga	1-0	5-0	4	2	W
09/05	VPS Vaasa Finland Veikkausliiga	0-1	1-1	4	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AC Oulu vs IF Gnistan?

According to our model, the most likely result is a AC Oulu win (44%). Probabilities: AC Oulu 44%, draw 26%, IF Gnistan 30%.

How many goals are expected in AC Oulu vs IF Gnistan?

The model expects 3.02 goals (AC Oulu 1.66 · IF Gnistan 1.36), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in AC Oulu vs IF Gnistan?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.