Football · Finland Veikkausliiga · 19/07, 17:30

Prediction: FF Jaro vs FC Inter

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.05Total
FF Jaro0.99
FC Inter2.06
1X2
16% 23% 61%
FF Jaro Draw FC Inter
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
FF Jaro 2-1-7 (W-D-L)
LLLWLLLDLW
FC Inter 5-5-0 (W-D-L)
WWDWDDDWWD
Head-to-head
FF Jaro 0–1–5 FC Inter (6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FF Jaro 1439 · FC Inter 1573
FF JaroDrawFC Inter
Our model16%23%61%
Market16%23%61%
Estimated total (ours) 3.05 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Inter (rating 1439 vs 1573).
  • H2H favours FC Inter: 5-1-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FF JaroFC Inter
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 31.7 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 1.10.8 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/10/50%40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 5.22.1 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.9 / 0.24.3 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · FF Jaro 015 FC Inter

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DateHomeScoreAway
09/05/26
Finland Veikkausliiga
FC Inter2-0
HT 2-0
FF Jaro
12/07/25
Finland Veikkausliiga
FC Inter3-1
HT 3-0
FF Jaro
01/06/25
Finland Veikkausliiga
FF Jaro0-1
HT 0-0
FC Inter
15/10/15
Finland Veikkausliiga
FC Inter1-0
HT 0-0
FF Jaro
23/08/15
Finland Veikkausliiga
FF Jaro0-0
HT 0-0
FC Inter
11/05/15
Finland Veikkausliiga
FC Inter2-0
HT 2-0
FF Jaro

Standings · Finland Veikkausliiga

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 KuPS Kuopio 15861 271530
2 FC Inter 15861 231230
3 VPS Vaasa 15762 221127
4 AC Oulu 15825 201826
5 HJK Helsinki 15645 251922
6 IF Gnistan 15645 232022
7 TPS 15645 191622
8 FC Lahti 15546 181519
9 FC Ilves 15447 252916
10 SJK 15357 182314
11 FF Jaro 15258 153211
12 IFK Mariehamn 150411 8334

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFF JaroFC Inter
TPS 2-3 L 2-1 W
HJK Helsinki 2-5 L 3-3 D
AC Oulu 1-2 L 0-0 D
IFK Mariehamn 3-0 W 2-0 W
KuPS Kuopio 0-3 L 1-1 D
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 4 L 2 W 3 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: FC Inter (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FF Jaro

LLLWLLLDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 FC Ilves
Finland Veikkausliiga
2-0 2-1 73 W
27/06 TPS
Finland Veikkausliiga
2-1 2-3 83 L
23/06 IF Gnistan
Finland Veikkausliiga
0-1 1-1 65 D
17/06 FC Ilves
Finland Veikkausliiga
0-4 0-5 32 L
13/06 HJK Helsinki
Finland Veikkausliiga
2-1 2-5 65 L
31/05 AC Oulu
Finland Veikkausliiga
0-0 1-2 33 L
23/05 IFK Mariehamn
Finland Veikkausliiga
2-0 3-0 23 W
20/05 KuPS Kuopio
Finland Veikkausliiga
0-1 0-3 21 L
16/05 IF Gnistan
Finland Veikkausliiga
0-1 0-5 32 L
13/05 VJS Vantaa
Finland Cup
0-2 3-5 124 L

FC Inter

WWDWDDDWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/07 FK Sarajevo
UEFA Conference League Qualifying
1-0 1-1 32 D
30/06 VPS Vaasa
Finland Cup
0-1 3-2 42 W
27/06 IFK Mariehamn
Finland Veikkausliiga
1-0 2-0 64 W
23/06 SJK
Finland Veikkausliiga
0-1 1-1 38 D
17/06 HJK Helsinki
Finland Veikkausliiga
2-1 3-3 32 D
13/06 AC Oulu
Finland Veikkausliiga
0-0 0-0 43 D
10/06 SJK
Finland Cup
1-1 2-1 48 W
30/05 KuPS Kuopio
Finland Veikkausliiga
0-0 1-1 25 D
26/05 EBK
Finland Cup
1-1 2-1 135 W
23/05 TPS
Finland Veikkausliiga
2-1 2-1 54 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FF Jaro vs FC Inter?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Inter win (61%). Probabilities: FF Jaro 16%, draw 23%, FC Inter 61%.

How many goals are expected in FF Jaro vs FC Inter?

The model expects 3.05 goals (FF Jaro 0.99 · FC Inter 2.06), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FF Jaro vs FC Inter?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.