Football · Finland Veikkausliiga · 18/07, 16:00

Prediction: SJK vs KuPS Kuopio

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.69Total

SJK1.17

KuPS Kuopio1.52

1X2

28% 28% 44%

SJK Draw KuPS Kuopio

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

SJK 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LWLLWLDDWL

KuPS Kuopio 7-3-0 (W-D-L)

WWWDDDWWWW

Head-to-head

SJK 1–3–2 KuPS Kuopio (6 last)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours KuPS Kuopio (rating 1499 vs 1606).
H2H favours KuPS Kuopio: 2-3-1.
High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SJK	KuPS Kuopio
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.5	2 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.4	1 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5.2	4 / 6.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0	3.3 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · SJK 1–3–2 KuPS Kuopio

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/05/26 Finland Veikkausliiga	KuPS Kuopio	0-0 HT 0-0	SJK
27/03/26 Europe Friendlies	SJK	0-0 HT 0-0	KuPS Kuopio
07/02/26 Finland Liigacup	SJK	3-0 HT 2-0	KuPS Kuopio
27/10/25 Finland Veikkausliiga	SJK	0-1 HT 0-0	KuPS Kuopio
23/09/25 Finland Veikkausliiga	KuPS Kuopio	3-2 HT 2-0	SJK
31/08/25 Finland Veikkausliiga	SJK	1-1 HT 1-1	KuPS Kuopio

Standings · Finland Veikkausliiga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	KuPS Kuopio	15	8	6	1	27	15	30
2	FC Inter	15	8	6	1	23	12	30
3	VPS Vaasa	15	7	6	2	22	11	27
4	AC Oulu	14	8	2	4	20	15	26
5	HJK Helsinki	14	6	4	4	25	17	22
6	IF Gnistan	14	5	4	5	19	18	19
7	TPS	14	5	4	5	16	16	19
8	FC Lahti	14	4	4	6	16	15	16
9	FC Ilves	15	4	4	7	25	29	16
10	SJK	15	3	5	7	18	23	14
11	FF Jaro	15	2	5	8	15	32	11
12	IFK Mariehamn	14	0	4	10	6	29	4

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SJK	KuPS Kuopio
VPS Vaasa	0-1 L	1-1 D
TPS	3-1 W	2-1 W
FC Ilves	2-2 D	4-3 W
FC Inter	1-1 D	1-1 D
FC Lahti	3-2 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 1 L	3 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: KuPS Kuopio (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

SJK

LWLLWLDDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/07	VPS Vaasa Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	0-1	8	7	L
04/07	TPS Finland Veikkausliiga	1-0	3-1	6	3	W
27/06	FC Ilves Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	2-2	7	4	D
23/06	FC Inter Finland Veikkausliiga	1-0	1-1	0	8	D
17/06	VPS Vaasa Finland Veikkausliiga	1-0	1-2	4	3	L
13/06	FC Lahti Finland Veikkausliiga	1-1	3-2	2	4	W
10/06	FC Inter Finland Cup	1-1	1-2	4	8	L
30/05	IF Gnistan Finland Veikkausliiga	1-1	2-3	9	5	L
26/05	SJK II Finland Cup	3-0	5-0	–	–	W
23/05	AC Oulu Finland Veikkausliiga	0-1	0-1	7	2	L

KuPS Kuopio

WWWDDDWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/07	Vardar Skopje UEFA Champions League Qualifying	1-0	2-0	4	6	W
27/06	HJK Helsinki Finland Veikkausliiga	1-0	4-0	9	1	W
23/06	FC Ilves Finland Veikkausliiga	4-1	4-3	4	2	W
17/06	TPS Finland Veikkausliiga	1-0	2-1	4	3	W
13/06	VPS Vaasa Finland Veikkausliiga	0-1	1-1	10	8	D
10/06	VPS Vaasa Finland Cup	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
30/05	FC Inter Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	1-1	4	5	D
26/05	JaPS Finland Cup	0-0	1-0	10	3	W
23/05	FC Lahti Finland Veikkausliiga	2-1	2-1	9	4	W
20/05	FF Jaro Finland Veikkausliiga	1-0	3-0	8	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SJK vs KuPS Kuopio?

According to our model, the most likely result is an KuPS Kuopio win (44%). Probabilities: SJK 28%, draw 28%, KuPS Kuopio 44%.

How many goals are expected in SJK vs KuPS Kuopio?

The model expects 2.69 goals (SJK 1.17 · KuPS Kuopio 1.52), with a 57% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in SJK vs KuPS Kuopio?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.