Football · Finland Veikkausliiga · 20/07, 17:00

Prediction: TPS vs FC Ilves

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.71Total

TPS1.43

FC Ilves1.28

1X2

39% 28% 33%

TPS Draw FC Ilves

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

TPS 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

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FC Ilves 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLWWWLDLLD

Head-to-head

TPS 0–6 FC Ilves (6 last)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FC Ilves: 6-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	TPS	FC Ilves
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.2	1.9 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.7	1 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 2.9	1.8 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.1	3.3 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · TPS 0–0–6 FC Ilves

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/06/26 Finland Veikkausliiga	FC Ilves	1-0 HT 0-0	TPS
27/05/26 Finland Cup	FC Ilves	1-0 HT 1-0	TPS
26/04/23 Finland Cup	TPS	0-2 HT 0-1	FC Ilves
25/03/23 Europe Friendlies	FC Ilves	2-0 HT 1-0	TPS
15/01/21 Europe Friendlies	TPS	1-7 HT 1-4	FC Ilves
27/09/20 Finland Veikkausliiga	FC Ilves	4-0 HT 2-0	TPS

Standings · Finland Veikkausliiga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	KuPS Kuopio	15	8	6	1	27	15	30
2	FC Inter	15	8	6	1	23	12	30
3	VPS Vaasa	15	7	6	2	22	11	27
4	AC Oulu	15	8	2	5	20	18	26
5	HJK Helsinki	15	6	4	5	25	19	22
6	IF Gnistan	15	6	4	5	23	20	22
7	TPS	15	6	4	5	19	16	22
8	FC Lahti	15	5	4	6	18	15	19
9	FC Ilves	15	4	4	7	25	29	16
10	SJK	15	3	5	7	18	23	14
11	FF Jaro	15	2	5	8	15	32	11
12	IFK Mariehamn	15	0	4	11	8	33	4

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	TPS	FC Ilves
SJK	1-3 L	2-2 D
FF Jaro	3-2 W	1-2 L
FC Lahti	0-0 D	5-2 W
KuPS Kuopio	1-2 L	3-4 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FC Ilves (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

TPS

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/07	AC Oulu Finland Veikkausliiga	3-0	3-0	2	2	W
04/07	SJK Finland Veikkausliiga	0-1	1-3	7	3	L
27/06	FF Jaro Finland Veikkausliiga	1-2	3-2	4	3	W
23/06	FC Lahti Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
17/06	KuPS Kuopio Finland Veikkausliiga	0-1	1-2	4	3	L
13/06	FC Ilves Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	0-1	4	4	L
30/05	VPS Vaasa Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	1-0	2	4	W
27/05	FC Ilves Finland Cup	0-1	0-1	1	3	L
23/05	FC Inter Finland Veikkausliiga	1-2	1-2	1	4	L
16/05	AC Oulu Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	0-1	2	7	L

FC Ilves

WLWWWLDLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/07	FC 03 Differdange UEFA Conference League Qualifying	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
04/07	FF Jaro Finland Veikkausliiga	0-2	1-2	10	3	L
01/07	HJK Helsinki Finland Cup	0-1	1-2	3	3	L
27/06	SJK Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	2-2	3	4	D
23/06	KuPS Kuopio Finland Veikkausliiga	1-4	3-4	4	2	L
17/06	FF Jaro Finland Veikkausliiga	4-0	5-0	6	2	W
13/06	TPS Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	1-0	3	4	W
10/06	FC Lahti Finland Cup	4-2	5-2	2	9	W
30/05	FC Lahti Finland Veikkausliiga	0-3	0-5	3	3	L
27/05	TPS Finland Cup	1-0	1-0	4	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in TPS vs FC Ilves?

According to our model, the most likely result is a TPS win (39%). Probabilities: TPS 39%, draw 28%, FC Ilves 33%.

How many goals are expected in TPS vs FC Ilves?

The model expects 2.71 goals (TPS 1.43 · FC Ilves 1.28), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in TPS vs FC Ilves?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.