Prediction: TPS vs AC Oulu
Expected goals: 2.35 (TPS 1.19 · AC Oulu 1.15). The model gives 36% home, 31% draw, 34% away. Under 2.5 goals (53%) and both teams to score (51%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves TPS with 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses over 10 games; AC Oulu has piled up 5-2-3 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, TPS won 3 and AC Oulu 1, with 2 draws.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AC Oulu (rating 1472 vs 1521).
- H2H favours TPS: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| TPS | AC Oulu | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.2 | 1.1 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.7 | 0.3 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4 | 2.4 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.1 | 3.7 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · TPS 3–2–1 AC Oulu
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/26 Finland Veikkausliiga | AC Oulu | 1-0 HT 0-0 | TPS |
| 14/09/19 Finland Ykkosliiga | AC Oulu | 0-0 HT 0-0 | TPS |
| 13/07/19 Finland Ykkosliiga | TPS | 1-0 HT 0-0 | AC Oulu |
| 25/05/19 Finland Ykkosliiga | AC Oulu | 0-1 HT 0-1 | TPS |
| 01/09/17 Finland Ykkosliiga | TPS | 2-0 HT 1-0 | AC Oulu |
| 08/07/17 Finland Ykkosliiga | AC Oulu | 0-0 HT 0-0 | TPS |
Standings · Finland Veikkausliiga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KuPS Kuopio | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 27 | 15 | 30 |
| 2 | FC Inter | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 23 | 12 | 30 |
| 3 | AC Oulu | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 26 |
| 4 | VPS Vaasa | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 24 |
| 5 | HJK Helsinki | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 17 | 22 |
| 6 | IF Gnistan | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 18 | 19 |
| 7 | TPS | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 19 |
| 8 | FC Lahti | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 16 |
| 9 | FC Ilves | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 29 | 16 |
| 10 | SJK | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 22 | 14 |
| 11 | FF Jaro | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 11 |
| 12 | IFK Mariehamn | 14 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 6 | 29 | 4 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | TPS | AC Oulu |
|---|---|---|
| SJK | 1-3 L | 1-0 W |
| FF Jaro | 3-2 W | 2-1 W |
| FC Lahti | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| KuPS Kuopio | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| FC Ilves | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| VPS Vaasa | 1-0 W | 1-5 L |
| FC Inter | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 4 L | 3 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: AC Oulu (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
TPS
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | SJK Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 27/06 | FF Jaro Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 23/06 | FC Lahti Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 17/06 | KuPS Kuopio Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 13/06 | FC Ilves Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 30/05 | VPS Vaasa Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 27/05 | FC Ilves Finland Cup |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | FC Inter Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | AC Oulu Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 13/05 | HJS Finland Cup |
1-0 | 3-0 | 13 | 4 | W |
AC Oulu
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | FC Lahti Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 23/06 | VPS Vaasa Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-3 | 1-5 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 18/06 | IFK Mariehamn Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 13/06 | FC Inter Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 31/05 | FF Jaro Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | SJK Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | TPS Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 08/05 | FC Ilves Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | KuPS Kuopio Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 25/04 | FC Lahti Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in TPS vs AC Oulu?
According to our model, the most likely result is a TPS win (36%). Probabilities: TPS 36%, draw 31%, AC Oulu 34%.
How many goals are expected in TPS vs AC Oulu?
The model expects 2.35 goals (TPS 1.19 · AC Oulu 1.15), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in TPS vs AC Oulu?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.