Football · Finland Veikkausliiga · 02/08, 16:00
Prediction: AC Oulu vs FC Ilves
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.9Total
AC Oulu1.37
FC Ilves1.53
1X2
AC Oulu
Draw
FC Ilves
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
AC Oulu
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
FC Ilves
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
AC Oulu
0–2–4
FC Ilves
(6 last)
- FC Ilves1-0AC Oulu
- FC Ilves2-2AC Oulu
- AC Oulu0-4FC Ilves
- FC Ilves0-0AC Oulu
- FC Ilves3-0AC Oulu
- AC Oulu1-2FC Ilves
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Ilves (rating 1470 vs 1550).
- H2H favours FC Ilves: 4-2-0.
- High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| AC Oulu | FC Ilves | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.4 | 1.9 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.8 | 0.8 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 6.4 | 1.9 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.3 | 3.2 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · AC Oulu 0–2–4 FC Ilves
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/05/26 Finland Veikkausliiga | FC Ilves | 1-0 HT 1-0 | AC Oulu |
| 21/02/26 Finland Liigacup | FC Ilves | 2-2 HT 1-1 | AC Oulu |
| 16/08/25 Finland Veikkausliiga | AC Oulu | 0-4 HT 0-0 | FC Ilves |
| 24/05/25 Finland Veikkausliiga | FC Ilves | 0-0 HT 0-0 | AC Oulu |
| 14/03/25 Europe Friendlies | FC Ilves | 3-0 HT 3-0 | AC Oulu |
| 01/02/25 Finland Liigacup | AC Oulu | 1-2 HT 0-2 | FC Ilves |
Standings · Finland Veikkausliiga
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KuPS Kuopio | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 32 | 16 | 36 |
| 2 | FC Inter | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 24 | 14 | 31 |
| 3 | HJK Helsinki | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 28 | 20 | 28 |
| 4 | IF Gnistan | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 28 |
| 5 | VPS Vaasa | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 27 |
| 6 | AC Oulu | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 21 | 27 |
| 7 | FC Lahti | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 16 | 22 |
| 8 | TPS | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 20 | 22 |
| 9 | FC Ilves | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 30 | 22 |
| 10 | FF Jaro | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 33 | 15 |
| 11 | SJK | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 27 | 14 |
| 12 | IFK Mariehamn | 17 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 9 | 36 | 5 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | AC Oulu | FC Ilves |
|---|---|---|
| TPS | 0-3 L | 3-1 W |
| FC Lahti | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| FF Jaro | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| SJK | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
AC Oulu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | IFK Mariehamn Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 18/07 | IF Gnistan Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 11/07 | TPS Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-3 | 0-3 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 27/06 | FC Lahti Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 23/06 | VPS Vaasa Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-3 | 1-5 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 18/06 | IFK Mariehamn Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 13/06 | FC Inter Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 31/05 | FF Jaro Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | SJK Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | TPS Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
FC Ilves
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | FC Lahti Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 23/07 | Stjarnan UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 20/07 | TPS Finland Veikkausliiga |
2-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 16/07 | FC 03 Differdange UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
0-1 | 3-1 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 08/07 | FC 03 Differdange UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 04/07 | FF Jaro Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-2 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 01/07 | HJK Helsinki Finland Cup |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 27/06 | SJK Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 23/06 | KuPS Kuopio Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 17/06 | FF Jaro Finland Veikkausliiga |
4-0 | 5-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in AC Oulu vs FC Ilves?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Ilves win (40%). Probabilities: AC Oulu 33%, draw 27%, FC Ilves 40%.
How many goals are expected in AC Oulu vs FC Ilves?
The model expects 2.9 goals (AC Oulu 1.37 · FC Ilves 1.53), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in AC Oulu vs FC Ilves?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.