Football · Finland Veikkausliiga · 09/08, 14:00

Prediction: KuPS Kuopio vs TPS

Team pages: KuPS Kuopio · TPS

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.83Total

KuPS Kuopio1.87

TPS0.97

1X2

57% 24% 18%

KuPS Kuopio Draw TPS

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

KuPS Kuopio 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WWWWLWLWLW

TPS 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WLLDWLWLLW

Head-to-head

KuPS Kuopio 4–1–1 TPS (6 last)

TPS1-2KuPS Kuopio
TPS3-2KuPS Kuopio
KuPS Kuopio3-1TPS
KuPS Kuopio2-1TPS
KuPS Kuopio3-2TPS
TPS0-0KuPS Kuopio

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours KuPS Kuopio (rating 1562 vs 1482).
H2H favours KuPS Kuopio: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	KuPS Kuopio	TPS
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1	1.3 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.2	0.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/20/10%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5.1	2.5 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.2	3.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.88

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:25

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.46 → 1.46	Pinn 1.46
X	4.73 → 4.73	Pinn 4.73
2	6.18 → 6.18	Pinn 6.18

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 5.7%

Time*	1	X	2
04:24 +1’	1.46	4.73	6.18

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · KuPS Kuopio 4–1–1 TPS

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/06/26 Finland Veikkausliiga	TPS	1-2 HT 0-1	KuPS Kuopio
04/11/20 Finland Veikkausliiga	TPS	3-2 HT 1-1	KuPS Kuopio
29/08/20 Finland Veikkausliiga	KuPS Kuopio	3-1 HT 3-1	TPS
21/10/18 Finland Veikkausliiga	KuPS Kuopio	2-1 HT 0-1	TPS
05/08/18 Finland Veikkausliiga	KuPS Kuopio	3-2 HT 2-2	TPS
01/06/18 Finland Veikkausliiga	TPS	0-0 HT 0-0	KuPS Kuopio

Standings · Finland Veikkausliiga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	KuPS Kuopio	18	11	6	1	33	16	39
2	FC Inter	18	9	7	2	25	14	34
3	AC Oulu	18	9	3	6	22	21	30
4	HJK Helsinki	17	8	4	5	28	20	28
5	IF Gnistan	18	8	4	6	27	22	28
6	VPS Vaasa	18	7	6	5	24	17	27
7	FC Lahti	18	7	4	7	22	16	25
8	TPS	18	7	4	7	23	20	25
9	FC Ilves	18	6	4	8	29	31	22
10	FF Jaro	18	3	6	9	17	35	15
11	SJK	17	3	5	9	19	27	14
12	IFK Mariehamn	18	0	5	13	9	39	5

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	KuPS Kuopio	TPS
VPS Vaasa	3-1 W	1-0 W
SJK	2-0 W	1-3 L
HJK Helsinki	4-0 W	0-1 L
FC Ilves	4-3 W	1-3 L
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 0 L	1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: KuPS Kuopio (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

KuPS Kuopio

WWWWLWLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	IF Gnistan Finland Veikkausliiga	1-0	1-0	3	3	W
28/07	Sabah UEFA Champions League Qualifying	0-0	0-2	8	4	L
25/07	VPS Vaasa Finland Veikkausliiga	3-0	3-1	1	2	W
21/07	Sabah UEFA Champions League Qualifying	0-1	0-1	0	3	L
18/07	SJK Finland Veikkausliiga	2-0	2-0	6	4	W
14/07	Vardar Skopje UEFA Champions League Qualifying	0-0	0-2	12	8	L
07/07	Vardar Skopje UEFA Champions League Qualifying	1-0	2-0	4	6	W
27/06	HJK Helsinki Finland Veikkausliiga	1-0	4-0	9	1	W
23/06	FC Ilves Finland Veikkausliiga	4-1	4-3	4	2	W
17/06	TPS Finland Veikkausliiga	1-0	2-1	4	3	W

TPS

WLLDWLWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	IFK Mariehamn Finland Veikkausliiga	2-0	3-0	5	4	W
26/07	HJK Helsinki Finland Veikkausliiga	0-1	0-1	3	2	L
20/07	FC Ilves Finland Veikkausliiga	1-2	1-3	7	8	L
11/07	AC Oulu Finland Veikkausliiga	3-0	3-0	2	2	W
04/07	SJK Finland Veikkausliiga	0-1	1-3	7	3	L
27/06	FF Jaro Finland Veikkausliiga	1-2	3-2	4	3	W
23/06	FC Lahti Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
17/06	KuPS Kuopio Finland Veikkausliiga	0-1	1-2	4	3	L
13/06	FC Ilves Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	0-1	4	4	L
30/05	VPS Vaasa Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	1-0	2	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in KuPS Kuopio vs TPS?

According to our model, the most likely result is a KuPS Kuopio win (57%). Probabilities: KuPS Kuopio 57%, draw 24%, TPS 18%.

How many goals are expected in KuPS Kuopio vs TPS?

The model expects 2.83 goals (KuPS Kuopio 1.87 · TPS 0.97), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in KuPS Kuopio vs TPS?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.