Football · Finland Veikkausliiga · 08/08, 18:00

Prediction: FF Jaro vs VPS Vaasa

Team pages: FF Jaro · VPS Vaasa

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.8Total

FF Jaro1.61

VPS Vaasa1.19

1X2

46% 27% 27%

FF Jaro Draw VPS Vaasa

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

FF Jaro 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WLLLDLWDWL

VPS Vaasa 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DWWDLWWLLL

Head-to-head

FF Jaro 2–4–0 VPS Vaasa (6 last)

VPS Vaasa0-0FF Jaro
FF Jaro1-0VPS Vaasa
VPS Vaasa1-3FF Jaro
FF Jaro2-2VPS Vaasa
FF Jaro2-2VPS Vaasa
VPS Vaasa0-0FF Jaro

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FF Jaro: 2-4-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FF Jaro	VPS Vaasa
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 2	1.8 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.8	0.8 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 4	1.7 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.1	3.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.752.01

Under 2.751.83

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 16:32

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	4.29 → 3.88▼	Pinn 3.88
X	3.71 → 3.59▼	Pinn 3.59
2	1.77 → 1.93▲	Pinn 1.93

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 5.3%

Time*	1	X	2
15:01	4.29	3.71	1.77
16:31 +1’	3.88▼	3.59▼	1.93▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2.75

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FF Jaro 2–4–0 VPS Vaasa

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/04/26 Finland Veikkausliiga	VPS Vaasa	0-0 HT 0-0	FF Jaro
14/02/26 Finland Liigacup	FF Jaro	1-0 HT 0-0	VPS Vaasa
18/10/25 Finland Veikkausliiga	VPS Vaasa	1-3 HT 1-2	FF Jaro
25/07/25 Finland Veikkausliiga	FF Jaro	2-2 HT 0-0	VPS Vaasa
11/06/25 Finland Cup	FF Jaro	2-2 HT 1-2	VPS Vaasa
17/05/25 Finland Veikkausliiga	VPS Vaasa	0-0 HT 0-0	FF Jaro

Standings · Finland Veikkausliiga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	KuPS Kuopio	18	11	6	1	33	16	39
2	FC Inter	17	8	7	2	24	14	31
3	HJK Helsinki	17	8	4	5	28	20	28
4	IF Gnistan	18	8	4	6	27	22	28
5	VPS Vaasa	17	7	6	4	24	16	27
6	AC Oulu	17	8	3	6	21	21	27
7	FC Lahti	18	7	4	7	22	16	25
8	TPS	18	7	4	7	23	20	25
9	FC Ilves	17	6	4	7	29	30	22
10	FF Jaro	18	3	6	9	17	35	15
11	SJK	17	3	5	9	19	27	14
12	IFK Mariehamn	18	0	5	13	9	39	5

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FF Jaro	VPS Vaasa
SJK	2-1 W	1-0 W
FC Inter	0-0 D	0-1 L
IF Gnistan	1-1 D	1-1 D
HJK Helsinki	2-5 L	1-2 L
AC Oulu	1-2 L	5-1 W
IFK Mariehamn	3-0 W	4-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 2 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: VPS Vaasa (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

FF Jaro

WLLLDLWDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	FC Lahti Finland Veikkausliiga	0-1	0-2	3	1	L
24/07	SJK Finland Veikkausliiga	1-0	2-1	1	6	W
19/07	FC Inter Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	0-0	1	1	D
04/07	FC Ilves Finland Veikkausliiga	2-0	2-1	7	3	W
27/06	TPS Finland Veikkausliiga	2-1	2-3	8	3	L
23/06	IF Gnistan Finland Veikkausliiga	0-1	1-1	6	5	D
17/06	FC Ilves Finland Veikkausliiga	0-4	0-5	3	2	L
13/06	HJK Helsinki Finland Veikkausliiga	2-1	2-5	6	5	L
31/05	AC Oulu Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	1-2	3	3	L
23/05	IFK Mariehamn Finland Veikkausliiga	2-0	3-0	2	3	W

VPS Vaasa

DWWDLWWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	FC Inter Finland Veikkausliiga	0-1	0-1	4	4	L
25/07	KuPS Kuopio Finland Veikkausliiga	0-3	1-3	4	2	L
18/07	HJK Helsinki Finland Veikkausliiga	0-1	1-2	7	4	L
10/07	SJK Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	1-0	2	7	W
04/07	IFK Mariehamn Finland Veikkausliiga	2-0	4-0	4	0	W
30/06	FC Inter Finland Cup	1-0	2-3	3	2	L
27/06	IF Gnistan Finland Veikkausliiga	1-1	1-1	4	2	D
23/06	AC Oulu Finland Veikkausliiga	3-1	5-1	2	2	W
17/06	SJK Finland Veikkausliiga	0-1	2-1	2	3	W
13/06	KuPS Kuopio Finland Veikkausliiga	1-0	1-1	2	8	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FF Jaro vs VPS Vaasa?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FF Jaro win (46%). Probabilities: FF Jaro 46%, draw 27%, VPS Vaasa 27%.

How many goals are expected in FF Jaro vs VPS Vaasa?

The model expects 2.8 goals (FF Jaro 1.61 · VPS Vaasa 1.19), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FF Jaro vs VPS Vaasa?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.