Football · Finland Veikkausliiga · 01/08, 17:00

Prediction: FC Lahti vs FF Jaro

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.97Total

FC Lahti1.95

FF Jaro1.03

1X2

58% 24% 18%

FC Lahti Draw FF Jaro

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

FC Lahti 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWLLLDDWWW

FF Jaro 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LWLLLDLWDW

Head-to-head

FC Lahti 2–3–1 FF Jaro (6 last)

FF Jaro0-1FC Lahti
FC Lahti1-0FF Jaro
FF Jaro2-0FC Lahti
FF Jaro1-1FC Lahti
FC Lahti1-1FF Jaro
FF Jaro1-1FC Lahti

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Lahti (rating 1540 vs 1457).
H2H favours FC Lahti: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Lahti	FF Jaro
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1	1.3 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.5	0.9 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 5.2	1.4 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.2	3.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 32.02

Under 31.83

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 15:33

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.59 → 1.62▲	Pinn 1.62
X	4.19 → 4.21▲	Pinn 4.21
2	5.00 → 4.99▼	Pinn 4.99

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 5.5%

Time*	1	X	2
14:32	1.59	4.19	5.00
15:33	1.62▲	4.21▲	4.99▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Lahti 2–3–1 FF Jaro

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/04/26 Finland Veikkausliiga	FF Jaro	0-1 HT 0-1	FC Lahti
27/10/24 Finland Veikkausliiga Play-Offs	FC Lahti	1-0 HT 0-0	FF Jaro
23/10/24 Finland Veikkausliiga Play-Offs	FF Jaro	2-0 HT 1-0	FC Lahti
18/10/15 Finland Veikkausliiga	FF Jaro	1-1 HT 0-1	FC Lahti
02/08/15 Finland Veikkausliiga	FC Lahti	1-1 HT 1-1	FF Jaro
14/05/15 Finland Veikkausliiga	FF Jaro	1-1 HT 1-0	FC Lahti

Standings · Finland Veikkausliiga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	KuPS Kuopio	17	10	6	1	32	16	36
2	FC Inter	16	8	7	1	23	12	31
3	VPS Vaasa	17	7	6	4	24	16	27
4	AC Oulu	17	8	3	6	21	21	27
5	HJK Helsinki	16	7	4	5	27	20	25
6	IF Gnistan	16	7	4	5	25	20	25
7	FC Lahti	16	6	4	6	20	15	22
8	TPS	16	6	4	6	20	19	22
9	FC Ilves	16	5	4	7	28	30	19
10	FF Jaro	17	3	6	8	17	33	15
11	SJK	17	3	5	9	19	27	14
12	IFK Mariehamn	17	0	5	12	9	36	5

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Lahti	FF Jaro
IFK Mariehamn	2-0 W	3-0 W
HJK Helsinki	2-0 W	2-5 L
IF Gnistan	1-0 W	1-1 D
AC Oulu	1-1 D	1-2 L
TPS	0-0 D	2-3 L
SJK	2-3 L	2-1 W
FC Ilves	2-5 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 2 L	3 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: FC Lahti (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

FC Lahti

WWLLLDDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/07	IFK Mariehamn Finland Veikkausliiga	1-0	2-0	7	2	W
11/07	HJK Helsinki Finland Veikkausliiga	1-0	2-0	6	3	W
04/07	IF Gnistan Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	1-0	10	4	W
27/06	AC Oulu Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	1-1	1	5	D
23/06	TPS Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
17/06	IF Gnistan Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	0-1	6	6	L
13/06	SJK Finland Veikkausliiga	1-1	2-3	8	4	L
10/06	FC Ilves Finland Cup	2-4	2-5	3	9	L
30/05	FC Ilves Finland Veikkausliiga	3-0	5-0	1	3	W
26/05	IFK Mariehamn Finland Cup	0-0	1-0	5	6	W

FF Jaro

LWLLLDLWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/07	SJK Finland Veikkausliiga	1-0	2-1	1	6	W
19/07	FC Inter Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	0-0	1	1	D
04/07	FC Ilves Finland Veikkausliiga	2-0	2-1	7	3	W
27/06	TPS Finland Veikkausliiga	2-1	2-3	8	3	L
23/06	IF Gnistan Finland Veikkausliiga	0-1	1-1	6	5	D
17/06	FC Ilves Finland Veikkausliiga	0-4	0-5	3	2	L
13/06	HJK Helsinki Finland Veikkausliiga	2-1	2-5	6	5	L
31/05	AC Oulu Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	1-2	3	3	L
23/05	IFK Mariehamn Finland Veikkausliiga	2-0	3-0	2	3	W
20/05	KuPS Kuopio Finland Veikkausliiga	0-1	0-3	2	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Lahti vs FF Jaro?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Lahti win (58%). Probabilities: FC Lahti 58%, draw 24%, FF Jaro 18%.

How many goals are expected in FC Lahti vs FF Jaro?

The model expects 2.97 goals (FC Lahti 1.95 · FF Jaro 1.03), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Lahti vs FF Jaro?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.