Football · Finland Veikkausliiga · 21/08, 18:00

Prediction: SJK vs FC Lahti

Team pages: SJK · FC Lahti

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.57Total

SJK1.35

FC Lahti1.22

1X2

39% 29% 32%

SJK Draw FC Lahti

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

SJK 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LDDWLLLWDL

FC Lahti 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LLDDWWWLWD

Head-to-head

SJK 3–3–0 FC Lahti (6 last)

FC Lahti2-3SJK
SJK5-5FC Lahti
FC Lahti0-4SJK
FC Lahti1-1SJK
SJK0-0FC Lahti
FC Lahti1-3SJK

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours SJK: 3-3-0.
High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SJK	FC Lahti
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.5	1 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.6	0.4 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5.6	2.3 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0	3.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.81

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 2.2

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 21:33

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.45 → 2.47▲	Pinn 2.47
X	3.53 → 3.58▲	Pinn 3.58
2	2.71 → 2.74▲	Pinn 2.74

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 4.9%

Time*	1	X	2
16:52 +6’	2.45	3.53	2.71
21:31 +2’	2.47▲	3.58▲	2.74▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SJK 3–3–0 FC Lahti

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/06/26 Finland Veikkausliiga	FC Lahti	2-3 HT 1-1	SJK
27/07/24 Finland Veikkausliiga	SJK	5-5 HT 2-2	FC Lahti
27/05/24 Finland Veikkausliiga	FC Lahti	0-4 HT 0-4	SJK
16/07/23 Finland Veikkausliiga	FC Lahti	1-1 HT 1-1	SJK
22/04/23 Finland Veikkausliiga	SJK	0-0 HT 0-0	FC Lahti
24/07/22 Finland Veikkausliiga	FC Lahti	1-3 HT 0-2	SJK

Standings · Finland Veikkausliiga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	KuPS Kuopio	19	11	7	1	34	17	40
2	FC Inter	19	9	8	2	25	14	35
3	HJK Helsinki	19	9	4	6	29	23	31
4	VPS Vaasa	20	8	6	6	28	21	30
5	AC Oulu	19	9	3	7	22	22	30
6	IF Gnistan	19	8	5	6	29	24	29
7	TPS	20	8	5	7	27	22	29
8	FC Lahti	19	7	5	7	22	16	26
9	FC Ilves	19	7	4	8	31	31	25
10	SJK	20	4	6	10	24	31	18
11	FF Jaro	19	3	6	10	18	38	15
12	IFK Mariehamn	20	1	5	14	11	41	8

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SJK	FC Lahti
IFK Mariehamn	0-2 L	2-0 W
IF Gnistan	2-2 D	1-0 W
HJK Helsinki	3-0 W	2-0 W
FF Jaro	1-2 L	2-0 W
TPS	3-1 W	0-0 D
FC Ilves	2-2 D	0-1 L
FC Inter	1-1 D	0-0 D
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 2 L	4 W 2 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SJK

LDDWLLLWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	IFK Mariehamn Finland Veikkausliiga	0-1	0-2	4	3	L
07/08	IF Gnistan Finland Veikkausliiga	1-2	2-2	5	4	D
03/08	HJK Helsinki Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	3-0	6	3	W
24/07	FF Jaro Finland Veikkausliiga	0-1	1-2	8	6	L
18/07	KuPS Kuopio Finland Veikkausliiga	0-2	0-2	8	4	L
10/07	VPS Vaasa Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	0-1	8	7	L
04/07	TPS Finland Veikkausliiga	1-0	3-1	6	3	W
27/06	FC Ilves Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	2-2	7	4	D
23/06	FC Inter Finland Veikkausliiga	1-0	1-1	0	8	D
17/06	VPS Vaasa Finland Veikkausliiga	1-0	1-2	4	3	L

FC Lahti

LLDDWWWLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	FC Inter Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
01/08	FF Jaro Finland Veikkausliiga	1-0	2-0	2	1	W
26/07	FC Ilves Finland Veikkausliiga	0-1	0-1	8	3	L
20/07	IFK Mariehamn Finland Veikkausliiga	1-0	2-0	7	2	W
11/07	HJK Helsinki Finland Veikkausliiga	1-0	2-0	6	3	W
04/07	IF Gnistan Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	1-0	10	4	W
27/06	AC Oulu Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	1-1	1	5	D
23/06	TPS Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
17/06	IF Gnistan Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	0-1	6	6	L
13/06	SJK Finland Veikkausliiga	1-1	2-3	8	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SJK vs FC Lahti?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SJK win (39%). Probabilities: SJK 39%, draw 29%, FC Lahti 32%.

How many goals are expected in SJK vs FC Lahti?

The model expects 2.57 goals (SJK 1.35 · FC Lahti 1.22), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in SJK vs FC Lahti?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.