Football · Finland Veikkausliiga · 31/08, 18:00

Prediction: FC Inter vs KuPS Kuopio

Team pages: FC Inter · KuPS Kuopio

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.65Total

FC Inter1.44

KuPS Kuopio1.22

1X2

41% 28% 31%

FC Inter Draw KuPS Kuopio

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Inter 3-6-1 (W-D-L)

DDDWDLWDWD

KuPS Kuopio 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

DWWWWWWDWL

Head-to-head

FC Inter 0–3–3 KuPS Kuopio (6 last)

KuPS Kuopio1-1FC Inter
KuPS Kuopio3-2FC Inter
FC Inter0-3KuPS Kuopio
KuPS Kuopio2-1FC Inter
FC Inter1-1KuPS Kuopio
FC Inter1-1KuPS Kuopio

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Inter 1555 · KuPS Kuopio 1566

	FC Inter	Draw	KuPS Kuopio
Our model	41%	28%	31%
Market	41%	28%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.65 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours KuPS Kuopio: 3-3-0.
High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Inter	KuPS Kuopio
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 0.8	2.2 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.6	1.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	80/0/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 6	2.9 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.2	3.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.30

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.98

2 (+0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.95

Under 2.51.85

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 17:50

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.25▲	Pinn 2.36 ★
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	3.25 → 3.00▼	Pinn 3.11

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 8.1% Pinnacle margin 5%

Time*	1	X	2
00:17 +3’	2.10	3.30	3.25
17:40 +10’	2.25▲	3.30	3.00▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
00:19 +2’	2.29	3.31	3.20
13:09 +4’	2.27▼	3.32▲	3.23▲
12:51 +1’	2.36▲	3.28▼	3.11▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Inter 0–3–3 KuPS Kuopio

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/05/26 Finland Veikkausliiga	KuPS Kuopio	1-1 HT 0-0	FC Inter
02/11/25 Finland Veikkausliiga	KuPS Kuopio	3-2 HT 1-1	FC Inter
05/10/25 Finland Veikkausliiga	FC Inter	0-3 HT 0-0	KuPS Kuopio
17/08/25 Finland Veikkausliiga	KuPS Kuopio	2-1 HT 0-0	FC Inter
05/04/25 Finland Veikkausliiga	FC Inter	1-1 HT 0-0	KuPS Kuopio
21/09/24 Finland Cup	FC Inter	1-1 HT 0-0	KuPS Kuopio

Standings · Finland Veikkausliiga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	KuPS Kuopio	21	12	7	2	38	22	43
2	FC Inter	21	10	9	2	28	16	39
3	IF Gnistan	21	10	5	6	35	28	35
4	HJK Helsinki	21	10	4	7	34	26	34
5	VPS Vaasa	21	9	6	6	29	21	33
6	AC Oulu	21	10	3	8	25	25	33
7	TPS	21	8	6	7	27	22	30
8	FC Lahti	21	8	5	8	25	19	29
9	FC Ilves	21	7	4	10	33	35	25
10	SJK	21	4	6	11	25	33	18
11	FF Jaro	21	3	6	12	18	42	15
12	IFK Mariehamn	21	2	5	14	15	43	11

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Inter	KuPS Kuopio
TPS	0-0 D	1-1 D
FC Lahti	0-0 D	2-1 W
VPS Vaasa	1-0 W	3-1 W
IF Gnistan	1-2 L	1-0 W
IFK Mariehamn	2-0 W	2-4 L
SJK	1-1 D	2-0 W
HJK Helsinki	3-3 D	4-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 4 D 1 L	5 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: KuPS Kuopio (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Inter

DDDWDLWDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	TPS Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	0-0	14	4	D
16/08	AC Oulu Finland Veikkausliiga	0-2	3-2	2	3	W
09/08	FC Lahti Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	0-0	9	4	D
02/08	VPS Vaasa Finland Veikkausliiga	1-0	1-0	3	4	W
26/07	IF Gnistan Finland Veikkausliiga	0-2	1-2	4	2	L
19/07	FF Jaro Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	0-0	12	1	D
27/06	IFK Mariehamn Finland Veikkausliiga	1-0	2-0	6	4	W
23/06	SJK Finland Veikkausliiga	0-1	1-1	3	8	D
17/06	HJK Helsinki Finland Veikkausliiga	2-1	3-3	3	2	D
13/06	AC Oulu Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	0-0	4	3	D

KuPS Kuopio

DWWWWWWDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	IFK Mariehamn Finland Veikkausliiga	1-3	2-4	10	3	L
16/08	FC Lahti Finland Veikkausliiga	2-1	2-1	4	4	W
09/08	TPS Finland Veikkausliiga	1-0	1-1	2	4	D
01/08	IF Gnistan Finland Veikkausliiga	1-0	1-0	3	3	W
25/07	VPS Vaasa Finland Veikkausliiga	3-0	3-1	1	2	W
18/07	SJK Finland Veikkausliiga	2-0	2-0	6	4	W
27/06	HJK Helsinki Finland Veikkausliiga	1-0	4-0	9	1	W
23/06	FC Ilves Finland Veikkausliiga	4-1	4-3	4	2	W
17/06	TPS Finland Veikkausliiga	1-0	2-1	4	3	W
13/06	VPS Vaasa Finland Veikkausliiga	0-1	1-1	10	8	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Inter vs KuPS Kuopio?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Inter win (41%). Probabilities: FC Inter 41%, draw 28%, KuPS Kuopio 31%.

How many goals are expected in FC Inter vs KuPS Kuopio?

The model expects 2.65 goals (FC Inter 1.44 · KuPS Kuopio 1.22), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Inter vs KuPS Kuopio?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.