Prediction: AC Oulu vs SJK
- SJK0-1AC Oulu
- AC Oulu3-0SJK
- AC Oulu2-0SJK
- AC Oulu2-2SJK
- SJK3-1AC Oulu
- SJK1-1AC Oulu
| AC Oulu | Draw | SJK | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 28% | 27% |
| Market | 46% | 25% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AC Oulu (rating 1485 vs 1445).
- H2H favours AC Oulu: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| AC Oulu | SJK | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.7 | 1.3 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.9 | 0.3 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 5.8 | 2.4 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.2 | 5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · AC Oulu 3–2–1 SJK
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/26 Finland Veikkausliiga | SJK | 0-1 HT 0-1 | AC Oulu |
| 31/01/26 Finland Liigacup | AC Oulu | 3-0 HT 2-0 | SJK |
| 24/06/25 Finland Cup | AC Oulu | 2-0 HT 1-0 | SJK |
| 31/05/25 Finland Veikkausliiga | AC Oulu | 2-2 HT 0-0 | SJK |
| 23/04/25 Finland Veikkausliiga | SJK | 3-1 HT 1-1 | AC Oulu |
| 26/02/25 Finland Liigacup | SJK | 1-1 HT 0-0 | AC Oulu |
Standings · Finland Veikkausliiga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KuPS Kuopio | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 38 | 22 | 43 |
| 2 | FC Inter | 21 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 28 | 16 | 39 |
| 3 | IF Gnistan | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 35 | 28 | 35 |
| 4 | HJK Helsinki | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 34 | 26 | 34 |
| 5 | VPS Vaasa | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 21 | 33 |
| 6 | AC Oulu | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 25 | 33 |
| 7 | TPS | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 27 | 22 | 30 |
| 8 | FC Lahti | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 19 | 29 |
| 9 | FC Ilves | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 33 | 35 | 25 |
| 10 | SJK | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 25 | 33 | 18 |
| 11 | FF Jaro | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 15 |
| 12 | IFK Mariehamn | 21 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 15 | 43 | 11 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | AC Oulu | SJK |
|---|---|---|
| FF Jaro | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| FC Inter | 2-3 L | 1-1 D |
| HJK Helsinki | 0-1 L | 3-0 W |
| FC Ilves | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| IFK Mariehamn | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| IF Gnistan | 0-2 L | 2-2 D |
| TPS | 0-3 L | 3-1 W |
| FC Lahti | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| VPS Vaasa | 1-5 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 5 L | 2 W 3 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: SJK (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
AC Oulu
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | FF Jaro Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 16/08 | FC Inter Finland Veikkausliiga |
2-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 09/08 | HJK Helsinki Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 02/08 | FC Ilves Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 25/07 | IFK Mariehamn Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 18/07 | IF Gnistan Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 11/07 | TPS Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-3 | 0-3 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 27/06 | FC Lahti Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 23/06 | VPS Vaasa Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-3 | 1-5 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 18/06 | IFK Mariehamn Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
SJK
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08 | FC Lahti Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 15/08 | IFK Mariehamn Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 07/08 | IF Gnistan Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 03/08 | HJK Helsinki Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 24/07 | FF Jaro Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 18/07 | KuPS Kuopio Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 10/07 | VPS Vaasa Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 04/07 | TPS Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 27/06 | FC Ilves Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 23/06 | FC Inter Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 8 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in AC Oulu vs SJK?
According to our model, the most likely result is a AC Oulu win (45%). Probabilities: AC Oulu 45%, draw 27%, SJK 28%.
How many goals are expected in AC Oulu vs SJK?
The model expects 2.65 goals (AC Oulu 1.51 · SJK 1.14), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in AC Oulu vs SJK?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.