Football · Finland Veikkausliiga · 23/08, 17:00

Prediction: TPS vs FC Inter

Team pages: TPS · FC Inter

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.47Total

TPS1.12

FC Inter1.35

1X2

30% 30% 41%

TPS Draw FC Inter

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

TPS 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LDWLWLLWDW

FC Inter 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

WDDLWWWDDW

Head-to-head

TPS 1–5 FC Inter (6 last)

FC Inter2-1TPS
TPS0-3FC Inter
FC Inter3-2TPS
FC Inter3-0TPS
TPS1-0FC Inter
FC Inter1-0TPS

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Inter (rating 1489 vs 1579).
H2H favours FC Inter: 5-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	TPS	FC Inter
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.3	1.4 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.8	0.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/10/60%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 4.6	1.8 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.2	2.9 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.88

Under 2.51.96

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:41

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.88 → 3.88	Pinn 3.88
X	3.60 → 3.60	Pinn 3.60
2	1.93 → 1.93	Pinn 1.93

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 5.3%

Time*	1	X	2
07:41	3.88	3.60	1.93

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · TPS 1–0–5 FC Inter

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 Finland Veikkausliiga	FC Inter	2-1 HT 2-1	TPS
07/02/26 Finland Liigacup	TPS	0-3 HT 0-1	FC Inter
03/07/24 Finland Cup	FC Inter	3-2 HT 2-0	TPS
22/10/20 Finland Veikkausliiga	FC Inter	3-0 HT 3-0	TPS
22/08/20 Finland Veikkausliiga	TPS	1-0 HT 1-0	FC Inter
29/02/20 Finland Cup	FC Inter	1-0 HT 1-0	TPS

Standings · Finland Veikkausliiga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	KuPS Kuopio	20	12	7	1	36	18	43
2	FC Inter	20	10	8	2	28	16	38
3	HJK Helsinki	20	10	4	6	32	23	34
4	VPS Vaasa	20	8	6	6	28	21	30
5	AC Oulu	20	9	3	8	24	25	30
6	IF Gnistan	19	8	5	6	29	24	29
7	TPS	20	8	5	7	27	22	29
8	FC Lahti	20	7	5	8	23	18	26
9	FC Ilves	19	7	4	8	31	31	25
10	SJK	20	4	6	10	24	31	18
11	FF Jaro	20	3	6	11	18	41	15
12	IFK Mariehamn	20	1	5	14	11	41	8

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	TPS	FC Inter
VPS Vaasa	3-1 W	1-0 W
AC Oulu	3-0 W	3-2 W
FF Jaro	3-2 W	0-0 D
FC Lahti	0-0 D	0-0 D
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 0 L	2 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: TPS (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

TPS

LDWLWLLWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/08	VPS Vaasa Finland Veikkausliiga	2-0	3-1	4	6	W
09/08	KuPS Kuopio Finland Veikkausliiga	0-1	1-1	8	4	D
01/08	IFK Mariehamn Finland Veikkausliiga	2-0	3-0	5	4	W
26/07	HJK Helsinki Finland Veikkausliiga	0-1	0-1	3	2	L
20/07	FC Ilves Finland Veikkausliiga	1-2	1-3	7	8	L
11/07	AC Oulu Finland Veikkausliiga	3-0	3-0	2	2	W
04/07	SJK Finland Veikkausliiga	0-1	1-3	7	3	L
27/06	FF Jaro Finland Veikkausliiga	1-2	3-2	4	3	W
23/06	FC Lahti Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
17/06	KuPS Kuopio Finland Veikkausliiga	0-1	1-2	4	3	L

FC Inter

WDDLWWWDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	AC Oulu Finland Veikkausliiga	0-2	3-2	2	3	W
13/08	FC Vaduz UEFA Conference League Qualifying	1-1	2-2	1	2	D
09/08	FC Lahti Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	0-0	9	4	D
06/08	FC Vaduz UEFA Conference League Qualifying	1-0	2-1	6	5	W
02/08	VPS Vaasa Finland Veikkausliiga	1-0	1-0	3	4	W
30/07	Istanbul Basaksehir UEFA Conference League Qualifying	1-0	2-0	1	5	W
26/07	IF Gnistan Finland Veikkausliiga	0-2	1-2	4	2	L
22/07	Istanbul Basaksehir UEFA Conference League Qualifying	1-0	1-1	1	3	D
19/07	FF Jaro Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	0-0	12	1	D
16/07	FK Sarajevo UEFA Conference League Qualifying	0-1	2-1	4	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in TPS vs FC Inter?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Inter win (41%). Probabilities: TPS 30%, draw 30%, FC Inter 41%.

How many goals are expected in TPS vs FC Inter?

The model expects 2.47 goals (TPS 1.12 · FC Inter 1.35), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in TPS vs FC Inter?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.