Football · Finland Veikkausliiga · 22/08, 16:00

Prediction: FF Jaro vs AC Oulu

Team pages: FF Jaro · AC Oulu

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.15Total

FF Jaro1.55

AC Oulu1.6

1X2

36% 26% 38%

FF Jaro Draw AC Oulu

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

FF Jaro 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLDLWDWLLL

AC Oulu 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WDWLDLLDWL

Head-to-head

FF Jaro 2–4 AC Oulu (6 last)

AC Oulu2-1FF Jaro
AC Oulu1-2FF Jaro
FF Jaro2-3AC Oulu
FF Jaro2-6AC Oulu
FF Jaro1-2AC Oulu
AC Oulu0-1FF Jaro

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AC Oulu (rating 1421 vs 1484).
H2H favours AC Oulu: 4-0-2.
High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FF Jaro	AC Oulu
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 2.4	0.8 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1.2	0.1 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/10/50%	0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.1	2.4 / 6.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.1	3.6 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.752.00

Under 2.751.84

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 22:16

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.20 → 3.17▼	Pinn 3.17
X	3.64 → 3.64	Pinn 3.64
2	2.16 → 2.17▲	Pinn 2.17

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 5.1%

Time*	1	X	2
17:38 +6’	3.20	3.64	2.16
22:15 +1’	3.17▼	3.64	2.17▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FF Jaro 2–0–4 AC Oulu

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/05/26 Finland Veikkausliiga	AC Oulu	2-1 HT 0-0	FF Jaro
15/04/26 Finland Cup	AC Oulu	1-2 HT 0-2	FF Jaro
28/03/26 Europe Friendlies	FF Jaro	2-3 HT 1-1	AC Oulu
07/02/26 Finland Liigacup	FF Jaro	2-6 HT 1-2	AC Oulu
14/09/25 Finland Veikkausliiga	FF Jaro	1-2 HT 1-1	AC Oulu
02/08/25 Finland Veikkausliiga	AC Oulu	0-1 HT 0-1	FF Jaro

Standings · Finland Veikkausliiga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	KuPS Kuopio	19	11	7	1	34	17	40
2	FC Inter	19	9	8	2	25	14	35
3	HJK Helsinki	19	9	4	6	29	23	31
4	VPS Vaasa	20	8	6	6	28	21	30
5	AC Oulu	19	9	3	7	22	22	30
6	IF Gnistan	19	8	5	6	29	24	29
7	TPS	20	8	5	7	27	22	29
8	FC Lahti	19	7	5	7	22	16	26
9	FC Ilves	19	7	4	8	31	31	25
10	SJK	20	4	6	10	24	31	18
11	FF Jaro	19	3	6	10	18	38	15
12	IFK Mariehamn	20	1	5	14	11	41	8

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FF Jaro	AC Oulu
HJK Helsinki	0-3 L	0-1 L
VPS Vaasa	1-3 L	1-5 L
FC Lahti	0-2 L	1-1 D
FC Inter	0-0 D	0-0 D
FC Ilves	2-1 W	1-0 W
TPS	2-3 L	0-3 L
IF Gnistan	1-1 D	0-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 4 L	1 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: FF Jaro (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FF Jaro

LLDLWDWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	HJK Helsinki Finland Veikkausliiga	0-2	0-3	4	3	L
08/08	VPS Vaasa Finland Veikkausliiga	1-2	1-3	2	4	L
01/08	FC Lahti Finland Veikkausliiga	0-1	0-2	3	1	L
24/07	SJK Finland Veikkausliiga	1-0	2-1	1	6	W
19/07	FC Inter Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	0-0	1	1	D
04/07	FC Ilves Finland Veikkausliiga	2-0	2-1	7	3	W
27/06	TPS Finland Veikkausliiga	2-1	2-3	8	3	L
23/06	IF Gnistan Finland Veikkausliiga	0-1	1-1	6	5	D
17/06	FC Ilves Finland Veikkausliiga	0-4	0-5	3	2	L
13/06	HJK Helsinki Finland Veikkausliiga	2-1	2-5	6	5	L

AC Oulu

WDWLDLLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	HJK Helsinki Finland Veikkausliiga	0-1	0-1	3	6	L
02/08	FC Ilves Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	1-0	5	2	W
25/07	IFK Mariehamn Finland Veikkausliiga	0-1	1-1	9	5	D
18/07	IF Gnistan Finland Veikkausliiga	0-1	0-2	10	5	L
11/07	TPS Finland Veikkausliiga	0-3	0-3	9	2	L
27/06	FC Lahti Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	1-1	8	5	D
23/06	VPS Vaasa Finland Veikkausliiga	1-3	1-5	3	2	L
18/06	IFK Mariehamn Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	2-1	7	5	W
13/06	FC Inter Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
31/05	FF Jaro Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	2-1	6	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FF Jaro vs AC Oulu?

According to our model, the most likely result is an AC Oulu win (38%). Probabilities: FF Jaro 36%, draw 26%, AC Oulu 38%.

How many goals are expected in FF Jaro vs AC Oulu?

The model expects 3.15 goals (FF Jaro 1.55 · AC Oulu 1.6), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FF Jaro vs AC Oulu?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.