Football · Finland Veikkausliiga · 01/08, 18:00
Prediction: IF Gnistan vs KuPS Kuopio
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.64Total
IF Gnistan1.29
KuPS Kuopio1.35
1X2
IF Gnistan
Draw
KuPS Kuopio
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
IF Gnistan
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
KuPS Kuopio
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
IF Gnistan
0–1–5
KuPS Kuopio
(6 last)
- KuPS Kuopio1-0IF Gnistan
- KuPS Kuopio1-1IF Gnistan
- IF Gnistan0-4KuPS Kuopio
- KuPS Kuopio6-2IF Gnistan
- IF Gnistan1-2KuPS Kuopio
- KuPS Kuopio3-1IF Gnistan
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours KuPS Kuopio (rating 1531 vs 1595).
- H2H favours KuPS Kuopio: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| IF Gnistan | KuPS Kuopio | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 0.9 | 1.8 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.3 | 1.2 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 60/20/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3.7 | 2.8 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.3 | 3.7 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · IF Gnistan 0–1–5 KuPS Kuopio
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 Finland Veikkausliiga | KuPS Kuopio | 1-0 HT 0-0 | IF Gnistan |
| 30/10/25 Finland Veikkausliiga | KuPS Kuopio | 1-1 HT 1-0 | IF Gnistan |
| 27/09/25 Finland Veikkausliiga | IF Gnistan | 0-4 HT 0-2 | KuPS Kuopio |
| 01/07/25 Finland Veikkausliiga | KuPS Kuopio | 6-2 HT 3-1 | IF Gnistan |
| 27/04/25 Finland Veikkausliiga | IF Gnistan | 1-2 HT 1-0 | KuPS Kuopio |
| 07/07/24 Finland Veikkausliiga | KuPS Kuopio | 3-1 HT 3-1 | IF Gnistan |
Standings · Finland Veikkausliiga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KuPS Kuopio | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 32 | 16 | 36 |
| 2 | FC Inter | 16 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 23 | 12 | 31 |
| 3 | VPS Vaasa | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 27 |
| 4 | AC Oulu | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 21 | 27 |
| 5 | HJK Helsinki | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 25 |
| 6 | IF Gnistan | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 20 | 25 |
| 7 | FC Lahti | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 15 | 22 |
| 8 | TPS | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 19 | 22 |
| 9 | FC Ilves | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 28 | 30 | 19 |
| 10 | FF Jaro | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 33 | 15 |
| 11 | SJK | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 27 | 14 |
| 12 | IFK Mariehamn | 17 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 9 | 36 | 5 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | IF Gnistan | KuPS Kuopio |
|---|---|---|
| VPS Vaasa | 1-1 D | 3-1 W |
| SJK | 3-2 W | 2-0 W |
| FC Ilves | 0-2 L | 4-3 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 1 L | 3 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: KuPS Kuopio (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
IF Gnistan
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | AC Oulu Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 11/07 | IFK Mariehamn Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-0 | 4-2 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 04/07 | FC Lahti Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 27/06 | VPS Vaasa Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 23/06 | FF Jaro Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 17/06 | FC Lahti Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 13/06 | IFK Mariehamn Finland Veikkausliiga |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 30/05 | SJK Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 23/05 | FC Ilves Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 16/05 | FF Jaro Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
KuPS Kuopio
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | VPS Vaasa Finland Veikkausliiga |
3-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 21/07 | Sabah UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 18/07 | SJK Finland Veikkausliiga |
2-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 14/07 | Vardar Skopje UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
0-0 | 0-2 | 12 | 8 | L |
| 07/07 | Vardar Skopje UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 27/06 | HJK Helsinki Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 23/06 | FC Ilves Finland Veikkausliiga |
4-1 | 4-3 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 17/06 | TPS Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | VPS Vaasa Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 8 | D |
| 10/06 | VPS Vaasa Finland Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in IF Gnistan vs KuPS Kuopio?
According to our model, the most likely result is an KuPS Kuopio win (37%). Probabilities: IF Gnistan 34%, draw 29%, KuPS Kuopio 37%.
How many goals are expected in IF Gnistan vs KuPS Kuopio?
The model expects 2.64 goals (IF Gnistan 1.29 · KuPS Kuopio 1.35), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in IF Gnistan vs KuPS Kuopio?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.