Football · Norway Division 1 · 18/10, 14:30
Prediction: Egersund vs Sogndal
Team pages: Egersund · Sogndal
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.33Total
Egersund1.9
Sogndal1.43
1X2
Egersund
Draw
Sogndal
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Egersund
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Sogndal
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Egersund
1–1–3
Sogndal
(5 last)
- Sogndal4-2Egersund
- Sogndal0-1Egersund
- Egersund0-2Sogndal
- Egersund0-2Sogndal
- Sogndal2-2Egersund
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Egersund 1513 · Sogndal 1455
| Egersund | Draw | Sogndal | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 24% | 28% |
| Market | 48% | 24% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.33 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Egersund (rating 1513 vs 1455).
- H2H favours Sogndal: 3-1-1.
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Egersund | Sogndal | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 2.2 | 1.1 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1 | 0.3 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 10/30/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.4 | 2.2 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.3 | 3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Egersund 1–1–3 Sogndal
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06/26 Norway Division 1 | Sogndal | 4-2 HT 3-1 | Egersund |
| 25/10/25 Norway Division 1 | Sogndal | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Egersund |
| 25/05/25 Norway Division 1 | Egersund | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Sogndal |
| 03/08/24 Norway Division 1 | Egersund | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Sogndal |
| 09/06/24 Norway Division 1 | Sogndal | 2-2 HT 0-0 | Egersund |
Standings · Norway Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Haugesund | 26 | 19 | 2 | 5 | 78 | 40 | 59 |
| 2 | Stromsgodset | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 71 | 33 | 57 |
| 3 | Kongsvinger | 26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 77 | 42 | 56 |
| 4 | Stabaek | 26 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 63 | 34 | 49 |
| 5 | Odd BK | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 53 | 39 | 45 |
| 6 | Bryne | 26 | 12 | 3 | 11 | 35 | 34 | 39 |
| 7 | Hodd | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 42 | 52 | 35 |
| 8 | Egersund | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 39 | 50 | 33 |
| 9 | Ranheim | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 64 | 65 | 32 |
| 10 | Strommen | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 46 | 58 | 30 |
| 11 | Moss | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 40 | 55 | 29 |
| 12 | Lyn 1896 | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 40 | 57 | 28 |
| 13 | Sandnes Ulf | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 37 | 50 | 26 |
| 14 | Sogndal | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 39 | 56 | 23 |
| 15 | Asane | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 37 | 60 | 22 |
| 16 | Raufoss | 25 | 6 | 2 | 17 | 28 | 64 | 20 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Egersund | Sogndal |
|---|---|---|
| Moss | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| Odd BK | 1-5 L | 0-1 L |
| Lyn 1896 | 1-1 D | 2-3 L |
| Asane | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| Haugesund | 0-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Stabaek | 0-4 L | 1-2 L |
| Stromsgodset | 2-0 W | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 3 L | 0 W 1 D 6 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Egersund
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Moss Norway Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | D |
| 11/10 | Hodd Norway Division 1 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 02/10 | Ranheim Norway Division 1 |
0-3 | 0-5 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 20/09 | Odd BK Norway Division 1 |
1-2 | 1-5 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 13/09 | Kongsvinger Norway Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 3 | D |
| 06/09 | Lyn 1896 Norway Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 30/08 | Asane Norway Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 26/08 | Haugesund Norway Division 1 |
0-3 | 0-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 16/08 | Stabaek Norway Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-4 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 09/08 | Stromsgodset Norway Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
Sogndal
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Odd BK Norway Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 11/10 | Asane Norway Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 20/09 | Stabaek Norway Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 13/09 | Strommen Norway Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 05/09 | Haugesund Norway Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 30/08 | Stromsgodset Norway Division 1 |
1-2 | 2-3 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 26/08 | Moss Norway Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 16/08 | Sandnes Ulf Norway Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 09/08 | Bryne Norway Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 02/08 | Lyn 1896 Norway Division 1 |
0-3 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Egersund vs Sogndal?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Egersund win (48%). Probabilities: Egersund 48%, draw 24%, Sogndal 28%.
How many goals are expected in Egersund vs Sogndal?
The model expects 3.33 goals (Egersund 1.9 · Sogndal 1.43), with a 53% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Egersund vs Sogndal?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.