Football · Norway Division 1 · 25/10, 17:00

Prediction: Bryne vs Egersund

Team pages: Bryne · Egersund

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.23Total

Bryne1.94

Egersund1.29

1X2

51% 24% 24%

Bryne Draw Egersund

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Bryne 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WWLLWWWLDL

Egersund 1-5-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Bryne 3–1–2 Egersund (6 last)

Egersund1-0Bryne
Egersund4-3Bryne
Bryne1-1Egersund
Bryne2-1Egersund
Egersund0-2Bryne
Bryne5-2Egersund

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bryne 1537 · Egersund 1485

	Bryne	Draw	Egersund
Our model	52%	24%	24%
Market	51%	24%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 3.23 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bryne (rating 1537 vs 1485).
H2H favours Bryne: 3-1-2.
High corners: 12.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Bryne	Egersund
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.2	1.1 / 2.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.4	0.8 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 6.2	2.8 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.1	3.8 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.75

X3.70

23.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.95

2 (+0.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 05:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.75▲	Bet365 1.75
X	3.70 → 3.70	Pinn 3.96
2	3.90 → 3.70▼	Pinn 4.29 ★

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11.2% Pinnacle margin 6.9%

Time*	1	X	2
13:09 +12’	1.73	3.70	3.90
01:14 +3’	1.80▲	3.60▼	3.70▼
05:14 +5’	1.75▼	3.70▲	3.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
19:15 +306’	1.79	3.88	3.96
00:50 +28’	1.77▼	3.92▲	4.04▲
20:08 +24’	1.79▲	3.83▼	4.05▲
02:37 +38’	1.78▼	3.87▲	4.04▼
04:10 +8’	1.77▼	3.91▲	4.05▲
10:55 +26’	1.68▼	4.07▲	4.39▲
15:48 +43’	1.68	4.04▼	4.39
22:48 +21’	1.71▲	3.99▼	4.29▼
18:59 +43’	1.71	3.96▼	4.29

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 3

Go premium to see every market's movement

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Bryne 3–1–2 Egersund

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/26 Norway Division 1	Egersund	1-0 HT 1-0	Bryne
28/03/26 Europe Friendlies	Egersund	4-3 HT 1-1	Bryne
23/03/25 Europe Friendlies	Bryne	1-1 HT 0-1	Egersund
02/11/24 Norway Division 1	Bryne	2-1 HT 1-1	Egersund
20/07/24 Norway Division 1	Egersund	0-2 HT 0-1	Bryne
17/02/24 Europe Friendlies	Bryne	5-2 HT 2-0	Egersund

Standings · Norway Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Stromsgodset	27	18	6	3	76	33	60
2	Kongsvinger	27	18	5	4	81	42	59
3	Haugesund	27	19	2	6	78	45	59
4	Stabaek	27	16	4	7	64	34	52
5	Odd BK	27	13	6	8	54	41	45
6	Bryne	27	12	3	12	37	38	39
7	Hodd	27	11	5	11	47	53	38
8	Ranheim	27	10	5	12	68	67	35
9	Egersund	27	9	7	11	42	53	34
10	Strommen	27	9	6	12	48	59	33
11	Lyn 1896	27	9	4	14	41	57	31
12	Moss	27	8	5	14	40	56	29
13	Sandnes Ulf	27	7	5	15	37	54	26
14	Sogndal	26	6	6	14	42	59	24
15	Asane	27	6	5	16	37	61	22
16	Raufoss	26	6	2	18	29	69	20

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bryne	Egersund
Ranheim	2-4 L	0-5 L
Odd BK	1-2 L	1-5 L
Lyn 1896	1-0 W	1-1 D
Asane	4-0 W	2-2 D
Stabaek	2-0 W	0-4 L
Haugesund	0-2 L	0-3 L
Moss	2-1 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 3 L	0 W 3 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Bryne (7 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bryne

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Ranheim Norway Division 1	1-3	2-4	13	1	L
14/10	Raufoss Norway Division 1	1-0	1-1	4	3	D
11/10	Odd BK Norway Division 1	1-1	1-2	5	5	L
04/10	Lyn 1896 Norway Division 1	1-0	1-0	12	1	W
19/09	Asane Norway Division 1	3-0	4-0	4	4	W
12/09	Stabaek Norway Division 1	2-0	2-0	4	1	W
05/09	Strommen Norway Division 1	0-0	0-2	3	4	L
30/08	Haugesund Norway Division 1	0-0	0-2	5	5	L
22/08	Sandnes Ulf Norway Division 1	0-0	1-0	3	5	W
15/08	Moss Norway Division 1	0-0	2-1	9	3	W

Egersund

LLDDDLLWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Sogndal Norway Division 1	2-1	3-3	8	4	D
14/10	Moss Norway Division 1	0-0	0-0	9	0	D
11/10	Hodd Norway Division 1	2-0	3-1	5	6	W
02/10	Ranheim Norway Division 1	0-3	0-5	4	3	L
20/09	Odd BK Norway Division 1	1-2	1-5	6	6	L
13/09	Kongsvinger Norway Division 1	1-0	1-1	12	3	D
06/09	Lyn 1896 Norway Division 1	1-0	1-1	0	4	D
30/08	Asane Norway Division 1	1-1	2-2	6	4	D
26/08	Haugesund Norway Division 1	0-3	0-3	3	6	L
16/08	Stabaek Norway Division 1	0-1	0-4	6	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bryne vs Egersund?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Bryne win (51%). Probabilities: Bryne 51%, draw 24%, Egersund 24%.

How many goals are expected in Bryne vs Egersund?

The model expects 3.23 goals (Bryne 1.94 · Egersund 1.29), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Bryne vs Egersund?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.