Football · Norway Division 1 · 25/10, 17:00

Prediction: Stabaek vs Odd BK

Team pages: Stabaek · Odd BK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.7Total

Stabaek2.13

Odd BK1.57

1X2

50% 23% 28%

Stabaek Draw Odd BK

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Stabaek 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WWLLLWLDWW

Odd BK 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LLWDLWWWWL

Head-to-head

Stabaek 0–3–3 Odd BK (6 last)

Odd BK2-2Stabaek
Stabaek2-2Odd BK
Odd BK2-0Stabaek
Odd BK4-0Stabaek
Stabaek0-0Odd BK
Odd BK3-1Stabaek

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Stabaek 1522 · Odd BK 1530

	Stabaek	Draw	Odd BK
Our model	50%	23%	28%
Market	50%	23%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 3.7 goals · Bet365 line 3.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Odd BK: 3-3-0.
High corners: 13.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Stabaek	Odd BK
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.5	2 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.7	1.1 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	50/10/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 7.3	2.8 / 6.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0.1	4.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.80

X3.90

23.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)2.00

2 (+0.75)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.93

Under 3.751.88

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80
X	3.90 → 3.90	Pinn 4.27
2	3.25 → 3.25	Pinn 3.59 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12% Pinnacle margin 6.8%

Time*	1	X	2
13:09 +12’	1.80	3.90	3.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
19:14 +308’	1.80	4.27	3.59

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Stabaek 0–3–3 Odd BK

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/26 Norway Division 1	Odd BK	2-2 HT 1-0	Stabaek
05/10/25 Norway Division 1	Stabaek	2-2 HT 2-1	Odd BK
30/07/25 Norway Division 1	Odd BK	2-0 HT 0-0	Stabaek
06/08/23 Norway Eliteserien	Odd BK	4-0 HT 2-0	Stabaek
10/04/23 Norway Eliteserien	Stabaek	0-0 HT 0-0	Odd BK
12/12/21 Norway Eliteserien	Odd BK	3-1 HT 1-0	Stabaek

Standings · Norway Division 1

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Stromsgodset	27	18	6	3	76	33	60
2	Kongsvinger	27	18	5	4	81	42	59
3	Haugesund	27	19	2	6	78	45	59
4	Stabaek	27	16	4	7	64	34	52
5	Odd BK	27	13	6	8	54	41	45
6	Bryne	27	12	3	12	37	38	39
7	Hodd	27	11	5	11	47	53	38
8	Ranheim	27	10	5	12	68	67	35
9	Egersund	27	9	7	11	42	53	34
10	Strommen	27	9	6	12	48	59	33
11	Lyn 1896	27	9	4	14	41	57	31
12	Moss	27	8	5	14	40	56	29
13	Sandnes Ulf	27	7	5	15	37	54	26
14	Sogndal	26	6	6	14	42	59	24
15	Asane	27	6	5	16	37	61	22
16	Raufoss	26	6	2	18	29	69	20

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Stabaek	Odd BK
Strommen	2-2 D	1-2 L
Sogndal	2-1 W	1-0 W
Bryne	0-2 L	2-1 W
Hodd	1-2 L	3-2 W
Ranheim	4-2 W	5-3 W
Egersund	4-0 W	5-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	5 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Odd BK (2 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Stabaek

WWLLLWLDWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Asane Norway Division 1	0-0	1-0	2	5	W
14/10	Sandnes Ulf Norway Division 1	1-0	4-1	8	3	W
11/10	Strommen Norway Division 1	1-1	2-2	15	2	D
03/10	Haugesund Norway Division 1	0-0	0-2	4	5	L
20/09	Sogndal Norway Division 1	1-0	2-1	8	2	W
12/09	Bryne Norway Division 1	0-2	0-2	6	1	L
05/09	Moss Norway Division 1	2-2	2-3	8	1	L
30/08	Hodd Norway Division 1	0-0	1-2	11	2	L
26/08	Ranheim Norway Division 1	2-2	4-2	8	2	W
16/08	Egersund Norway Division 1	1-0	4-0	3	5	W

Odd BK

LLWDLWWWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Strommen Norway Division 1	1-0	1-2	10	5	L
14/10	Sogndal Norway Division 1	1-0	1-0	5	5	W
11/10	Bryne Norway Division 1	1-1	2-1	4	5	W
03/10	Hodd Norway Division 1	2-1	3-2	7	6	W
20/09	Egersund Norway Division 1	2-1	5-1	7	6	W
13/09	Raufoss Norway Division 1	0-1	1-2	11	5	L
05/09	Stromsgodset Norway Division 1	0-1	1-1	6	4	D
30/08	Ranheim Norway Division 1	4-2	5-3	4	4	W
26/08	Kongsvinger Norway Division 1	0-1	0-1	7	5	L
15/08	Lyn 1896 Norway Division 1	0-4	1-5	3	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Stabaek vs Odd BK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Stabaek win (50%). Probabilities: Stabaek 50%, draw 23%, Odd BK 28%.

How many goals are expected in Stabaek vs Odd BK?

The model expects 3.7 goals (Stabaek 2.13 · Odd BK 1.57), with a 53% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Stabaek vs Odd BK?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.