Football · Norway Division 1 · 25/10, 14:30

Prediction: Sandnes Ulf vs Lyn 1896

Team pages: Sandnes Ulf · Lyn 1896

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.33Total

Sandnes Ulf1.74

Lyn 18961.59

1X2

41% 25% 34%

Sandnes Ulf Draw Lyn 1896

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Sandnes Ulf 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

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Lyn 1896 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Sandnes Ulf 1–2 Lyn 1896 (3 last)

Lyn 18960-2Sandnes Ulf
Sandnes Ulf0-1Lyn 1896
Lyn 18965-0Sandnes Ulf

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sandnes Ulf 1483 · Lyn 1896 1501

	Sandnes Ulf	Draw	Lyn 1896
Our model	41%	25%	34%
Market	41%	25%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 3.33 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Lyn 1896: 2-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sandnes Ulf	Lyn 1896
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 2.2	1.7 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1	0.8 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.1 / 4.6	2.3 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.1	3.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.60

22.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.00

2 (+0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.77

Under 3.252.02

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 05:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.20▲	Pinn 2.33
X	3.60 → 3.60	Pinn 3.61
2	2.70 → 2.60▼	Pinn 2.80 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.7% Pinnacle margin 6.3%

Time*	1	X	2
13:18 +2’	2.15	3.60	2.70
05:08 +10’	2.20▲	3.60	2.60▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
18:12 +367’	2.33	3.69	2.75
00:47 +30’	2.32▼	3.69	2.78▲
00:06 +8’	2.32	3.65▼	2.80▲
02:04 +16’	2.33▲	3.61▼	2.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 3.25

Go premium to see every market's movement

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sandnes Ulf 1–0–2 Lyn 1896

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/04/26 Norway Division 1	Lyn 1896	0-2 HT 0-0	Sandnes Ulf
21/10/24 Norway Division 1	Sandnes Ulf	0-1 HT 0-0	Lyn 1896
23/05/24 Norway Division 1	Lyn 1896	5-0 HT 2-0	Sandnes Ulf

Standings · Norway Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Stromsgodset	27	18	6	3	76	33	60
2	Kongsvinger	27	18	5	4	81	42	59
3	Haugesund	27	19	2	6	78	45	59
4	Stabaek	27	16	4	7	64	34	52
5	Odd BK	27	13	6	8	54	41	45
6	Bryne	27	12	3	12	37	38	39
7	Hodd	27	11	5	11	47	53	38
8	Ranheim	27	10	5	12	68	67	35
9	Egersund	27	9	7	11	42	53	34
10	Strommen	27	9	6	12	48	59	33
11	Lyn 1896	27	9	4	14	41	57	31
12	Moss	27	8	5	14	40	56	29
13	Sandnes Ulf	27	7	5	15	37	54	26
14	Sogndal	26	6	6	14	42	59	24
15	Asane	27	6	5	16	37	61	22
16	Raufoss	26	6	2	18	29	69	20

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sandnes Ulf	Lyn 1896
Kongsvinger	0-4 L	4-4 D
Haugesund	1-1 D	0-3 L
Moss	1-2 L	1-0 W
Stromsgodset	1-4 L	1-5 L
Ranheim	1-1 D	1-4 L
Bryne	0-1 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 4 L	1 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Sandnes Ulf (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sandnes Ulf

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Kongsvinger Norway Division 1	0-2	0-4	1	3	L
14/10	Stabaek Norway Division 1	0-1	1-4	2	3	L
11/10	Haugesund Norway Division 1	0-1	1-1	2	3	D
03/10	Strommen Norway Division 1	2-2	3-3	11	7	D
20/09	Moss Norway Division 1	1-0	1-2	3	2	L
13/09	Stromsgodset Norway Division 1	1-3	1-4	3	2	L
05/09	Ranheim Norway Division 1	1-0	1-1	6	4	D
30/08	Raufoss Norway Division 1	1-0	3-0	5	2	W
22/08	Bryne Norway Division 1	0-0	0-1	6	5	L
16/08	Sogndal Norway Division 1	0-1	0-2	7	3	L

Lyn 1896

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Moss Norway Division 1	0-0	1-0	6	4	W
14/10	Haugesund Norway Division 1	0-1	0-3	2	5	L
11/10	Stromsgodset Norway Division 1	0-3	1-5	5	2	L
04/10	Bryne Norway Division 1	0-1	0-1	5	1	L
20/09	Ranheim Norway Division 1	0-1	1-4	8	2	L
13/09	Hodd Norway Division 1	0-0	2-0	4	3	W
06/09	Egersund Norway Division 1	0-1	1-1	6	4	D
30/08	Kongsvinger Norway Division 1	2-2	4-4	3	5	D
26/08	Asane Norway Division 1	2-0	2-1	6	5	W
15/08	Odd BK Norway Division 1	4-0	5-1	6	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sandnes Ulf vs Lyn 1896?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sandnes Ulf win (41%). Probabilities: Sandnes Ulf 41%, draw 25%, Lyn 1896 34%.

How many goals are expected in Sandnes Ulf vs Lyn 1896?

The model expects 3.33 goals (Sandnes Ulf 1.74 · Lyn 1896 1.59), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Sandnes Ulf vs Lyn 1896?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.