Football · Norway Division 1 · 25/10, 14:30

Prediction: Haugesund vs Hodd

Team pages: Haugesund · Hodd

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.11Total

Haugesund3.02

Hodd1.08

1X2

76% 14% 10%

Haugesund Draw Hodd

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

3-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Haugesund 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

LWWWWWWDWL

Hodd 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WLWDLLLLDW

Head-to-head

Haugesund 2–0 Hodd (2 last)

Hodd0-2Haugesund
Haugesund2-0Hodd

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Haugesund 1605 · Hodd 1473

	Haugesund	Draw	Hodd
Our model	76%	15%	10%
Market	76%	14%	10%

Estimated total (ours) 4.11 goals · Bet365 line 4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Haugesund (rating 1605 vs 1473).
H2H favours Haugesund: 2-0-0.
High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Haugesund	Hodd
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 1.2	1.9 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.7	0.9 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 6.2	1.9 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.1	3.5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.20

X6.50

29.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2)1.85

2 (+2)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 41.90

Under 41.90

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.9

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 19:33

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.17 → 1.20▲	Bet365 1.20
X	7.00 → 6.50▼	Pinn 7.81 ★
2	10.00 → 9.00▼	Pinn 10.21

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 9.8% Pinnacle margin 7.3%

Time*	1	X	2
13:16 +4’	1.17	7.00	10.00
01:09 +7’	1.25▲	6.00▼	8.00▼
19:22 +11’	1.20▼	6.50▲	9.00▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
18:12 +367’	1.18	7.88	10.33
00:49 +28’	1.18▲	7.81▼	10.24▼
20:06 +23’	1.21▲	7.23▼	9.13▼
12:18 +1’	1.19▼	7.49▲	9.81▲
22:33 +34’	1.18▼	7.81▲	10.21▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Haugesund 2–0–0 Hodd

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Norway Division 1	Hodd	0-2 HT 0-1	Haugesund
25/02/16 Club Friendly List	Haugesund	2-0 HT 1-0	Hodd

Standings · Norway Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Stromsgodset	27	18	6	3	76	33	60
2	Kongsvinger	27	18	5	4	81	42	59
3	Haugesund	27	19	2	6	78	45	59
4	Stabaek	27	16	4	7	64	34	52
5	Odd BK	27	13	6	8	54	41	45
6	Bryne	27	12	3	12	37	38	39
7	Hodd	27	11	5	11	47	53	38
8	Ranheim	27	10	5	12	68	67	35
9	Egersund	27	9	7	11	42	53	34
10	Strommen	27	9	6	12	48	59	33
11	Lyn 1896	27	9	4	14	41	57	31
12	Moss	27	8	5	14	40	56	29
13	Sandnes Ulf	27	7	5	15	37	54	26
14	Sogndal	26	6	6	14	42	59	24
15	Asane	27	6	5	16	37	61	22
16	Raufoss	26	6	2	18	29	69	20

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Haugesund	Hodd
Stromsgodset	0-5 L	1-3 L
Lyn 1896	3-0 W	0-2 L
Stabaek	2-0 W	2-1 W
Strommen	4-2 W	4-3 W
Egersund	3-0 W	1-3 L
Kongsvinger	2-3 L	1-5 L
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Haugesund (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Haugesund

LWWWWWWDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Stromsgodset Norway Division 1	0-3	0-5	4	4	L
14/10	Lyn 1896 Norway Division 1	1-0	3-0	6	5	W
11/10	Sandnes Ulf Norway Division 1	1-0	1-1	8	3	D
03/10	Stabaek Norway Division 1	0-0	2-0	5	5	W
20/09	Strommen Norway Division 1	2-2	4-2	9	3	W
13/09	Moss Norway Division 1	2-1	4-1	7	4	W
05/09	Sogndal Norway Division 1	1-0	2-0	12	1	W
30/08	Bryne Norway Division 1	0-0	2-0	3	5	W
26/08	Egersund Norway Division 1	3-0	3-0	2	6	W
16/08	Kongsvinger Norway Division 1	0-1	2-3	6	5	L

Hodd

WLWDLLLLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Raufoss Norway Division 1	3-0	5-1	6	1	W
14/10	Ranheim Norway Division 1	1-0	1-1	3	3	D
11/10	Egersund Norway Division 1	0-2	1-3	3	6	L
03/10	Odd BK Norway Division 1	1-2	2-3	3	6	L
20/09	Kongsvinger Norway Division 1	1-2	1-5	3	4	L
13/09	Lyn 1896 Norway Division 1	0-0	0-2	9	3	L
05/09	Asane Norway Division 1	0-1	2-2	4	5	D
30/08	Stabaek Norway Division 1	0-0	2-1	4	2	W
26/08	Stromsgodset Norway Division 1	0-0	1-3	2	4	L
16/08	Strommen Norway Division 1	3-1	4-3	6	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Haugesund vs Hodd?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Haugesund win (76%). Probabilities: Haugesund 76%, draw 14%, Hodd 10%.

How many goals are expected in Haugesund vs Hodd?

The model expects 4.11 goals (Haugesund 3.02 · Hodd 1.08), with a 51% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Haugesund vs Hodd?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.