Football · Norway Division 1 · 18/10, 17:00

Prediction: Hodd vs Raufoss

Team pages: Hodd · Raufoss

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.59Total
Hodd2.08
Raufoss1.52
1X2
50% 23% 27%
Hodd Draw Raufoss
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Hodd 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
WWLWDLLLLD
Raufoss 1-1-8 (W-D-L)
LLLLLLWLLD
Head-to-head
Hodd 2–1–3 Raufoss (6 last)
  • Raufoss1-1Hodd
  • Hodd2-4Raufoss
  • Raufoss6-1Hodd
  • Raufoss0-1Hodd
  • Hodd1-0Raufoss
  • Raufoss2-0Hodd
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hodd 1504 · Raufoss 1430
HoddDrawRaufoss
Our model50%23%27%
Market49%24%27%
Estimated total (ours) 3.59 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hodd (rating 1504 vs 1430).
  • H2H favours Raufoss: 3-1-2.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

HoddRaufoss
Goals for / against (FT)1.8 / 2.60.9 / 3.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.90.3 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/30/50%10/20/70%
Corners (HT / FT)1.5 / 3.72.7 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.6 / 0.22.5 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Hodd 2–1–3 Raufoss

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DateHomeScoreAway
26/04/26
Norway Division 1
Raufoss1-1
HT 1-1
Hodd
30/08/25
Norway Division 1
Hodd2-4
HT 1-2
Raufoss
21/06/25
Norway Division 1
Raufoss6-1
HT 3-1
Hodd
29/10/23
Norway Division 1
Raufoss0-1
HT 0-0
Hodd
10/04/23
Norway Division 1
Hodd1-0
HT 0-0
Raufoss
21/08/16
Norway Division 1
Raufoss2-0
HT 0-0
Hodd

Standings · Norway Division 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Haugesund 261925 784059
2 Stromsgodset 261763 713357
3 Kongsvinger 261754 774256
4 Stabaek 261547 633449
5 Odd BK 261367 533945
6 Bryne 2612311 353439
7 Hodd 2610511 425235
8 Egersund 269611 395033
9 Ranheim 269512 646532
10 Strommen 268612 465830
11 Moss 268513 405529
12 Lyn 1896 268414 405728
13 Sandnes Ulf 267514 375026
14 Sogndal 256514 395623
15 Asane 266515 376022
16 Raufoss 256217 286420

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentHoddRaufoss
Odd BK 2-3 L 2-1 W
Kongsvinger 1-5 L 1-9 L
Asane 2-2 D 1-2 L
Stabaek 2-1 W 0-2 L
Stromsgodset 1-3 L 0-2 L
Strommen 4-3 W 1-3 L
Sandnes Ulf 4-3 W 0-3 L
Record vs common 3 W 1 D 3 L 1 W 0 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: Hodd (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hodd

WWLWDLLLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
14/10 Ranheim
Norway Division 1
1-0 1-1 33 D
11/10 Egersund
Norway Division 1
0-2 1-3 36 L
03/10 Odd BK
Norway Division 1
1-2 2-3 36 L
20/09 Kongsvinger
Norway Division 1
1-2 1-5 34 L
13/09 Lyn 1896
Norway Division 1
0-0 0-2 93 L
05/09 Asane
Norway Division 1
0-1 2-2 45 D
30/08 Stabaek
Norway Division 1
0-0 2-1 42 W
26/08 Stromsgodset
Norway Division 1
0-0 1-3 24 L
16/08 Strommen
Norway Division 1
3-1 4-3 63 W
09/08 Sandnes Ulf
Norway Division 1
0-1 4-3 02 W

Raufoss

LLLLLLWLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
14/10 Bryne
Norway Division 1
0-1 1-1 23 D
11/10 Moss
Norway Division 1
0-1 1-2 41 L
20/09 Stromsgodset
Norway Division 1
0-1 0-2 65 L
13/09 Odd BK
Norway Division 1
1-0 2-1 65 W
05/09 Kongsvinger
Norway Division 1
0-3 1-9 20 L
30/08 Sandnes Ulf
Norway Division 1
0-1 0-3 132 L
26/08 Strommen
Norway Division 1
0-2 1-3 51 L
16/08 Asane
Norway Division 1
1-1 1-2 53 L
09/08 Haugesund
Norway Division 1
1-4 2-7 16 L
02/08 Stabaek
Norway Division 1
0-0 0-2 41 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hodd vs Raufoss?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Hodd win (50%). Probabilities: Hodd 50%, draw 23%, Raufoss 27%.

How many goals are expected in Hodd vs Raufoss?

The model expects 3.59 goals (Hodd 2.08 · Raufoss 1.52), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Hodd vs Raufoss?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.