Football · Norway Division 1 · 18/10, 17:00

Prediction: Asane vs Stabaek

Team pages: Asane · Stabaek

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.51Total

Asane1.06

Stabaek2.44

1X2

14% 19% 67%

Asane Draw Stabaek

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-2 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Asane 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LWLDDDLLWL

Stabaek 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WWWLLLWLDW

Head-to-head

Asane 0–3–3 Stabaek (6 last)

Stabaek4-0Asane
Stabaek2-0Asane
Asane1-1Stabaek
Stabaek1-1Asane
Asane2-2Stabaek
Stabaek4-0Asane

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Asane 1458 · Stabaek 1552

	Asane	Draw	Stabaek
Our model	14%	19%	67%
Market	14%	20%	67%

Estimated total (ours) 3.51 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stabaek (rating 1458 vs 1552).
H2H favours Stabaek: 3-3-0.
High corners: 13.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Asane	Stabaek
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 2.3	2.3 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.9	0.9 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.9	3.1 / 8.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0	2.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

16.50

X4.50

21.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.90

2 (-1.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.82

Under 3.751.98

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.85

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 23:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.25 → 6.50▲	Pinn 6.55
X	4.50 → 4.50	Pinn 5.64 ★
2	1.42 → 1.33▼	Pinn 1.37

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.6% Pinnacle margin 5.8%

Time*	1	X	2
13:13 +15’	5.25	4.50	1.42
23:02 +9’	6.50▲	4.50	1.33▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
12:59 +29’	6.38	5.52	1.34
13:42 +49’	6.53▲	5.63▲	1.35▲
11:51 +61’	6.41▼	5.53▼	1.36▲
17:05 +23’	6.55▲	5.64▲	1.37▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Asane 0–3–3 Stabaek

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
12/04/26 Norway Division 1	Stabaek	4-0 HT 3-0	Asane
22/10/25 Norway Division 1	Stabaek	2-0 HT 1-0	Asane
12/05/25 Norway Division 1	Asane	1-1 HT 0-1	Stabaek
26/08/24 Norway Division 1	Stabaek	1-1 HT 0-1	Asane
27/04/24 Norway Division 1	Asane	2-2 HT 2-1	Stabaek
03/10/22 Norway Division 1	Stabaek	4-0 HT 2-0	Asane

Standings · Norway Division 1

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Haugesund	26	19	2	5	78	40	59
2	Stromsgodset	26	17	6	3	71	33	57
3	Kongsvinger	26	17	5	4	77	42	56
4	Stabaek	26	15	4	7	63	34	49
5	Odd BK	26	13	6	7	53	39	45
6	Bryne	26	12	3	11	35	34	39
7	Hodd	26	10	5	11	42	52	35
8	Egersund	26	9	6	11	39	50	33
9	Ranheim	26	9	5	12	64	65	32
10	Strommen	26	8	6	12	46	58	30
11	Moss	26	8	5	13	40	55	29
12	Lyn 1896	26	8	4	14	40	57	28
13	Sandnes Ulf	26	7	5	14	37	50	26
14	Sogndal	25	6	5	14	39	56	23
15	Asane	26	6	5	15	37	60	22
16	Raufoss	25	6	2	17	28	64	20

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Asane	Stabaek
Strommen	1-6 L	2-2 D
Sogndal	2-1 W	2-1 W
Bryne	0-4 L	0-2 L
Ranheim	2-2 D	4-2 W
Hodd	2-2 D	1-2 L
Egersund	2-2 D	4-0 W
Lyn 1896	1-2 L	4-3 W
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 3 L	4 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Stabaek (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Asane

LWLDDDLLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/10	Strommen Norway Division 1	0-2	1-6	5	1	L
11/10	Sogndal Norway Division 1	0-0	2-1	5	4	W
03/10	Stromsgodset Norway Division 1	0-0	0-1	4	0	L
19/09	Bryne Norway Division 1	0-3	0-4	1	4	L
13/09	Ranheim Norway Division 1	2-0	2-2	8	3	D
05/09	Hodd Norway Division 1	1-0	2-2	12	5	D
30/08	Egersund Norway Division 1	1-1	2-2	1	4	D
26/08	Lyn 1896 Norway Division 1	0-2	1-2	6	5	L
16/08	Raufoss Norway Division 1	1-1	2-1	3	3	W
09/08	Kongsvinger Norway Division 1	0-0	1-2	4	3	L

Stabaek

WWWLLLWLDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/10	Sandnes Ulf Norway Division 1	1-0	4-1	8	3	W
11/10	Strommen Norway Division 1	1-1	2-2	15	2	D
03/10	Haugesund Norway Division 1	0-0	0-2	4	5	L
20/09	Sogndal Norway Division 1	1-0	2-1	8	2	W
12/09	Bryne Norway Division 1	0-2	0-2	6	1	L
05/09	Moss Norway Division 1	2-2	2-3	8	1	L
30/08	Hodd Norway Division 1	0-0	1-2	11	2	L
26/08	Ranheim Norway Division 1	2-2	4-2	8	2	W
16/08	Egersund Norway Division 1	1-0	4-0	3	5	W
08/08	Lyn 1896 Norway Division 1	1-2	4-3	13	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Asane vs Stabaek?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Stabaek win (67%). Probabilities: Asane 14%, draw 19%, Stabaek 67%.

How many goals are expected in Asane vs Stabaek?

The model expects 3.51 goals (Asane 1.06 · Stabaek 2.44), with a 53% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Asane vs Stabaek?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.