Football · Norway Division 1 · 18/10, 14:30
Prediction: Stromsgodset vs Haugesund
Team pages: Stromsgodset · Haugesund
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.73Total
Stromsgodset2.15
Haugesund1.57
1X2
Stromsgodset
Draw
Haugesund
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Stromsgodset
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Haugesund
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Stromsgodset
3–1–2
Haugesund
(6 last)
- Haugesund4-2Stromsgodset
- Stromsgodset2-0Haugesund
- Haugesund0-5Stromsgodset
- Haugesund0-0Stromsgodset
- Stromsgodset2-0Haugesund
- Haugesund1-0Stromsgodset
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Stromsgodset 1629 · Haugesund 1621
| Stromsgodset | Draw | Haugesund | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 22% | 27% |
| Market | 50% | 23% | 27% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.73 goals · Bet365 line 3.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Stromsgodset: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 14.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Stromsgodset | Haugesund | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.7 / 1 | 3 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.5 / 0.3 | 1.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/20/10% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.6 / 8 | 3 / 6.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0.4 | 4.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Stromsgodset 3–1–2 Haugesund
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 Norway Division 1 | Haugesund | 4-2 HT 0-0 | Stromsgodset |
| 03/08/25 Norway Eliteserien | Stromsgodset | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Haugesund |
| 06/04/25 Norway Eliteserien | Haugesund | 0-5 HT 0-2 | Stromsgodset |
| 15/09/24 Norway Eliteserien | Haugesund | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Stromsgodset |
| 20/05/24 Norway Eliteserien | Stromsgodset | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Haugesund |
| 08/10/23 Norway Eliteserien | Haugesund | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Stromsgodset |
Standings · Norway Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Haugesund | 26 | 19 | 2 | 5 | 78 | 40 | 59 |
| 2 | Stromsgodset | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 71 | 33 | 57 |
| 3 | Kongsvinger | 26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 77 | 42 | 56 |
| 4 | Stabaek | 26 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 63 | 34 | 49 |
| 5 | Odd BK | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 53 | 39 | 45 |
| 6 | Bryne | 26 | 12 | 3 | 11 | 35 | 34 | 39 |
| 7 | Hodd | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 42 | 52 | 35 |
| 8 | Egersund | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 39 | 50 | 33 |
| 9 | Ranheim | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 64 | 65 | 32 |
| 10 | Strommen | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 46 | 58 | 30 |
| 11 | Moss | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 40 | 55 | 29 |
| 12 | Lyn 1896 | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 40 | 57 | 28 |
| 13 | Sandnes Ulf | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 37 | 50 | 26 |
| 14 | Sogndal | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 39 | 56 | 23 |
| 15 | Asane | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 37 | 60 | 22 |
| 16 | Raufoss | 25 | 6 | 2 | 17 | 28 | 64 | 20 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Stromsgodset | Haugesund |
|---|---|---|
| Kongsvinger | 5-1 W | 2-3 L |
| Lyn 1896 | 5-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Raufoss | 2-0 W | 7-2 W |
| Sandnes Ulf | 4-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Sogndal | 3-2 W | 2-0 W |
| Egersund | 0-2 L | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 1 L | 4 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stromsgodset
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Kongsvinger Norway Division 1 |
4-0 | 5-1 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 11/10 | Lyn 1896 Norway Division 1 |
3-0 | 5-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 03/10 | Asane Norway Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 20/09 | Raufoss Norway Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 13/09 | Sandnes Ulf Norway Division 1 |
3-1 | 4-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 05/09 | Odd BK Norway Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 30/08 | Sogndal Norway Division 1 |
2-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 26/08 | Hodd Norway Division 1 |
0-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 15/08 | Ranheim Norway Division 1 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 13 | 3 | W |
| 09/08 | Egersund Norway Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 3 | L |
Haugesund
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Lyn 1896 Norway Division 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 11/10 | Sandnes Ulf Norway Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 03/10 | Stabaek Norway Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 20/09 | Strommen Norway Division 1 |
2-2 | 4-2 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 13/09 | Moss Norway Division 1 |
2-1 | 4-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 05/09 | Sogndal Norway Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 12 | 1 | W |
| 30/08 | Bryne Norway Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 26/08 | Egersund Norway Division 1 |
3-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 16/08 | Kongsvinger Norway Division 1 |
0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 09/08 | Raufoss Norway Division 1 |
4-1 | 7-2 | 5 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stromsgodset vs Haugesund?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Stromsgodset win (50%). Probabilities: Stromsgodset 50%, draw 22%, Haugesund 27%.
How many goals are expected in Stromsgodset vs Haugesund?
The model expects 3.73 goals (Stromsgodset 2.15 · Haugesund 1.57), with a 51% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Stromsgodset vs Haugesund?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.