Football · Norway Division 1 · 18/10, 17:00

Prediction: Lyn 1896 vs Moss

Team pages: Lyn 1896 · Moss

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.71Total
Lyn 18962
Moss1.71
1X2
44% 24% 32%
Lyn 1896 Draw Moss
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Lyn 1896 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
LWWDDWLLLL
Moss 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
DLDLWLWLWD
Head-to-head
Lyn 1896 2–1–3 Moss (6 last)
  • Moss2-1Lyn 1896
  • Lyn 18963-1Moss
  • Lyn 18964-0Moss
  • Moss2-0Lyn 1896
  • Lyn 18961-1Moss
  • Lyn 18961-2Moss
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lyn 1896 1521 · Moss 1508
Lyn 1896DrawMoss
Our model44%23%33%
Market44%24%32%
Estimated total (ours) 3.71 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Moss: 3-1-2.
  • High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Lyn 1896Moss
Goals for / against (FT)1.9 / 2.41.5 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 10.5 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/20/50%10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 5.12.2 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.2 / 02.2 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Lyn 1896 2–1–3 Moss

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DateHomeScoreAway
26/04/26
Norway Division 1
Moss2-1
HT 0-0
Lyn 1896
21/03/26
Europe Friendlies
Lyn 18963-1
HT 3-1
Moss
05/10/25
Norway Division 1
Lyn 18964-0
HT 3-0
Moss
11/05/25
Norway Division 1
Moss2-0
HT 1-0
Lyn 1896
23/03/25
Europe Friendlies
Lyn 18961-1
HT 1-0
Moss
09/11/24
Norway Division 1
Lyn 18961-2
HT 0-0
Moss

Standings · Norway Division 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Haugesund 261925 784059
2 Stromsgodset 261763 713357
3 Kongsvinger 261754 774256
4 Stabaek 261547 633449
5 Odd BK 261367 533945
6 Bryne 2612311 353439
7 Hodd 2610511 425235
8 Egersund 269611 395033
9 Ranheim 269512 646532
10 Strommen 268612 465830
11 Moss 268513 405529
12 Lyn 1896 268414 405728
13 Sandnes Ulf 267514 375026
14 Sogndal 256514 395623
15 Asane 266515 376022
16 Raufoss 256217 286420

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentLyn 1896Moss
Haugesund 0-3 L 1-4 L
Bryne 0-1 L 1-2 L
Egersund 1-1 D 0-0 D
Kongsvinger 4-4 D 0-2 L
Odd BK 5-1 W 3-3 D
Stabaek 3-4 L 3-2 W
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 3 L 1 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Lyn 1896 (2 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lyn 1896

LWWDDWLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
14/10 Haugesund
Norway Division 1
0-1 0-3 25 L
11/10 Stromsgodset
Norway Division 1
0-3 1-5 52 L
04/10 Bryne
Norway Division 1
0-1 0-1 51 L
20/09 Ranheim
Norway Division 1
0-1 1-4 82 L
13/09 Hodd
Norway Division 1
0-0 2-0 43 W
06/09 Egersund
Norway Division 1
0-1 1-1 64 D
30/08 Kongsvinger
Norway Division 1
2-2 4-4 35 D
26/08 Asane
Norway Division 1
2-0 2-1 65 W
15/08 Odd BK
Norway Division 1
4-0 5-1 62 W
08/08 Stabaek
Norway Division 1
2-1 3-4 63 L

Moss

DLDLWLWLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
14/10 Egersund
Norway Division 1
0-0 0-0 80 D
11/10 Raufoss
Norway Division 1
1-0 2-1 61 W
05/10 Kongsvinger
Norway Division 1
0-1 0-2 123 L
20/09 Sandnes Ulf
Norway Division 1
0-1 2-1 32 W
13/09 Haugesund
Norway Division 1
1-2 1-4 64 L
05/09 Stabaek
Norway Division 1
2-2 3-2 41 W
30/08 Strommen
Norway Division 1
0-2 1-2 44 L
26/08 Sogndal
Norway Division 1
1-1 2-2 72 D
15/08 Bryne
Norway Division 1
0-0 1-2 13 L
10/08 Odd BK
Norway Division 1
0-2 3-3 32 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lyn 1896 vs Moss?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Lyn 1896 win (44%). Probabilities: Lyn 1896 44%, draw 24%, Moss 32%.

How many goals are expected in Lyn 1896 vs Moss?

The model expects 3.71 goals (Lyn 1896 2 · Moss 1.71), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Lyn 1896 vs Moss?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.