Prediction: Sandefjord vs Ham-Kam
Expected goals: 2.79 (Sandefjord 1.67 · Ham-Kam 1.12). The model gives 49% home, 26% draw, 25% away. Over 2.75 goals (50%) and both teams to score (54%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves Sandefjord with 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses over 10 games; Ham-Kam has piled up 5-3-2 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 1 wins for Sandefjord and 4 for Ham-Kam, with 1 draw.
| Sandefjord | Draw | Ham-Kam | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 27% | 24% |
| Market | 50% | 26% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ham-Kam (rating 1501 vs 1544).
- H2H favours Ham-Kam: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sandefjord | Ham-Kam | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.2 | 1.7 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 5.8 | 1.6 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.2 | 2.5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sandefjord 1–1–4 Ham-Kam
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11/25 Norway Eliteserien | Ham-Kam | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Sandefjord |
| 27/04/25 Norway Eliteserien | Sandefjord | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Ham-Kam |
| 01/09/24 Norway Eliteserien | Ham-Kam | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Sandefjord |
| 27/06/24 Norway Eliteserien | Sandefjord | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Ham-Kam |
| 08/10/23 Norway Eliteserien | Sandefjord | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Ham-Kam |
| 10/04/23 Norway Eliteserien | Ham-Kam | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Sandefjord |
Standings · Norway Eliteserien
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viking FK | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 10 | 27 |
| 2 | Tromso | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 14 | 25 |
| 3 | Bodo/Glimt | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 23 |
| 4 | Lillestrom | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 11 | 19 |
| 5 | Molde | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 19 |
| 6 | Ham-Kam | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 17 |
| 7 | Sarpsborg | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | 14 |
| 8 | Sandefjord | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 14 |
| 9 | Valerenga | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 17 | 14 |
| 10 | Fredrikstad | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 20 | 14 |
| 11 | SK Brann | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 20 | 13 |
| 12 | KFUM | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 12 |
| 13 | Aalesund | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 20 | 11 |
| 14 | Kristiansund BK | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 18 | 11 |
| 15 | Rosenborg | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 9 |
| 16 | IK Start | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 28 | 7 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sandefjord | Ham-Kam |
|---|---|---|
| Molde | 1-2 L | 1-4 L |
| Fredrikstad | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Lillestrom | 1-3 L | 2-0 W |
| Kristiansund BK | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Aalesund | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| KFUM | 2-1 W | 4-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 3 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Sandefjord (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sandefjord
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/05 | Molde Norway Eliteserien |
0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 25/05 | Fredrikstad Norway Eliteserien |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 16/05 | Lillestrom Norway Eliteserien |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | Kristiansund BK Norway Eliteserien |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | Aalesund Norway Eliteserien |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | Tromso Norway Eliteserien |
0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 18/04 | Rosenborg Norway Eliteserien |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 12/04 | SK Brann Norway Eliteserien |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 07/04 | KFUM Norway Eliteserien |
2-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 27/03 | Stromsgodset Europe Friendlies |
1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
Ham-Kam
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | IFK Goteborg Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 20/06 | Fredrikstad Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 29/05 | Aalesund Norway Eliteserien |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 25/05 | Lillestrom Norway Eliteserien |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | Fredrikstad Norway Eliteserien |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 08/05 | Valerenga Norway Eliteserien |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 03/05 | Kristiansund BK Norway Eliteserien |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 26/04 | IK Start Norway Eliteserien |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 19/04 | KFUM Norway Eliteserien |
2-0 | 4-0 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 12/04 | Molde Norway Eliteserien |
0-3 | 1-4 | 6 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sandefjord vs Ham-Kam?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sandefjord win (49%). Probabilities: Sandefjord 49%, draw 26%, Ham-Kam 25%.
How many goals are expected in Sandefjord vs Ham-Kam?
The model expects 2.79 goals (Sandefjord 1.67 · Ham-Kam 1.12), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Sandefjord vs Ham-Kam?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.