Football · Norway Eliteserien · 02/08, 19:15

Prediction: SK Brann vs Rosenborg

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.4Total

SK Brann2.12

Rosenborg1.28

1X2

55% 23% 21%

SK Brann Draw Rosenborg

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

SK Brann 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DWLLLLWWDL

Rosenborg 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DLWLLDWWWL

Head-to-head

SK Brann 4–2–0 Rosenborg (6 last)

Rosenborg1-1SK Brann
Rosenborg2-3SK Brann
SK Brann0-0Rosenborg
Rosenborg1-2SK Brann
SK Brann3-0Rosenborg
Rosenborg0-2SK Brann

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SK Brann 1506 · Rosenborg 1481

	SK Brann	Draw	Rosenborg
Our model	56%	23%	22%
Market	55%	24%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 3.4 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours SK Brann: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SK Brann	Rosenborg
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.9	1.5 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1	0.9 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/10/50%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.5 / 6.3	1.7 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.2	4 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.67

X3.90

24.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.88

2 (+0.75)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.67	Bet365 1.67
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.7%

Time*	1	X	2
14:15 +5’	1.67	3.90	4.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · SK Brann 4–2–0 Rosenborg

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Norway Eliteserien	Rosenborg	1-1 HT 1-1	SK Brann
26/10/25 Norway Eliteserien	Rosenborg	2-3 HT 1-2	SK Brann
11/05/25 Norway Eliteserien	SK Brann	0-0 HT 0-0	Rosenborg
20/10/24 Norway Eliteserien	Rosenborg	1-2 HT 0-1	SK Brann
04/05/24 Norway Eliteserien	SK Brann	3-0 HT 1-0	Rosenborg
16/02/24 Europe Friendlies	Rosenborg	0-2 HT 0-0	SK Brann

Standings · Norway Eliteserien

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bodo/Glimt	15	11	2	2	37	11	35
2	Viking FK	14	11	1	2	34	14	34
3	Tromso	15	9	4	2	26	15	31
4	Lillestrom	14	8	1	5	22	14	25
5	Molde	14	7	2	5	25	19	23
6	Sarpsborg	14	6	3	5	15	16	21
7	Valerenga	14	6	2	6	22	24	20
8	SK Brann	15	6	1	8	30	25	19
9	Ham-Kam	14	5	3	6	20	26	18
10	Rosenborg	13	4	3	6	15	18	15
11	Sandefjord	14	4	3	7	13	20	15
12	Fredrikstad	13	4	2	7	15	23	14
13	Aalesund	14	2	7	5	19	29	13
14	KFUM	14	3	3	8	15	25	12
15	Kristiansund BK	14	3	3	8	12	23	12
16	IK Start	15	2	4	9	16	34	10

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SK Brann	Rosenborg
Molde	2-1 W	2-1 W
IK Start	2-1 W	3-0 W
Kristiansund BK	1-2 L	3-0 W
Bodo/Glimt	1-3 L	2-2 D
Aalesund	1-2 L	2-3 L
KFUM	2-1 W	0-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 3 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Rosenborg (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

SK Brann

DWLLLLWWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	Valerenga Norway Eliteserien	0-3	2-3	10	5	L
23/07	Universitatea Cluj UEFA Conference League Qualifying	1-0	2-2	5	5	D
18/07	Molde Norway Eliteserien	2-0	2-1	4	5	W
12/07	IK Start Norway Eliteserien	0-0	2-1	4	2	W
03/07	Kristiansund BK Europe Friendlies	0-1	1-2	11	1	L
29/05	Sarpsborg Norway Eliteserien	1-2	1-2	8	4	L
24/05	Bodo/Glimt Norway Eliteserien	0-2	1-3	3	1	L
20/05	Aalesund Norway Eliteserien	0-1	1-2	7	3	L
16/05	KFUM Norway Eliteserien	2-0	2-1	6	5	W
09/05	Bodo/Glimt Norway Cup	2-1	2-2	5	4	D

Rosenborg

DLWLLDWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/07	Man Utd Elite Club Friendlies	0-1	0-5	1	1	L
18/07	IK Start Norway Eliteserien	1-0	3-0	3	4	W
12/07	Kristiansund BK Norway Eliteserien	2-0	3-0	8	1	W
05/07	Molde Europe Friendlies	1-0	2-1	4	8	W
29/05	Bodo/Glimt Norway Eliteserien	1-1	2-2	0	3	D
25/05	KFUM Norway Eliteserien	0-2	0-2	2	2	L
16/05	Aalesund Norway Eliteserien	1-1	2-3	11	8	L
10/05	Lillestrom Norway Eliteserien	2-0	2-0	1	4	W
01/05	Viking FK Norway Eliteserien	0-2	0-3	3	5	L
25/04	SK Brann Norway Eliteserien	1-1	1-1	7	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SK Brann vs Rosenborg?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SK Brann win (55%). Probabilities: SK Brann 55%, draw 23%, Rosenborg 21%.

How many goals are expected in SK Brann vs Rosenborg?

The model expects 3.4 goals (SK Brann 2.12 · Rosenborg 1.28), with a 54% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in SK Brann vs Rosenborg?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.