Football · Norway Eliteserien · 02/08, 17:00

Prediction: KFUM vs Kristiansund BK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.53Total

KFUM1.7

Kristiansund BK0.83

1X2

58% 25% 18%

KFUM Draw Kristiansund BK

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-0

Recent form · 10 last

KFUM 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

DLLWDLLLLL

Kristiansund BK 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LLWLLLWLDL

Head-to-head

KFUM 3–2–1 Kristiansund BK (6 last)

KFUM1-1Kristiansund BK
Kristiansund BK0-5KFUM
KFUM1-2Kristiansund BK
Kristiansund BK1-1KFUM
Kristiansund BK0-2KFUM
KFUM2-0Kristiansund BK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · KFUM 1429 · Kristiansund BK 1439

	KFUM	Draw	Kristiansund BK
Our model	57%	26%	17%
Market	58%	23%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 2.53 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours KFUM: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	KFUM	Kristiansund BK
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 2.1	0.7 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1.1	0.3 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 3.8	1.9 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.2	3.6 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.57

X3.90

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)2.00

2 (+1)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.90

Under 2.751.90

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.57 → 1.57	Pinn 1.71 ★
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	5.00 → 5.00	Pinn 5.04

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.3% Pinnacle margin 6.3%

Time*	1	X	2
14:18 +1’	1.57	3.90	5.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:19	1.71	3.56	5.04

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · KFUM 3–2–1 Kristiansund BK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/10/25 Norway Eliteserien	KFUM	1-1 HT 0-1	Kristiansund BK
26/07/25 Norway Eliteserien	Kristiansund BK	0-5 HT 0-2	KFUM
23/11/24 Norway Eliteserien	KFUM	1-2 HT 0-1	Kristiansund BK
07/04/24 Norway Eliteserien	Kristiansund BK	1-1 HT 1-1	KFUM
30/09/23 Norway Division 1	Kristiansund BK	0-2 HT 0-1	KFUM
04/06/23 Norway Division 1	KFUM	2-0 HT 0-0	Kristiansund BK

Standings · Norway Eliteserien

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bodo/Glimt	15	11	2	2	37	11	35
2	Viking FK	14	11	1	2	34	14	34
3	Tromso	15	9	4	2	26	15	31
4	Lillestrom	14	8	1	5	22	14	25
5	Molde	14	7	2	5	25	19	23
6	Sarpsborg	14	6	3	5	15	16	21
7	Valerenga	14	6	2	6	22	24	20
8	SK Brann	15	6	1	8	30	25	19
9	Ham-Kam	14	5	3	6	20	26	18
10	Rosenborg	13	4	3	6	15	18	15
11	Sandefjord	14	4	3	7	13	20	15
12	Fredrikstad	13	4	2	7	15	23	14
13	Aalesund	14	2	7	5	19	29	13
14	KFUM	14	3	3	8	15	25	12
15	Kristiansund BK	14	3	3	8	12	23	12
16	IK Start	15	2	4	9	16	34	10

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	KFUM	Kristiansund BK
Molde	2-4 L	0-1 L
Lillestrom	1-2 L	2-1 W
Rosenborg	2-0 W	0-3 L
SK Brann	1-2 L	2-1 W
Viking FK	0-2 L	1-2 L
Valerenga	2-2 D	1-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 4 L	2 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Kristiansund BK (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

KFUM

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	Molde Norway Eliteserien	1-1	2-4	3	6	L
18/07	Lillestrom Norway Eliteserien	1-1	1-2	4	4	L
12/07	Bodo/Glimt Norway Eliteserien	0-1	0-2	6	1	L
04/07	Vendsyssel FF Europe Friendlies	0-1	0-2	4	1	L
21/06	Molde Europe Friendlies	0-3	1-5	2	2	L
29/05	Tromso Norway Eliteserien	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
25/05	Rosenborg Norway Eliteserien	2-0	2-0	9	2	W
16/05	SK Brann Norway Eliteserien	0-2	1-2	0	5	L
10/05	Viking FK Norway Eliteserien	0-1	0-2	4	3	L
03/05	Valerenga Norway Eliteserien	1-1	2-2	3	7	D

Kristiansund BK

LLWLLLWLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	IK Start Norway Eliteserien	1-1	1-2	3	7	L
18/07	Sarpsborg Norway Eliteserien	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
12/07	Rosenborg Norway Eliteserien	0-2	0-3	7	1	L
03/07	SK Brann Europe Friendlies	1-0	2-1	4	1	W
27/06	Aalesund Europe Friendlies	0-1	0-3	6	1	L
29/05	Valerenga Norway Eliteserien	0-1	1-3	6	2	L
24/05	Viking FK Norway Eliteserien	0-1	1-2	4	6	L
20/05	Lillestrom Norway Eliteserien	1-0	2-1	3	11	W
16/05	Molde Norway Eliteserien	0-1	0-1	6	3	L
10/05	Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien	0-1	0-2	4	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in KFUM vs Kristiansund BK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a KFUM win (58%). Probabilities: KFUM 58%, draw 25%, Kristiansund BK 18%.

How many goals are expected in KFUM vs Kristiansund BK?

The model expects 2.53 goals (KFUM 1.7 · Kristiansund BK 0.83), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in KFUM vs Kristiansund BK?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.