Football · Norway Eliteserien · 13/09, 17:00
Prediction: Ham-Kam vs Molde
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.55Total
Ham-Kam1.73
Molde1.82
1X2
Ham-Kam
Draw
Molde
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Ham-Kam
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Molde
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Ham-Kam
1–1–4
Molde
(6 last)
- Molde4-1Ham-Kam
- Molde1-0Ham-Kam
- Ham-Kam2-1Molde
- Molde3-0Ham-Kam
- Ham-Kam0-1Molde
- Molde1-1Ham-Kam
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Molde (rating 1483 vs 1552).
- H2H favours Molde: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ham-Kam | Molde | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 2.2 | 2.2 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.8 | 1.2 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/20/70% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4 | 2.7 / 6.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0.3 | 4.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ham-Kam 1–1–4 Molde
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/26 Norway Eliteserien | Molde | 4-1 HT 3-0 | Ham-Kam |
| 09/08/25 Norway Eliteserien | Molde | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Ham-Kam |
| 25/05/25 Norway Eliteserien | Ham-Kam | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Molde |
| 25/08/24 Norway Eliteserien | Molde | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Ham-Kam |
| 07/04/24 Norway Eliteserien | Ham-Kam | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Molde |
| 03/12/23 Norway Eliteserien | Molde | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Ham-Kam |
Standings · Norway Eliteserien
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bodo/Glimt | 19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 49 | 15 | 47 |
| 2 | Viking FK | 19 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 43 | 19 | 44 |
| 3 | Tromso | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 34 | 20 | 35 |
| 4 | Molde | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 38 | 29 | 33 |
| 5 | Lillestrom | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 26 | 26 | 29 |
| 6 | Rosenborg | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 31 | 26 | 27 |
| 7 | SK Brann | 19 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 37 | 29 | 26 |
| 8 | Fredrikstad | 19 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 30 | 26 |
| 9 | Sarpsborg | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 25 | 24 |
| 10 | Ham-Kam | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 36 | 23 |
| 11 | Valerenga | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 33 | 40 | 22 |
| 12 | Sandefjord | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 24 | 20 |
| 13 | KFUM | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 33 | 19 |
| 14 | Aalesund | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 30 | 43 | 18 |
| 15 | Kristiansund BK | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | 16 |
| 16 | IK Start | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 20 | 41 | 13 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ham-Kam | Molde |
|---|---|---|
| Kristiansund BK | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| SK Brann | 0-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Aalesund | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| Valerenga | 3-0 W | 4-3 W |
| Sarpsborg | 0-1 L | 3-3 D |
| Tromso | 1-4 L | 3-2 W |
| Sandefjord | 2-2 D | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 3 L | 3 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Molde (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ham-Kam
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Rosenborg Norway Eliteserien |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 30/08 | Kristiansund BK Norway Eliteserien |
0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 16/08 | SK Brann Norway Eliteserien |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 09/08 | Aalesund Norway Eliteserien |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 31/07 | Valerenga Norway Eliteserien |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 26/07 | Sarpsborg Norway Eliteserien |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 22/07 | Bodo/Glimt Norway Eliteserien |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 18/07 | Tromso Norway Eliteserien |
0-1 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 12/07 | Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien |
0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 29/05 | Aalesund Norway Eliteserien |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
Molde
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Valerenga Norway Eliteserien |
4-3 | 4-3 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 16/08 | Tromso Norway Eliteserien |
1-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 09/08 | Kristiansund BK Norway Eliteserien |
0-1 | 1-2 | 12 | 5 | L |
| 02/08 | Sarpsborg Norway Eliteserien |
1-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 26/07 | KFUM Norway Eliteserien |
1-1 | 4-2 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 18/07 | SK Brann Norway Eliteserien |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 11/07 | Aalesund Norway Eliteserien |
2-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 30/05 | Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 25/05 | Sarpsborg Norway Eliteserien |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | Kristiansund BK Norway Eliteserien |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ham-Kam vs Molde?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Molde win (40%). Probabilities: Ham-Kam 36%, draw 24%, Molde 40%.
How many goals are expected in Ham-Kam vs Molde?
The model expects 3.55 goals (Ham-Kam 1.73 · Molde 1.82), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Ham-Kam vs Molde?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.