Football · Norway Eliteserien · 20/09, 19:15

Prediction: SK Brann vs Bodo/Glimt

Team pages: SK Brann · Bodo/Glimt

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.45Total

SK Brann1.24

Bodo/Glimt2.21

1X2

20% 22% 58%

SK Brann Draw Bodo/Glimt

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-2 10%

Recent form · 10 last

SK Brann 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LLWWLWWDLL

Bodo/Glimt 9-1-0 (W-D-L)

DWWWWWWWWW

Head-to-head

SK Brann 1–1–4 Bodo/Glimt (6 last)

Bodo/Glimt3-1SK Brann
Bodo/Glimt2-2SK Brann
SK Brann1-2Bodo/Glimt
Bodo/Glimt3-0SK Brann
SK Brann4-1Bodo/Glimt
Bodo/Glimt5-1SK Brann

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SK Brann 1537 · Bodo/Glimt 1648

	SK Brann	Draw	Bodo/Glimt
Our model	20%	22%	58%
Market	20%	22%	58%

Estimated total (ours) 3.45 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bodo/Glimt (rating 1537 vs 1648).
H2H favours Bodo/Glimt: 4-1-1.
High corners: 14.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SK Brann	Bodo/Glimt
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.6	2.6 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1	1.1 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	80/20/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 6.6	4 / 8.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.2	2.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

14.75

X4.33

21.61

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.82

2 (-1)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.80

Under 3.752.00

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 15:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.20 → 4.75▲	Bet365 4.75
X	4.10 → 4.33▲	Pinn 4.78 ★
2	1.65 → 1.61▼	Pinn 1.63

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 6.1% Pinnacle margin 4.2%

Time*	1	X	2
11:24 +17’	4.20	4.10	1.65
21:39 +15’	4.33▲	4.20▲	1.61▼
13:30 +4’	4.50▲	4.20	1.60▼
15:11 +8’	4.75▲	4.33▲	1.61▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
20:13 +24’	4.12	4.45	1.71
21:11 +49’	4.13▲	4.53▲	1.70▼
22:05 +52’	4.19▲	4.55▲	1.68▼
23:03 +32’	4.26▲	4.63▲	1.67▼
12:08 +58’	4.25▼	4.58▼	1.67▲
15:34 +67’	4.31▲	4.60▲	1.66▼
21:03 +51’	4.46▲	4.66▲	1.63▼
22:50 +41’	4.51▲	4.68▲	1.62▼
00:59 +52’	4.51	4.67▼	1.63▲
10:03 +18’	4.48▼	4.68▲	1.63
13:16 +18’	4.53▲	4.70▲	1.62▼
19:23 +146’	4.53	4.71▲	1.62
19:21 +138’	4.59▲	4.78▲	1.63▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

Our recommendation on this match 2 odds moves recorded

Go premium to see the odds journey

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · SK Brann 1–1–4 Bodo/Glimt

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/05/26 Norway Eliteserien	Bodo/Glimt	3-1 HT 2-0	SK Brann
09/05/26 Norway Cup	Bodo/Glimt	2-2 HT 1-2	SK Brann
29/10/25 Norway Eliteserien	SK Brann	1-2 HT 1-0	Bodo/Glimt
21/06/25 Norway Eliteserien	Bodo/Glimt	3-0 HT 2-0	SK Brann
22/09/24 Norway Eliteserien	SK Brann	4-1 HT 3-0	Bodo/Glimt
07/07/24 Norway Eliteserien	Bodo/Glimt	5-1 HT 2-0	SK Brann

Standings · Norway Eliteserien

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bodo/Glimt	20	16	2	2	52	17	50
2	Viking FK	20	15	2	3	51	20	47
3	Molde	21	11	3	7	44	32	36
4	Tromso	20	10	5	5	37	27	35
5	Rosenborg	21	10	3	8	39	30	33
6	Lillestrom	20	10	2	8	28	26	32
7	Fredrikstad	20	8	3	9	24	31	27
8	SK Brann	20	8	2	10	37	31	26
9	Sarpsborg	21	6	7	8	24	29	25
10	KFUM	21	7	4	10	25	35	25
11	Ham-Kam	20	6	5	9	27	41	23
12	Valerenga	20	6	4	10	33	42	22
13	Aalesund	21	4	9	8	33	46	21
14	Sandefjord	20	5	5	10	18	27	20
15	Kristiansund BK	21	5	4	12	21	40	19
16	IK Start	20	4	4	12	22	41	16

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SK Brann	Bodo/Glimt
Lillestrom	1-2 L	4-0 W
Sandefjord	0-0 D	3-2 W
Ham-Kam	3-0 W	3-0 W
Rosenborg	3-2 W	4-2 W
Valerenga	2-3 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	5 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Bodo/Glimt (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SK Brann

LLWWLWWDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	IK Start Norway Eliteserien	0-1	0-2	7	3	L
05/09	Lillestrom Norway Eliteserien	0-2	1-2	12	2	L
30/08	Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
16/08	Ham-Kam Norway Eliteserien	1-0	3-0	10	3	W
02/08	Rosenborg Norway Eliteserien	1-0	3-2	5	5	W
26/07	Valerenga Norway Eliteserien	0-3	2-3	10	5	L
18/07	Molde Norway Eliteserien	2-0	2-1	4	5	W
12/07	IK Start Norway Eliteserien	0-0	2-1	4	2	W
29/05	Sarpsborg Norway Eliteserien	1-2	1-2	8	4	L
24/05	Bodo/Glimt Norway Eliteserien	0-2	1-3	3	1	L

Bodo/Glimt

DWWWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/09	Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien	1-0	3-2	10	3	W
04/09	Fredrikstad Norway Eliteserien	1-0	2-1	5	4	W
30/08	Rosenborg Norway Eliteserien	1-1	4-2	12	2	W
08/08	Valerenga Norway Eliteserien	1-0	2-1	8	1	W
31/07	Lillestrom Norway Eliteserien	2-0	4-0	10	2	W
26/07	Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien	1-0	3-0	6	3	W
22/07	Ham-Kam Norway Eliteserien	1-0	3-0	10	1	W
17/07	Fredrikstad Norway Eliteserien	1-0	1-0	12	5	W
12/07	KFUM Norway Eliteserien	1-0	2-0	4	1	W
29/05	Rosenborg Norway Eliteserien	1-1	2-2	6	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SK Brann vs Bodo/Glimt?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Bodo/Glimt win (58%). Probabilities: SK Brann 20%, draw 22%, Bodo/Glimt 58%.

How many goals are expected in SK Brann vs Bodo/Glimt?

The model expects 3.45 goals (SK Brann 1.24 · Bodo/Glimt 2.21), with a 54% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in SK Brann vs Bodo/Glimt?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.