Football · Norway Eliteserien · 10/10, 18:00
Prediction: Rosenborg vs Sandefjord
Team pages: Rosenborg · Sandefjord
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.24Total
Rosenborg2.16
Sandefjord1.08
1X2
Rosenborg
Draw
Sandefjord
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Rosenborg
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Sandefjord
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Rosenborg
2–2–2
Sandefjord
(6 last)
- Sandefjord0-0Rosenborg
- Rosenborg1-1Sandefjord
- Sandefjord2-0Rosenborg
- Sandefjord0-1Rosenborg
- Rosenborg2-0Sandefjord
- Sandefjord3-2Rosenborg
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rosenborg (rating 1628 vs 1521).
- High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Rosenborg | Sandefjord | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3 / 1.2 | 1.1 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.4 / 0.3 | 0.2 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/20/10% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.4 / 6.6 | 2 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0 | 4 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rosenborg 2–2–2 Sandefjord
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 Norway Eliteserien | Sandefjord | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Rosenborg |
| 29/10/25 Norway Eliteserien | Rosenborg | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Sandefjord |
| 06/07/25 Norway Eliteserien | Sandefjord | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Rosenborg |
| 29/09/24 Norway Eliteserien | Sandefjord | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Rosenborg |
| 01/04/24 Norway Eliteserien | Rosenborg | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Sandefjord |
| 12/11/23 Norway Eliteserien | Sandefjord | 3-2 HT 3-0 | Rosenborg |
Standings · Norway Eliteserien
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viking FK | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 54 | 20 | 50 |
| 2 | Bodo/Glimt | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 53 | 19 | 50 |
| 3 | Tromso | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 40 | 29 | 38 |
| 4 | Molde | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 44 | 32 | 36 |
| 5 | Rosenborg | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 39 | 30 | 33 |
| 6 | Lillestrom | 21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 28 | 29 | 32 |
| 7 | SK Brann | 21 | 9 | 2 | 10 | 39 | 32 | 29 |
| 8 | Fredrikstad | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 32 | 28 |
| 9 | Sarpsborg | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 24 | 29 | 25 |
| 10 | KFUM | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 25 | 35 | 25 |
| 11 | Sandefjord | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 27 | 23 |
| 12 | Valerenga | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 34 | 43 | 23 |
| 13 | Ham-Kam | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 29 | 44 | 23 |
| 14 | Aalesund | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 46 | 21 |
| 15 | Kristiansund BK | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 40 | 19 |
| 16 | IK Start | 21 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 22 | 44 | 16 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Rosenborg | Sandefjord |
|---|---|---|
| Ham-Kam | 4-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Bodo/Glimt | 2-4 L | 2-3 L |
| Viking FK | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| SK Brann | 2-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Fredrikstad | 4-0 W | 0-1 L |
| IK Start | 3-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 3 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Rosenborg (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rosenborg
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Kristiansund BK Norway Eliteserien |
1-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 12/09 | Tromso Norway Eliteserien |
4-0 | 5-3 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 05/09 | Ham-Kam Norway Eliteserien |
1-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 30/08 | Bodo/Glimt Norway Eliteserien |
1-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 14/08 | Viking FK Norway Eliteserien |
1-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 09/08 | Lillestrom Norway Eliteserien |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 02/08 | SK Brann Norway Eliteserien |
0-1 | 2-3 | 12 | 5 | L |
| 27/07 | Fredrikstad Norway Eliteserien |
2-0 | 4-0 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 18/07 | IK Start Norway Eliteserien |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 12/07 | Kristiansund BK Norway Eliteserien |
2-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
Sandefjord
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | IK Start Norway Eliteserien |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 14/09 | Bodo/Glimt Norway Eliteserien |
0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 04/09 | Viking FK Norway Eliteserien |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 30/08 | SK Brann Norway Eliteserien |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 16/08 | Sarpsborg Norway Eliteserien |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 07/08 | KFUM Norway Eliteserien |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 01/08 | Fredrikstad Norway Eliteserien |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 26/07 | Bodo/Glimt Norway Eliteserien |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 18/07 | Viking FK Norway Eliteserien |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 12/07 | Ham-Kam Norway Eliteserien |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rosenborg vs Sandefjord?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Rosenborg win (61%). Probabilities: Rosenborg 61%, draw 22%, Sandefjord 17%.
How many goals are expected in Rosenborg vs Sandefjord?
The model expects 3.24 goals (Rosenborg 2.16 · Sandefjord 1.08), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Rosenborg vs Sandefjord?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.